Vibrant-Paperback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$150

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

205

Trades

14,616

lifetime

Volume

$184.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-21 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-150

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down on february 2	34	$3.6K	6,764	6,764	+0	open	—	02-02 14:41
ethereum up or down on february 4	28	$2.6K	3,559	3,396	+163	open	—	02-04 14:37
ethereum up or down on january 27	15	$2.2K	3,407	2,972	+435	open	—	01-27 14:39
bitcoin up or down on february 2	29	$2.1K	3,147	3,147	+0	open	—	02-02 15:14
ethereum up or down on january 26	21	$2.0K	3,145	2,973	+172	open	—	01-26 15:56
ethereum up or down on january 18	13	$1.9K	2,049	2,033	+16	open	—	01-18 14:22
ethereum up or down on february 5	26	$1.9K	4,011	3,255	+756	open	—	02-05 14:35
bitcoin up or down on february 4	18	$1.8K	2,082	1,629	+453	open	—	02-04 13:40
bitcoin up or down on february 5	15	$1.6K	6,974	1,787	+5,187	open	—	02-05 12:34
ethereum up or down on january 23	20	$1.6K	1,683	1,683	+0	open	—	01-23 15:23
ethereum above 3200 on january 19	25	$1.5K	2,249	2,008	+241	open	—	01-19 15:17
bitcoin up or down on january 31	12	$1.4K	3,131	3,131	+0	open	—	01-31 13:51
bitcoin up or down on february 7	16	$1.4K	1,831	1,831	+0	open	—	02-07 12:50
bitcoin up or down on january 23	16	$1.1K	1,323	1,274	+49	open	—	01-23 15:23
ethereum up or down on january 15	28	$1.1K	2,129	1,285	+844	open	—	01-15 16:01
bitcoin above 86k on january 29	7	$1.1K	1,567	1,343	+224	open	—	01-29 15:53
ethereum above 3200 on january 20	12	$1.0K	1,169	991	+178	open	—	01-20 05:20
ethereum up or down on january 25	11	$950	702	702	+0	open	—	01-25 14:25
bitcoin up or down on january 21	11	$919	1,899	1,803	+96	open	—	01-21 15:08
ethereum up or down on january 20	7	$915	1,606	1,606	+0	open	—	01-20 02:30
ethereum above 2900 on january 29	11	$891	3,384	1,751	+1,634	open	—	01-29 15:54
bitcoin above 92k on january 20	9	$844	902	902	+0	open	—	01-20 08:15
ethereum up or down on january 16	17	$835	1,431	1,387	+45	open	—	01-16 15:06
ethereum up or down on february 3	11	$831	3,141	150	+2,991	open	—	02-03 10:33
ethereum above 2800 on january 26	4	$825	699	699	+0	open	—	01-26 00:08
bitcoin above 86k on january 26	4	$817	606	606	+0	open	—	01-26 03:39
ethereum up or down on february 9	7	$737	789	789	+0	open	—	02-09 17:06
ethereum up or down on february 7	14	$725	1,339	1,339	+0	open	—	02-07 14:52
bitcoin up or down february 6 2am et	25	$689	778	778	+0	open	—	02-06 07:49
ethereum up or down january 25 8am et	16	$684	578	578	+0	open	—	01-25 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 13:48:57	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	27	69¢	$19	0xa634b6…
08-21 13:05:06	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	27	58¢	$16	0x6023b1…
08-21 12:46:15	btc updown 15m 1787316300	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x8dfd3b…
08-21 11:33:30	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6672fb…
08-21 10:59:16	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	24	52¢	$13	0xd87605…
08-21 10:58:09	btc updown 15m 1787309100	Up	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0xc98ee9…
08-21 10:58:03	btc updown 15m 1787309100	Up	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x85cdc4…
08-21 10:45:15	btc updown 15m 1787309100	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x65138d…
08-21 10:15:06	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x25cb20…
08-21 10:14:36	btc updown 15m 1787307300	Up	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x1e5d17…
08-21 10:12:48	btc updown 15m 1787306400	Up	SELL	41	91¢	$37	0xdcb87f…
08-21 09:58:55	btc updown 15m 1787306400	Up	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xfa645d…
08-21 09:38:22	btc updown 15m 1787305500	Up	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0xaf3ad6…
08-21 09:32:54	btc updown 15m 1787304600	Up	SELL	31	73¢	$23	0x32f209…
08-21 09:31:04	btc updown 15m 1787304600	Up	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xf08ba1…
08-21 09:17:18	btc updown 15m 1787303700	Up	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xdf4aa5…
08-21 09:10:03	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc34729…
08-21 09:06:36	btc updown 15m 1787303700	Up	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x00c45f…
08-21 09:04:36	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x66105e…
08-21 09:02:21	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	55	14¢	$8	0xe9a002…
08-21 09:01:51	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	94	17¢	$16	0xb03cd2…
08-21 08:56:51	btc updown 15m 1787302800	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xbbeb92…
08-21 08:40:04	btc updown 15m 1787301000	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6c6728…
08-21 08:23:15	btc updown 15m 1787300100	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x6316ce…
08-21 08:22:45	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	102	16¢	$16	0x0e929a…
08-21 07:32:57	btc updown 15m 1787297400	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x65d314…
08-21 07:15:16	btc updown 15m 1787296500	Down	BUY	59	44¢	$26	0x57aa90…
08-21 07:03:00	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x6be7f6…
08-21 07:02:45	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x556c6c…
08-21 07:00:37	btc updown 15m 1787295600	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x29a628…
08-21 06:57:52	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x63e7e9…
08-21 06:52:22	btc updown 15m 1787294700	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x3185bd…
08-21 06:45:25	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	31	77¢	$24	0x103589…
08-21 06:34:03	btc updown 15m 1787293800	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x102210…
08-21 06:29:28	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xe79df5…
08-21 06:25:00	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	109	81¢	$88	0x86c542…
