Same-Thorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

608

lifetime

Volume

$4.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-04 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

98% 50% +$4

Politics

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	11	$312	720	720	+0	open	—	02-05 17:34
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 580plus	11	$216	5,688	3,133	+2,555	open	—	01-16 06:35
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 560 579	19	$214	1,984	1,984	+0	open	—	01-16 05:52
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 480 499	15	$197	1,227	1,227	+0	open	—	01-16 03:14
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	5	$164	690	510	+180	open	—	02-06 00:12
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	6	$162	620	620	+0	open	—	02-05 00:29
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 90 114	4	$134	240	240	-0	open	—	01-13 12:45
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	4	$130	310	310	+0	open	—	02-03 14:04
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	8	$122	120	120	+0	open	—	02-04 14:52
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 440 459	12	$121	1,960	0	+1,960	open	—	01-14 20:28
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	4	$108	120	120	+0	open	—	02-03 17:11
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	02-04 19:57
highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	30	$85	54	54	+0	open	—	03-24 02:01
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	2	$84	280	280	+0	open	—	02-04 17:15
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	2	$82	120	0	+120	open	—	01-16 16:20
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 360 379	2	$81	650	650	+0	open	—	02-05 04:27
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	5	$80	200	200	+0	open	—	01-31 14:22
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 380 399	2	$80	591	591	+0	open	—	01-14 05:58
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	4	$80	60	60	+0	open	—	02-14 11:12
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 460 479	4	$71	519	519	+0	open	—	01-15 22:15
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	2	$70	280	280	+0	open	—	02-04 14:30
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 480 499	3	$67	750	750	+0	open	—	01-16 21:40
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	22	$65	338	338	+0	open	—	01-10 22:01
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 420 439	16	$63	641	0	+641	open	—	01-14 13:30
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	2	$63	400	400	+0	open	—	02-04 04:29
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	2	$62	230	230	+0	open	—	01-17 00:42
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	26	$60	58	58	+0	open	—	03-20 15:03
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 580 599	10	$58	200	200	+0	open	—	01-16 22:47
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 165 189	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	02-13 07:32
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	4	$55	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	01-10 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 14:09:37	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0xb8eac3…
05-31 12:15:52	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xafa180…
05-04 15:49:16	Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1efcc8…
05-04 15:48:10	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5fcb0c…
03-24 11:00:55	highest temperature in ankara on march 24 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xe66d1f…
03-24 10:55:43	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x330520…
03-24 05:02:35	highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0x5a0057…
03-24 05:02:31	highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x5e4092…
03-24 04:37:25	highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 15corhigher	Yes	SELL	58	16¢	$9	0x26289b…
03-24 04:32:49	highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x13f536…
03-24 04:23:03	highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 15corhigher	Yes	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0x953b43…
03-24 02:01:41	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0xf92e39…
03-24 01:59:13	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x177b70…
03-24 01:58:23	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x8fc969…
03-24 01:58:23	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x62b2c2…
03-24 01:57:13	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0xf0cb49…
03-24 01:36:41	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd2e7ff…
03-24 01:36:39	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf1343e…
03-24 01:36:39	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe5a5aa…
03-24 01:36:37	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x569764…
03-24 01:36:37	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2dd8f5…
03-24 01:36:35	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x23968e…
03-24 01:36:21	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9af7b8…
03-24 01:35:45	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x894549…
03-24 01:35:43	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbd93c8…
03-24 01:35:41	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x933db7…
03-24 01:35:41	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7a978b…
03-24 01:35:39	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8fb7db…
03-24 01:35:39	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x50339b…
03-24 01:35:37	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd3266a…
03-24 01:35:37	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0e1caa…
03-24 01:35:35	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb989c9…
03-24 01:34:49	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x461d5b…
03-24 01:34:47	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7c2fc2…
03-24 01:34:43	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xeee016…
03-24 01:34:43	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x60a6e6…
03-24 01:34:41	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd18cba…
03-24 01:34:41	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x45351b…
03-24 01:34:39	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x429ea8…
03-24 00:57:21	highest temperature in chongqing on march 24 2026 20corhigher	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x0b9809…
