Vibrant-Paperback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$150

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

205

Trades

11,526

lifetime

Volume

$158.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-10 08:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-150

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down on february 2	34	$3.6K	6,764	6,764	+0	open	—	02-02 14:41
ethereum up or down on february 4	28	$2.6K	3,559	3,396	+163	open	—	02-04 14:37
ethereum up or down on january 27	15	$2.2K	3,407	2,972	+435	open	—	01-27 14:39
bitcoin up or down on february 2	29	$2.1K	3,147	3,147	+0	open	—	02-02 15:14
ethereum up or down on january 26	21	$2.0K	3,145	2,973	+172	open	—	01-26 15:56
ethereum up or down on january 18	13	$1.9K	2,049	2,033	+16	open	—	01-18 14:22
ethereum up or down on february 5	26	$1.9K	4,011	3,255	+756	open	—	02-05 14:35
bitcoin up or down on february 4	18	$1.8K	2,082	1,629	+453	open	—	02-04 13:40
bitcoin up or down on february 5	15	$1.6K	6,974	1,787	+5,187	open	—	02-05 12:34
ethereum up or down on january 23	20	$1.6K	1,683	1,683	+0	open	—	01-23 15:23
ethereum above 3200 on january 19	25	$1.5K	2,249	2,008	+241	open	—	01-19 15:17
bitcoin up or down on january 31	12	$1.4K	3,131	3,131	+0	open	—	01-31 13:51
bitcoin up or down on february 7	16	$1.4K	1,831	1,831	+0	open	—	02-07 12:50
bitcoin up or down on january 23	16	$1.1K	1,323	1,274	+49	open	—	01-23 15:23
ethereum up or down on january 15	28	$1.1K	2,129	1,285	+844	open	—	01-15 16:01
bitcoin above 86k on january 29	7	$1.1K	1,567	1,343	+224	open	—	01-29 15:53
ethereum above 3200 on january 20	12	$1.0K	1,169	991	+178	open	—	01-20 05:20
ethereum up or down on january 25	11	$950	702	702	+0	open	—	01-25 14:25
bitcoin up or down on january 21	11	$919	1,899	1,803	+96	open	—	01-21 15:08
ethereum up or down on january 20	7	$915	1,606	1,606	+0	open	—	01-20 02:30
ethereum above 2900 on january 29	11	$891	3,384	1,751	+1,634	open	—	01-29 15:54
bitcoin above 92k on january 20	9	$844	902	902	+0	open	—	01-20 08:15
ethereum up or down on january 16	17	$835	1,431	1,387	+45	open	—	01-16 15:06
ethereum up or down on february 3	11	$831	3,141	150	+2,991	open	—	02-03 10:33
ethereum above 2800 on january 26	4	$825	699	699	+0	open	—	01-26 00:08
bitcoin above 86k on january 26	4	$817	606	606	+0	open	—	01-26 03:39
ethereum up or down on february 9	7	$737	789	789	+0	open	—	02-09 17:06
ethereum up or down on february 7	14	$725	1,339	1,339	+0	open	—	02-07 14:52
bitcoin up or down february 6 2am et	25	$689	778	778	+0	open	—	02-06 07:49
ethereum up or down january 25 8am et	16	$684	578	578	+0	open	—	01-25 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 08:49:34	bitcoin up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x291f0b…
07-10 05:35:47	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xa616d5…
07-10 03:19:26	bitcoin up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xb0d11b…
07-10 02:33:53	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa6d4a3…
07-10 02:33:52	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe37edd…
07-10 01:16:47	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xfd4c53…
07-10 01:13:04	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x300cc3…
07-10 00:22:38	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x856547…
07-10 00:18:04	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xb5c0c5…
07-10 00:10:01	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x72f63b…
07-09 23:24:05	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x3a8798…
07-09 23:20:10	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd294fc…
07-09 16:20:02	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x083c2f…
07-09 15:44:37	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x36ac57…
07-09 15:17:32	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa6ca25…
07-09 13:22:41	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x3cb850…
07-09 13:18:28	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9e0631…
07-09 12:41:17	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x6ebdbc…
07-09 12:30:08	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd8625e…
07-09 12:30:07	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2c4b89…
07-09 02:14:22	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0x5fa2ca…
07-09 02:00:34	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5338fe…
07-09 00:11:35	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x32b4ab…
07-09 00:10:16	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x317e8d…
07-08 23:22:47	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x122b31…
07-08 15:15:59	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xee61d5…
07-08 14:56:58	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x789d9a…
07-08 14:01:08	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xab8358…
07-08 13:40:56	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7e5a9d…
07-08 13:40:52	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xa68f9b…
07-08 13:36:50	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x01f299…
07-08 13:33:38	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xcadc6a…
07-08 13:12:59	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x1d34ce…
07-08 13:12:55	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x5d9cb3…
07-08 12:06:22	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x243458…
