Same-Thorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$399

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

483

Trades

1,579

lifetime

Volume

$8.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-08 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

94% 43% -$421

Sports

3% 54% +$26

Politics

2% 33% +$11

Crypto

0% 25% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	11	$312	720	720	+0	No	+$13	02-05 17:34
Rams vs. Broncos	14	$246	268	268	+0	Broncos	+$26	09-28 03:55
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 580plus	11	$216	5,688	3,133	+2,555	No	-$48	01-16 06:35
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 560 579	19	$214	1,984	1,984	+0	No	+$73	01-16 05:52
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 480 499	15	$197	1,227	1,227	+0	No	+$13	01-16 03:14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	6	$172	279	279	+0	No	-$3	06-08 17:36
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	5	$164	690	510	+180	No	-$6	02-06 00:12
wta garcia tia 2026 09 28	5	$164	123	123	+0	Andrea Lazaro Garcia	+$34	09-28 07:10
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	6	$162	620	620	+0	No	-$2	02-05 00:29
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	4	$140	111	111	+0	Yes	-$2	06-09 12:50
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 90 114	4	$134	240	240	-0	No	+$62	01-13 12:45
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	4	$130	310	310	+0	No	-$26	02-03 14:04
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	8	$122	120	120	+0	Yes	+$11	02-04 14:52
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 440 459	12	$121	1,960	0	+1,960	No	-$121	01-14 20:28
wta jeanjea ercan 2026 09 30	8	$113	125	90	+36	Leolia Jeanjean	-$27	09-30 17:14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	5	$110	1,725	106	+1,619	No	-$33	06-09 12:51
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	4	$108	120	120	+0	Yes	+$6	02-03 17:11
atp landalu trungel 2026 09 28	3	$105	107	107	+0	Marco Trungelliti	-$15	09-28 07:36
wnba min nyl 2026 09 29	11	$98	64	64	+0	New York Liberty	+$2	09-30 02:14
atp molcan kopriva 2026 09 28	2	$87	51	51	+0	Alex Molcan	-$3	09-28 07:52
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$86	50	50	+0	No	+$2	02-04 19:57
highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	30	$85	54	54	+0	Yes	+$9	03-24 02:01
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	2	$84	280	280	+0	No	+$0	02-04 17:15
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	2	$82	120	0	+120	No	-$82	01-16 16:20
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 360 379	2	$81	650	650	+0	No	-$3	02-05 04:27
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	5	$80	200	200	+0	No	+$0	01-31 14:22
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 380 399	2	$80	591	591	+0	No	+$3	01-14 05:58
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	4	$80	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	02-14 11:12
wta ren ma 2026 09 27	3	$74	336	336	+0	Yexin Ma	-$34	09-28 05:19
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 460 479	4	$71	519	519	+0	No	-$63	01-15 22:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 17:49:38	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xc06958…
10-08 00:08:16	Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State	Kennesaw State	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xaf08a8…
10-08 00:07:07	LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs	Maryville University	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xffb999…
10-07 21:52:52	LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs	Maryville University	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb64002…
10-07 16:17:23	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner	Phantom	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x08d2a2…
10-07 16:16:56	LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winner	Skillcamp Esport	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5bbb5b…
10-07 05:28:41	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria	Jaime Faria	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x41876e…
10-07 00:22:08	Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 49.5	Under	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1fdb5a…
10-07 00:21:09	Spread: Troy (-7.5)	Southern Miss	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x3b25d7…
10-06 21:01:29	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xccd9eb…
10-06 21:00:23	Exact Score: Luxembourg 0 - 3 Bulgaria?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7499a9…
10-06 20:03:41	Exact Score: Luxembourg 0 - 3 Bulgaria?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x0ba6e0…
10-06 20:02:27	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa78811…
10-06 18:58:51	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x34b2ed…
10-06 18:58:44	Will Algeria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x857bb8…
10-06 18:24:00	LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 Winner	Bushido Wildcats	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x923f7e…
10-06 18:18:44	Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Frites Esports Club (+2.5)	Frites Esports Club	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x256277…
10-06 18:01:18	Will Algeria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc95995…
10-06 18:00:26	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x411735…
10-06 17:52:29	Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf1e3d3…
10-06 17:46:42	LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 Winner	Bushido Wildcats	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x34cca3…
10-06 17:09:11	Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Frites Esports Club (+2.5)	Frites Esports Club	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7f3ece…
10-06 17:08:21	LoL: Galions vs BIG - Game 3 Winner	BIG	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x629546…
10-06 06:04:49	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x80f0c9…
10-06 05:59:04	Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs	InterActive Philippines	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xf59639…
10-06 05:54:42	Wuning 3: Keisuke Saitoh vs Dominik Palan	Dominik Palan	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x9c205e…
10-06 05:53:46	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0x0de5fa…
10-06 05:49:06	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x390e45…
10-06 05:18:27	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Bernard Tomic vs Timofey Skatov	Timofey Skatov	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xbd28e4…
10-06 05:12:37	Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya	Hiroki Moriya	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xc51cd9…
10-06 05:11:39	Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya	Hiroki Moriya	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0xb20a5e…
10-06 05:09:13	Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya	Hiroki Moriya	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x601a77…
10-06 04:59:24	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki	Shintaro Mochizuki	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xfe7802…
