Vibrant-Paperback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$150

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

205

Trades

12,525

lifetime

Volume

$164.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-01 11:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-150

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down on february 2	34	$3.6K	6,764	6,764	+0	open	—	02-02 14:41
ethereum up or down on february 4	28	$2.6K	3,559	3,396	+163	open	—	02-04 14:37
ethereum up or down on january 27	15	$2.2K	3,407	2,972	+435	open	—	01-27 14:39
bitcoin up or down on february 2	29	$2.1K	3,147	3,147	+0	open	—	02-02 15:14
ethereum up or down on january 26	21	$2.0K	3,145	2,973	+172	open	—	01-26 15:56
ethereum up or down on january 18	13	$1.9K	2,049	2,033	+16	open	—	01-18 14:22
ethereum up or down on february 5	26	$1.9K	4,011	3,255	+756	open	—	02-05 14:35
bitcoin up or down on february 4	18	$1.8K	2,082	1,629	+453	open	—	02-04 13:40
bitcoin up or down on february 5	15	$1.6K	6,974	1,787	+5,187	open	—	02-05 12:34
ethereum up or down on january 23	20	$1.6K	1,683	1,683	+0	open	—	01-23 15:23
ethereum above 3200 on january 19	25	$1.5K	2,249	2,008	+241	open	—	01-19 15:17
bitcoin up or down on january 31	12	$1.4K	3,131	3,131	+0	open	—	01-31 13:51
bitcoin up or down on february 7	16	$1.4K	1,831	1,831	+0	open	—	02-07 12:50
bitcoin up or down on january 23	16	$1.1K	1,323	1,274	+49	open	—	01-23 15:23
ethereum up or down on january 15	28	$1.1K	2,129	1,285	+844	open	—	01-15 16:01
bitcoin above 86k on january 29	7	$1.1K	1,567	1,343	+224	open	—	01-29 15:53
ethereum above 3200 on january 20	12	$1.0K	1,169	991	+178	open	—	01-20 05:20
ethereum up or down on january 25	11	$950	702	702	+0	open	—	01-25 14:25
bitcoin up or down on january 21	11	$919	1,899	1,803	+96	open	—	01-21 15:08
ethereum up or down on january 20	7	$915	1,606	1,606	+0	open	—	01-20 02:30
ethereum above 2900 on january 29	11	$891	3,384	1,751	+1,634	open	—	01-29 15:54
bitcoin above 92k on january 20	9	$844	902	902	+0	open	—	01-20 08:15
ethereum up or down on january 16	17	$835	1,431	1,387	+45	open	—	01-16 15:06
ethereum up or down on february 3	11	$831	3,141	150	+2,991	open	—	02-03 10:33
ethereum above 2800 on january 26	4	$825	699	699	+0	open	—	01-26 00:08
bitcoin above 86k on january 26	4	$817	606	606	+0	open	—	01-26 03:39
ethereum up or down on february 9	7	$737	789	789	+0	open	—	02-09 17:06
ethereum up or down on february 7	14	$725	1,339	1,339	+0	open	—	02-07 14:52
bitcoin up or down february 6 2am et	25	$689	778	778	+0	open	—	02-06 07:49
ethereum up or down january 25 8am et	16	$684	578	578	+0	open	—	01-25 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 15:02:30	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x6965f0…
08-01 14:35:45	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb2ad38…
08-01 13:22:05	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1c22b4…
08-01 13:06:02	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfbeed1…
08-01 11:03:57	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x7aae64…
08-01 04:45:56	bitcoin above 64k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$3	0x6188e9…
08-01 03:59:15	bitcoin above 64k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	144	3¢	$5	0x4af861…
08-01 03:06:54	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x745cf7…
08-01 02:33:00	btc updown 15m 1785551400	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x25cfcf…
07-31 15:41:11	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x3ebeaf…
07-31 15:08:39	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf1af43…
07-31 14:30:29	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd3133e…
07-31 14:30:18	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x694593…
07-31 14:12:32	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x4a4a80…
07-31 13:32:32	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xc32c6b…
07-31 12:43:15	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xd7082c…
07-31 11:18:06	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xd90a0b…
07-31 11:13:44	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x8ec67d…
07-31 10:25:08	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	34	77¢	$26	0x5125fe…
07-31 10:00:47	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0xa7828e…
07-31 09:12:03	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xe4da8a…
07-31 09:11:18	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x794b6d…
07-31 09:11:09	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xd3b99e…
07-31 08:06:53	btc updown 15m 1785484800	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xb82172…
07-31 08:06:21	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x9fec3f…
07-31 07:19:20	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4c1106…
07-31 07:19:15	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	94	18¢	$17	0x6f18d7…
07-31 07:18:33	btc updown 15m 1785482100	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x8ed0fa…
07-31 07:18:00	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x5d03dd…
07-31 07:04:50	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd5a92f…
07-31 07:01:06	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x977b49…
07-31 06:50:24	btc updown 15m 1785480300	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x847f43…
07-31 06:49:45	btc updown 15m 1785480300	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x2a2ed8…
07-31 06:48:15	btc updown 15m 1785480300	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x079faf…
07-31 06:48:11	btc updown 15m 1785480300	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xee70d6…
07-31 06:40:14	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	25	46¢	$11	0xd67aa4…