07-08 11:36:37	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x89304f…
07-08 11:35:28	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x56c83a…
07-08 11:30:16	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xf85d4b…
07-08 10:36:58	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa7dceb…
07-08 10:36:31	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd68c7e…
07-08 10:24:32	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0xee53ee…
07-08 10:05:17	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x51b817…
07-08 10:04:38	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xf070ce…
07-08 09:33:34	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x696d1c…
07-08 09:33:01	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x1afdc8…
07-08 09:20:17	btc updown 15m 1783502100	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x128bc0…
07-08 09:11:25	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x30e300…
07-08 09:05:38	btc updown 15m 1783501200	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x88a55f…
07-08 09:00:49	btc updown 15m 1783501200	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x2e40a5…
07-08 08:47:28	btc updown 15m 1783500300	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x8b7286…
07-08 08:45:05	btc updown 15m 1783500300	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb0e920…
07-08 08:17:08	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x71c4c2…
07-08 07:15:02	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x4ba4f2…
07-08 07:10:41	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x870c74…
07-08 02:04:59	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x55c9f9…
07-08 01:42:34	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb7949e…
07-08 01:12:29	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x398922…
07-08 00:26:35	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xce60ce…
07-08 00:26:14	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd9763e…
07-07 15:42:14	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x60c5aa…
07-07 15:17:04	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x716eea…
07-07 14:36:01	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x63e643…
07-07 14:31:20	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xaabaa2…
07-07 14:05:16	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x10d205…
07-07 13:57:20	btc updown 15m 1783431900	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0xbb2ea4…
07-07 13:51:34	btc updown 15m 1783431900	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x466769…
07-07 13:49:14	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x1b0497…
07-07 13:01:58	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x8aa7ec…
07-07 13:01:56	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x29dee6…
07-07 11:46:41	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0x93be5b…
07-07 11:46:22	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0x7526b0…
07-07 11:45:02	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x005a89…
07-07 11:17:47	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x4640a0…
07-07 10:55:59	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x9eef8a…
07-07 10:51:40	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x42cf7f…
07-07 10:35:32	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x338ff9…
07-07 10:06:22	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x197b94…
07-07 09:04:13	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x249bb6…
07-07 09:01:41	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x99b8dc…
07-07 08:54:43	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x6491cf…
07-07 08:48:43	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xdc97ed…
07-07 08:46:34	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcb5810…
07-07 08:43:31	btc updown 15m 1783413000	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xf86dd8…
07-07 08:35:44	btc updown 15m 1783413000	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x10d333…
07-07 08:34:29	btc updown 15m 1783413000	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xc205e3…
07-07 08:34:19	btc updown 15m 1783413000	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb464ee…
07-07 08:33:11	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0c1144…
07-07 08:32:29	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x0e85b4…
07-07 08:30:10	btc updown 15m 1783412100	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfa37ea…
07-07 08:27:25	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x1d89e8…
07-07 08:26:52	btc updown 15m 1783412100	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x3fc97b…
07-07 07:33:13	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x166f8c…
07-07 04:19:19	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xfd4f03…
07-06 07:13:29	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe580c2…
07-06 06:38:16	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xd0e0a7…
07-06 05:13:58	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x1b7206…
07-06 03:20:38	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xeeff0a…
07-06 02:27:22	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xd9c790…
07-06 02:23:07	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xa43b2f…
07-06 02:09:11	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xa76f76…