03-24 00:57:01	highest temperature in hong kong on march 24 2026 27c	Yes	SELL	25	66¢	$17	0x38e8a6…
03-24 00:55:59	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0xcd7b48…
03-24 00:52:29	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd57bf9…
03-24 00:43:47	highest temperature in hong kong on march 24 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xe50fc0…
03-23 21:57:33	highest temperature in seattle on march 23 2026 50 51f	Yes	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x4c3622…
03-23 18:28:51	highest temperature in seattle on march 23 2026 50 51f	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xf7b0df…
03-23 18:17:07	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 23 2026 29c	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x721bd1…
03-23 17:52:39	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 23 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0bc947…
03-23 17:52:29	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 23 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xfdb9b3…
03-23 17:52:07	highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0x2d1d80…
03-23 17:30:01	highest temperature in chongqing on march 24 2026 20corhigher	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc6843a…
03-23 17:16:53	highest temperature in munich on march 25 2026 14c	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x3c9f9b…
03-23 17:15:45	highest temperature in munich on march 25 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8d6069…
03-23 16:56:17	highest temperature in hong kong on march 24 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1c448e…
03-23 16:55:57	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x31e065…
03-23 16:40:33	highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$1	0xc73db1…
03-23 16:40:33	highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xab92b9…
03-23 16:40:33	highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x78a82f…
03-23 16:40:33	highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x54fcf4…
03-23 16:39:29	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0x38ebb5…
03-23 16:39:23	highest temperature in shanghai on march 24 2026 13c	Yes	SELL	25	53¢	$13	0x41696a…
03-23 04:30:07	will mrbeasts next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xa8bb07…
03-23 04:14:43	will khamenei tweet again on march 23 2026 554	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x1705fc…
03-23 03:25:57	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 23 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x061e2f…
03-23 03:20:25	highest temperature in hong kong on march 23 2026 27c	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xa513ce…
03-23 02:34:13	highest temperature in hong kong on march 23 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xaa8f91…
03-23 02:21:17	highest temperature in taipei on march 23 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x6b301c…
03-23 02:18:41	highest temperature in taipei on march 23 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	3,243	0¢	$3	0xe65f89…
03-23 02:18:05	highest temperature in taipei on march 23 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	1,007	0¢	$4	0xac11df…
03-23 02:17:01	highest temperature in taipei on march 23 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x50f0cf…
03-23 02:16:53	highest temperature in taipei on march 23 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd60521…
03-23 02:16:03	highest temperature in taipei on march 23 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x89076b…
03-23 02:09:53	highest temperature in taipei on march 23 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x22bee6…
03-23 02:06:45	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 115 139	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xc71b40…
03-23 00:54:45	highest temperature in shanghai on march 24 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x40b236…
03-23 00:54:13	highest temperature in shanghai on march 24 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc1fbbc…
03-23 00:53:07	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x59ca96…
03-23 00:52:53	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x2e8f73…
03-23 00:52:37	highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x53f636…
03-22 22:21:09	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 140 164	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xa4f575…
03-22 21:29:21	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x2ae37a…
03-22 21:24:45	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x8c396c…
03-22 20:10:55	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3e217c…
03-22 13:39:27	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 115 139	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xc0a3e3…
03-22 12:55:57	highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7038db…
03-22 12:51:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x4d63db…
03-22 12:47:23	will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xfdd932…
03-22 04:22:19	will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x06aa44…
03-22 03:44:35	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xcca0e3…
03-22 03:40:53	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 165 189	Yes	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0x959559…
03-22 03:40:39	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0x8fb3c4…
03-21 21:20:47	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xac12d7…
03-21 17:08:19	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x915362…
03-21 16:06:41	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 115 139	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x4f4cdf…
03-21 16:06:19	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x34dfde…
03-21 16:06:07	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	Yes	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0xd03cd0…
03-21 16:05:39	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x3a3182…
03-21 09:40:07	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5c769b…
03-21 09:40:07	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 165 189	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x558b2e…
03-21 09:40:05	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 115 139	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xff069c…