10-06 00:33:38	Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb332bf…
10-06 00:01:55	Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xb78eaa…
10-05 23:19:41	Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5	Under	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xaa67da…
10-05 22:58:22	LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 3 Winner	9z Globant	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x0087c8…
10-05 22:36:34	LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 3 Winner	9z Globant	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9b8b32…
10-05 20:46:16	Will CD Riestra win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x81271a…
10-05 19:58:28	Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe78d77…
10-05 19:58:10	Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7c971f…
10-05 19:16:28	dota2 mouz nemiga 2026 10 05 game2	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe0e0f2…
10-05 18:18:23	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf685d9…
10-05 18:15:07	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xdf4aac…
10-05 18:14:58	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Team Falcons	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x45a4df…
10-05 18:13:58	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x688dd3…
10-05 18:06:46	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	BetBoom Team	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xa094e0…
10-05 18:05:40	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xef68ef…
10-05 18:00:31	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x2aff6f…
10-05 17:56:20	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Vitality	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0xe34b0f…
10-05 17:32:07	cs2 vit fal2 2026 10 05	Vitality	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x97dc66…
10-05 17:29:13	Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x824677…
10-05 17:21:55	Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfb0692…
10-05 16:46:11	Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi	Luca Nardi	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x682af7…
10-05 16:43:13	atp ruiz nardi 2026 10 05	Luca Nardi	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdb6811…
10-03 19:25:09	Spread: Wisconsin (-20.5)	Michigan State	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x358fab…
10-03 19:18:42	Western Michigan vs. Buffalo	Western Michigan	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x5ac088…
10-03 18:19:44	Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5	Under	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x2027ca…
10-03 18:08:36	Spread: Kansas (-20.5)	Middle Tennessee	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xbf85c7…
10-03 17:56:27	Western Michigan vs. Buffalo	Western Michigan	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x36f0d9…
10-03 17:36:41	Estonia vs. Luxembourg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xfb4c38…
10-03 17:31:15	Belarus vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5afc21…
10-03 17:09:50	Croatia vs. England: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x11935f…
10-03 16:30:02	Estonia vs. Luxembourg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x25a882…
10-03 16:08:23	Belarus vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xb9bf81…
10-03 16:05:35	Iceland vs. Bulgaria: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcfa525…
10-03 07:37:00	China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin	Andrey Rublev	SELL	2	61¢	$2	0x96040e…
10-03 06:52:21	Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage	InterActive Philippines	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc7065c…
10-03 06:28:08	Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage	InterActive Philippines	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x6b905c…
10-03 06:26:38	China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin	Andrey Rublev	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x07e564…
10-03 03:29:08	Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2b0b7c…
10-03 03:27:18	Will AD Cali win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x664673…
10-03 03:21:39	China Open: Coco Gauff vs Camila Osorio	Coco Gauff	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x719278…
10-03 03:20:26	Will AD Cali win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8be6bb…
10-03 03:19:09	Montana State vs. Idaho	Montana State	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x13c71b…
10-03 03:10:41	Will AD Cali vs. Alianza FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x6eee39…
10-03 03:08:56	Will AD Cali vs. Alianza FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7272cf…
10-03 03:06:38	Penn State vs. Northwestern: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3fd1a7…
10-03 02:44:48	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 69.5	Under	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x8c7161…
10-03 02:43:17	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 69.5	Under	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x64d38c…
10-03 02:40:41	wnba dal gsv 2026 10 02 total 158pt5	Over	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xaee783…
10-03 02:39:29	wnba dal gsv 2026 10 02 total 158pt5	Over	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x6df425…
10-03 02:17:03	Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 158.5	Over	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x52dec8…
10-03 02:16:44	Liberty vs. Delaware: O/U 49.5	Under	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x9ab241…
10-03 01:56:23	Liberty vs. Delaware: O/U 49.5	Under	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x90f76e…
10-03 01:55:50	Colombia vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5e3b71…
10-03 00:57:51	Colombia vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xffc3d1…
10-03 00:54:12	Colombia vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x17f937…
10-03 00:12:32	Colombia vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x58be4c…
10-03 00:11:24	Colombia vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x41b997…
10-02 23:56:53	Liberty vs. Delaware: O/U 49.5	Under	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x79ab11…
10-02 23:48:14	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x954fe0…
10-02 23:40:14	CA Independiente vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x21d1cf…
10-02 23:35:41	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x76af0a…
10-02 23:25:53	Spread: Instituto AC Córdoba (-1.5)	Instituto AC Córdoba	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x27c2bc…
10-02 23:20:45	Liberty vs. Delaware: O/U 49.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x61a44b…
10-02 23:09:48	Spread: Instituto AC Córdoba (-1.5)	Instituto AC Córdoba	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6d50a6…
10-02 22:52:00	CA Independiente vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x69a063…
10-02 22:30:20	CA Independiente vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xd5f5c8…
10-02 22:22:33	CA Independiente vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x969b85…