Vibrant-Paperback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

6,233

Trades

18,473

lifetime

Volume

$213.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 06:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 280 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% +$117

Other

0% 30% -$63

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No		+197	$10	1¢	$1	-$9	10-27 06:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down on february 2	34	$3.6K	6,764	6,764	+0	Up	+$156	02-02 14:41
ethereum up or down on february 4	28	$2.6K	3,559	3,396	+163	Down	+$219	02-04 14:37
ethereum up or down on january 27	15	$2.2K	3,407	2,972	+435	Up	-$82	01-27 14:39
bitcoin up or down on february 2	29	$2.1K	3,147	3,147	+0	Up	+$209	02-02 15:14
ethereum up or down on january 26	21	$2.0K	3,145	2,973	+172	Up	+$34	01-26 15:56
ethereum up or down on january 18	13	$1.9K	2,049	2,033	+16	Up	+$80	01-18 14:22
ethereum up or down on february 5	26	$1.9K	4,011	3,255	+756	Down	-$53	02-05 14:35
bitcoin up or down on february 4	18	$1.8K	2,082	1,629	+453	Down	+$66	02-04 13:40
bitcoin up or down on february 5	15	$1.6K	6,974	1,787	+5,187	Down	-$561	02-05 12:34
ethereum up or down on january 23	20	$1.6K	1,683	1,683	+0	Up	+$4	01-23 15:23
ethereum above 3200 on january 19	25	$1.5K	2,249	2,008	+241	Yes	-$139	01-19 15:17
bitcoin up or down on january 31	12	$1.4K	3,131	3,131	+0	Down	+$673	01-31 13:51
bitcoin up or down on february 7	16	$1.4K	1,831	1,831	+0	Down	+$371	02-07 12:50
bitcoin up or down on january 23	16	$1.1K	1,323	1,274	+49	Up	+$66	01-23 15:23
ethereum up or down on january 15	28	$1.1K	2,129	1,285	+844	Down	+$73	01-15 16:01
bitcoin above 86k on january 29	7	$1.1K	1,567	1,343	+224	No	+$900	01-29 15:53
ethereum above 3200 on january 20	12	$1.0K	1,169	991	+178	No	+$119	01-20 05:20
ethereum up or down on january 25	11	$950	702	702	+0	Down	+$110	01-25 14:25
bitcoin up or down on january 21	11	$919	1,899	1,803	+96	Down	+$84	01-21 15:08
ethereum up or down on january 20	7	$915	1,606	1,606	+0	Down	+$15	01-20 02:30
ethereum above 2900 on january 29	11	$891	3,384	1,751	+1,634	No	+$1,643	01-29 15:54
bitcoin above 92k on january 20	9	$844	902	902	+0	No	+$233	01-20 08:15
ethereum up or down on january 16	17	$835	1,431	1,387	+45	Down	-$101	01-16 15:06
ethereum up or down on february 3	11	$831	3,141	150	+2,991	Down	-$747	02-03 10:33
ethereum above 2800 on january 26	4	$825	699	699	+0	Yes	+$25	01-26 00:08
bitcoin above 86k on january 26	4	$817	606	606	+0	Yes	+$17	01-26 03:39
ethereum up or down on february 9	7	$737	789	789	+0	Up	+$267	02-09 17:06
ethereum up or down on february 7	14	$725	1,339	1,339	+0	Up	+$125	02-07 14:52
bitcoin up or down february 6 2am et	25	$689	778	778	+0	Down	+$9	02-06 07:49
ethereum up or down january 25 8am et	16	$684	578	578	+0	Down	+$44	01-25 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:49:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	197	5¢	$10	0xb267d2…
10-27 06:47:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0xfea159…
10-27 00:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0xf7839b…
10-26 23:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x57250b…
10-26 23:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7cef5c…
10-26 23:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe56236…
10-26 16:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc33923…
10-26 16:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa547ab…
10-26 16:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb8bbe8…
10-26 16:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb13a97…
10-26 16:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xbc96d7…
10-26 16:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x7814ae…
10-26 16:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x657982…
10-26 16:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x8c96c9…
10-26 16:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x06f820…
10-26 16:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xb01b41…
10-26 16:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5760b7…
10-26 16:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5cc872…
10-26 16:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x289c95…
10-26 16:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x6928e6…
10-26 15:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x6c3c2b…
10-26 15:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x5b740c…
10-26 15:57:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd188b9…
10-26 15:06:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x293c7b…
10-26 14:58:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x8c62ed…
10-26 14:56:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdfae3e…
10-26 14:54:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe5c519…
10-26 14:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x517ac4…
10-26 14:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xba27a8…
10-26 14:51:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x97e0bf…
10-26 14:34:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x7a345a…
10-26 14:31:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0xd51e0e…
10-26 14:30:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	31	62¢	$19	0xeebcf3…
10-26 09:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcf8e76…
10-26 09:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	71¢	$7	0xf195af…
10-26 09:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe70ad4…
10-26 09:43:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0xe0cfb1…
10-26 09:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x932e94…
10-26 09:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x7680c1…
10-26 02:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xe6fb03…
10-26 02:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x75a055…
10-25 23:49:44	bitcoin above 80000 on october 25 2026 8pm et	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x761987…
10-25 23:33:53	bitcoin above 80000 on october 25 2026 8pm et	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x211ffa…
10-25 23:28:00	bitcoin above 80000 on october 25 2026 8pm et	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x3bc6af…
10-25 23:27:32	bitcoin above 80000 on october 25 2026 8pm et	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xff2625…
10-25 15:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xa23232…
10-25 15:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x88da7e…
10-25 15:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe37275…
10-25 15:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xbfaa40…
10-25 15:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0xf01ea8…
10-25 15:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa08588…
10-25 15:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x99df98…
10-25 15:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x380958…
10-25 14:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4c4cf9…
10-25 14:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc4c212…
10-25 13:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xe1b68b…
10-25 13:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa7f6d3…
10-25 13:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe2efae…
10-25 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa30835…
10-25 13:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x1d6223…
10-25 13:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x68456c…
10-25 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x5ba294…
10-25 12:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0bd657…
10-25 12:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa04ffd…
10-25 12:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb6b102…
10-25 12:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x6a98e3…
10-25 12:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7b6784…
10-25 12:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0xf723e2…
10-25 11:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xeff4c5…
10-25 11:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x692e41…
10-25 10:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0xfc3594…
10-25 10:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0xd26bd9…
10-25 10:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x846da9…
10-25 10:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xab75db…
10-25 10:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa8c87d…
10-25 07:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc7858a…
10-25 06:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x34ee14…
10-25 06:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x92a09c…
10-25 06:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1717f2…
10-25 05:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x4224cf…
10-25 05:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x61cfbd…
10-25 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x88ebf1…
10-25 05:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x6577c4…
10-25 05:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x36b864…
10-25 05:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x8a989a…
10-25 04:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4003ae…
10-25 04:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x87dc0b…
10-25 04:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x49b670…
10-25 04:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x0e1e85…
10-25 03:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x58ac11…
10-25 03:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x79540c…
10-24 13:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1e87ae…
10-24 13:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xb75bac…
10-24 13:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9ee2a2…
10-24 13:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x0a6304…
10-24 13:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbf5881…
10-24 12:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3e1b3b…
10-24 12:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5453f4…
10-24 08:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7b06fa…
10-24 08:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc60c76…