07-31 06:38:56	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xed8ff4…
07-31 06:38:44	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	11	32¢	$4	0xb2cb48…
07-31 06:31:12	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x129f1f…
07-31 06:22:09	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x7f321e…
07-31 05:51:06	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x4c6c0c…
07-31 05:46:30	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xde32ae…
07-31 05:34:57	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x8ce15e…
07-31 05:21:23	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8cd494…
07-31 05:19:41	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0xe05a72…
07-31 04:04:05	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xe0b3ee…
07-31 04:03:59	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x5219d2…
07-31 03:51:26	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x56857f…
07-31 03:43:00	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x9d25df…
07-31 03:27:24	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x441ec5…
07-31 03:23:35	btc updown 15m 1785467700	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x25ac89…
07-31 03:22:48	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	33	72¢	$23	0x2def87…
07-31 03:20:20	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	33	65¢	$21	0xfeb2c0…
07-31 03:17:30	btc updown 15m 1785467700	Up	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x436067…
07-31 03:15:14	btc updown 15m 1785467700	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xb86c39…
07-31 03:03:02	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0x293596…
07-31 03:02:32	btc updown 15m 1785466800	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x73d08c…
07-31 03:00:53	btc updown 15m 1785466800	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x6bf112…
07-31 03:00:27	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x0a238c…
07-31 02:50:44	btc updown 15m 1785465900	Up	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x0acfe6…
07-31 02:46:27	btc updown 15m 1785465900	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xb0b0e7…
07-31 02:09:15	btc updown 15m 1785463200	Up	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x6cf555…
07-31 02:09:09	btc updown 15m 1785463200	Up	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x9610ca…
07-31 02:05:00	btc updown 15m 1785463200	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x35695a…
07-31 02:04:41	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x524846…
07-31 02:01:09	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0x78f330…
07-31 02:00:35	btc updown 15m 1785463200	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xe2d4ca…
07-31 01:49:21	btc updown 15m 1785462300	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x3dcd24…
07-31 01:31:14	btc updown 15m 1785461400	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x9168c4…
07-31 01:27:32	btc updown 15m 1785460500	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x52e988…
07-31 01:27:21	btc updown 15m 1785460500	Up	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0xaaff49…
07-31 01:18:02	btc updown 15m 1785460500	Up	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0xc85c2f…
07-31 00:14:38	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x4ae5f2…
07-31 00:05:12	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0xd1d23a…
07-30 23:56:05	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x4c9836…
07-30 23:53:26	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0xac76e1…
07-30 23:46:50	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xbea141…
07-30 23:46:42	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xe17b4d…
07-30 14:17:29	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x8a6d0e…
07-30 14:08:09	btc updown 15m 1785420000	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcd8bb5…
07-30 14:07:44	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa8b8a2…
07-30 14:07:32	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0x06a375…
07-30 13:45:06	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	31	66¢	$20	0x2eec75…
07-30 13:43:23	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	31	44¢	$13	0xe99071…
07-30 13:34:59	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x424ab5…
07-30 13:34:39	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xb8ea1b…
07-30 13:34:08	btc updown 15m 1785418200	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x82a02c…
07-30 13:17:02	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	42	38¢	$16	0xd11b12…
07-30 13:16:38	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	66	36¢	$24	0xed0f60…
07-30 13:02:24	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x19aeb2…
07-30 13:02:05	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x3187f9…
07-30 12:34:11	btc updown 15m 1785414600	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe6e165…
07-30 12:26:29	btc updown 15m 1785413700	Up	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xcc2b00…
07-30 12:20:48	btc updown 15m 1785413700	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0ae043…
07-30 11:21:57	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x5502d8…
07-30 11:03:20	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x09bc90…
07-30 10:41:44	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	23	63¢	$14	0x6fa9af…
07-30 10:40:45	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	23	64¢	$15	0xb085bb…
07-30 10:37:50	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x65918a…
07-30 10:24:02	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	33	65¢	$21	0xbc3149…