Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$49

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved (7d)

118

Trades (7d)

169

170 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$668

$676 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-19

last 10-29 00:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 85% -$49

Other

10% — —

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No		+5	$4	92¢	$5	+$0	10-28 23:59
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No		+5	$4	89¢	$4	+$0	10-28 23:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$14	15	+15	Down	-$14	10-23 12:14
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$14	15	+15	Down	-$4	10-23 15:24
XRP Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$14	30	+30	Down	-$4	10-23 13:38
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	5	$13	25	+25	Down	-$3	10-23 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$9	11	+11	Up	-$9	10-26 04:29
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$9	10	+10	Down	+$1	10-25 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$9	10	+10	Down	+$1	10-26 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$9	10	+10	Down	+$1	10-23 09:48
Solana Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$9	15	+15	Up	-$4	10-23 13:38
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	1	$8	10	+10	Yes	+$2	10-19 09:09
XRP Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$7	15	+15	Up	-$2	10-23 13:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$7	10	+10	Up	+$3	10-23 13:34
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	10-27 13:59
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	10-26 09:49
XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	10-23 14:44
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	10-26 06:54
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	10-25 13:49
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	10-28 05:54
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	10-28 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	10-23 06:59
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	10-28 06:19
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	10-26 00:19
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	10-26 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	10-25 17:34
XRP Up or Down - October 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	10-22 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	10-25 16:14
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	10-27 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	10-27 16:39
Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$1	10-23 05:39
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	10-25 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 00:29:49	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdceaac…
10-29 00:24:50	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x13182c…
10-28 23:59:16	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4de1fe…
10-28 23:59:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xcd2092…
10-28 22:29:47	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd13e5b…
10-28 20:49:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2cc8eb…
10-28 20:39:47	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7c9e3e…
10-28 19:39:53	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x820e98…
10-28 14:29:49	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6a01a8…
10-28 13:24:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa03151…
10-28 13:14:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6390c9…
10-28 10:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x975f85…
10-28 07:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdb600a…
10-28 06:34:49	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xcf91ca…
10-28 06:19:47	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbcffe7…
10-28 05:54:47	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8bcc1a…
10-28 04:44:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4058aa…
10-28 03:39:52	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x994a48…
10-27 20:59:48	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x71cecd…
10-27 20:24:48	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe9cfce…
10-27 20:19:50	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x163d1b…
10-27 19:29:50	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x84a4e2…
10-27 19:24:50	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9c4c56…
10-27 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe5a836…
10-27 16:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x300988…
10-27 16:24:47	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1490a8…
10-27 15:14:47	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaad4bb…
10-27 14:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2ed2b9…
10-27 14:44:48	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xceffde…
10-27 13:59:56	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xde2093…
10-27 07:24:53	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdf8278…
10-26 16:09:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1f9b8c…
10-26 15:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa0bbf0…
10-26 15:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe8ebb0…
10-26 14:24:50	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8343cc…
10-26 13:59:51	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa61c49…
10-26 12:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x3693fb…
10-26 11:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbc7c49…
10-26 10:29:39	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3e3cce…
10-26 09:49:50	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x34ccd7…
10-26 09:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5b267e…
10-26 09:39:51	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x77242d…
10-26 09:09:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x93b476…
10-26 07:19:47	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0ce65a…
10-26 06:54:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x888a38…
10-26 06:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x067172…
10-26 05:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x05c9f8…
10-26 04:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x2f5267…
10-26 04:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3d0ce0…
10-26 04:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1393d4…
10-26 03:59:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x459ab8…
10-26 02:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa880a0…
10-26 01:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x8bb454…
10-26 01:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x02a674…
10-26 00:19:48	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfc84d0…
10-26 00:14:48	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2bbb74…
10-25 20:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x973d19…
10-25 19:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x80f8d4…
10-25 18:44:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x09b02f…
10-25 18:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x00c73a…
10-25 17:34:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x226a7a…
10-25 17:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x96a6ec…
10-25 17:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3d11c4…
10-25 16:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa76e8e…
10-25 15:59:50	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x780c9f…
10-25 15:49:50	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd024b8…
10-25 13:49:53	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3468b2…
10-25 13:34:39	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x75d032…
10-25 13:34:38	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe33af8…
10-23 15:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8b455a…
10-23 15:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7897d1…
10-23 15:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe9a298…
10-23 15:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xde1e78…
10-23 15:24:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x424ebf…
10-23 15:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7a1653…
10-23 15:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc5e611…
10-23 15:23:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9ff33c…
10-23 15:18:59	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xedf5c1…
10-23 15:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x130f83…
10-23 15:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd6cdb0…
10-23 15:13:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7dd348…
10-23 15:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbf669e…
10-23 15:08:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x241703…
10-23 14:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe98174…
10-23 14:49:45	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb0f579…
10-23 14:49:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2b2f05…
10-23 14:44:47	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8afbf6…
10-23 14:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x27b458…
10-23 14:34:35	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x838541…
10-23 14:29:17	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x198295…
10-23 14:29:02	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x85a911…
10-23 14:09:09	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0ef3d5…
10-23 14:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x313b09…
10-23 14:04:45	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0621b5…
10-23 14:04:12	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0378cf…
10-23 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe0dd55…
10-23 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x882499…
10-23 13:54:41	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x129630…
10-23 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x266d48…
10-23 13:53:32	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcd01ed…