08-21 06:05:04	bitcoin up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	310	4¢	$12	0x591d55…
08-21 05:56:34	btc updown 15m 1787292000	Down	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x291504…
08-21 05:56:01	bitcoin up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	490	4¢	$19	0x6a3c23…
08-21 05:55:01	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0xee6b2c…
08-21 05:46:09	btc updown 15m 1787291100	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x2c4293…
08-21 05:43:16	btc updown 15m 1787290200	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x214447…
08-21 05:14:43	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xccd7e1…
08-21 05:14:43	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x892159…
08-21 05:14:43	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x6c5d43…
08-21 05:14:42	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x34e5b4…
08-21 05:14:24	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x6a1550…
08-21 05:07:27	btc updown 15m 1787288400	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xa4940f…
08-21 05:06:55	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x528cf8…
08-21 05:02:30	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x1502a2…
08-21 05:00:55	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xa10842…
08-21 05:00:24	btc updown 15m 1787288400	Down	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0x25f4cc…
08-21 04:44:00	btc updown 15m 1787287500	Down	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x889817…
08-21 04:33:19	btc updown 15m 1787286600	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5e682d…
08-21 04:33:13	btc updown 15m 1787286600	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x1f8c98…
08-21 04:26:07	btc updown 15m 1787285700	Down	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x63f95a…
08-21 04:25:22	btc updown 15m 1787285700	Down	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0xa94f53…
08-21 04:14:16	btc updown 15m 1787285700	Down	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x0f5e80…
08-21 04:07:25	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x15ea31…
08-21 04:03:16	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0xa18b1a…
08-21 04:02:42	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	47	34¢	$16	0xa08372…
08-21 04:02:21	btc updown 15m 1787284800	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x167d7d…
08-21 03:57:37	btc updown 15m 1787283900	Down	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xedbd80…
08-21 03:54:48	btc updown 15m 1787283900	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xd16933…
08-21 03:37:21	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	24	46¢	$11	0xa221d3…
08-21 03:37:15	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0xc0b707…
08-21 03:36:21	btc updown 15m 1787283000	Down	SELL	36	74¢	$27	0xf421f4…
08-21 03:31:57	btc updown 15m 1787283000	Down	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x93f06b…
08-21 03:25:24	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	47	34¢	$16	0xdee672…
08-21 03:17:24	btc updown 15m 1787282100	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xe2872b…
08-21 03:16:30	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	23	55¢	$13	0x833108…
08-21 03:16:09	btc updown 15m 1787282100	Down	SELL	44	72¢	$31	0x7becae…
08-21 03:15:00	btc updown 15m 1787282100	Down	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0x666242…
08-21 03:13:36	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe671fe…
08-21 03:13:13	btc updown 15m 1787281200	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb7f91e…
08-21 03:06:36	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	59	62¢	$37	0xe1a9fa…
08-21 03:06:27	btc updown 15m 1787281200	Down	SELL	13	81¢	$11	0x7cd5cd…
08-21 03:06:09	btc updown 15m 1787281200	Down	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0x09d1ae…
08-21 03:05:55	btc updown 15m 1787281200	Down	SELL	26	59¢	$15	0x554300…
08-21 03:00:39	btc updown 15m 1787281200	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x118100…
08-21 03:00:18	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	59	50¢	$30	0x2dd716…
08-21 02:59:54	btc updown 15m 1787281200	Down	BUY	34	46¢	$16	0x7beb53…
08-21 02:47:18	btc updown 15m 1787280300	Down	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0xacaaff…
08-21 02:46:49	btc updown 15m 1787280300	Down	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0x1119a3…
08-21 02:46:13	btc updown 15m 1787280300	Down	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0x2221dc…
08-21 02:45:13	btc updown 15m 1787280300	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xb25d32…
08-21 02:45:04	btc updown 15m 1787280300	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x2670d8…
08-21 02:35:30	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0xbb85a2…
08-21 02:35:18	btc updown 15m 1787279400	Down	SELL	31	76¢	$24	0x0885fd…
08-21 02:30:18	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xbe5460…
08-21 02:29:27	btc updown 15m 1787279400	Down	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x409b9d…
08-21 02:28:30	btc updown 15m 1787278500	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa85ef9…
08-21 02:26:45	btc updown 15m 1787278500	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x7a2ffa…
08-21 02:24:22	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	42	85¢	$36	0xa9754d…
08-21 02:22:52	btc updown 15m 1787278500	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x12c467…
08-21 02:20:58	btc updown 15m 1787278500	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x28a45d…
08-21 02:12:09	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x4d0344…
08-21 02:09:07	btc updown 15m 1787277600	Down	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0xd06e5d…
08-21 02:06:42	btc updown 15m 1787277600	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x84e446…
08-21 02:05:16	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xec2bcd…