Tired-Catastrophe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$540

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

2,466

Trades

7,940

lifetime

Volume

$189.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 10-21 18:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Other

96% 48% -$359

Crypto

2% 50% -$98

Politics

2% 45% -$92

Sports

0% 44% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	20	$2.8K	1,804	1,804	+0	No	+$7	10-21 03:58
atp fritz korda 2026 02 13	14	$2.8K	2,579	2,579	+0	Fritz	-$24	02-13 22:43
atp walton kovacev 2026 02 23	9	$2.6K	1,945	1,945	+0	Kovacevic	-$31	02-24 05:39
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodar	14	$2.2K	1,729	1,729	+0	Rafael Jodar	+$466	05-10 21:20
atp augeral fucsovi 2026 03 21	24	$2.2K	1,845	1,838	+7	Felix Auger-Aliassime	-$82	03-21 18:59
Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	28	$2.0K	2,266	1,773	+492	Thiago Seyboth Wild	-$54	10-17 23:56
wta svitoli gauff 2026 02 20	22	$2.0K	1,881	1,800	+81	Svitolina	+$68	02-20 18:34
atp alcaraz khachan 2026 02 19	10	$1.9K	1,171	1,171	+0	Alcaraz	+$104	02-19 19:09
atp fritz jodar 2026 02 19	5	$1.9K	1,003	1,003	+0	Fritz	+$86	02-20 03:38
atp rocha monteir 2026 03 07	11	$1.9K	1,648	1,648	+0	Henrique Rocha	+$65	03-07 16:51
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	19	$1.8K	1,777	1,587	+190	Elina Svitolina	-$117	05-16 18:46
atp rublev grieksp 2026 02 27	12	$1.7K	1,519	1,519	+0	Tallon Griekspoor	+$55	02-27 17:21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	22	$1.6K	2,271	2,271	+0	Luciano Darderi	-$411	05-13 23:55
atp virtane grieksp 2026 02 24	5	$1.5K	899	899	+0	Griekspoor	+$262	02-24 15:28
atp aguilar mannari 2026 04 02	20	$1.5K	1,781	1,502	+279	Daniel Merida Aguilar	-$228	04-03 09:51
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	21	$1.4K	1,086	1,085	+0	Casper Ruud	+$76	04-28 15:38
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensik	12	$1.3K	1,173	1,173	+0	Alexei Popyrin	-$59	05-09 23:03
atp diallo augeral 2026 03 08	17	$1.3K	1,553	1,427	+126	Felix Auger-Aliassime	+$55	03-09 03:42
atp rinderk draper 2026 02 25	18	$1.3K	1,352	1,352	+0	Rinderknech	+$133	02-25 21:18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	9	$1.3K	934	860	+73	Jannik Sinner	-$36	05-16 01:09
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	24	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Elina Svitolina	-$31	05-14 22:31
wta eala masarov 2026 06 06	10	$1.2K	863	863	+0	Alexandra Eala	+$33	06-06 12:56
atp nakashi cilic 2026 03 20	8	$1.2K	1,185	1,185	+0	Marin Cilic	-$305	03-22 02:43
Lyon Open: Jaime Faria vs Felix Balshaw	14	$1.1K	1,920	552	+1,368	Felix Balshaw	+$86	10-19 14:55
atp cobolli tiafoe 2026 03 08	7	$1.1K	973	973	+0	Frances Tiafoe	-$38	03-09 04:35
atp cerundo darderi 2026 02 15	10	$1.1K	1,145	720	+426	Cerundolo	+$93	02-15 20:44
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi	4	$1.0K	539	537	+1	Jannik Sinner	+$33	04-24 16:33
atp borges cilic 2026 06 10	17	$1.0K	849	849	+0	Marin Cilic	+$28	06-12 12:33
atp mensik grieksp 2026 02 26	6	$1.0K	748	798	-50	Tallon Griekspoor	+$155	02-26 18:50
atp grieksp zandsch 2026 06 08	10	$976	550	550	+0	Tallon Griekspoor	+$76	06-10 13:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 18:24:59	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x07a1d7…
10-21 18:15:59	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xeef8f6…
10-21 18:15:48	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x69c85a…
10-21 18:15:29	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x78819e…
10-21 18:12:12	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	Remy Bertola	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0xb2697c…
10-21 18:08:56	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	Remy Bertola	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x6b244e…
10-21 18:07:09	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	Remy Bertola	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xbee43d…
10-21 17:40:39	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	SELL	107	11¢	$12	0xbc28b3…
10-21 17:39:30	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0xa23289…
10-21 17:38:56	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	SELL	378	12¢	$45	0x4945bd…
10-21 17:38:08	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x805d26…
10-21 17:37:56	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xb360a6…
10-21 17:37:44	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	Remy Bertola	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xae7736…
10-21 17:36:42	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	Remy Bertola	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xfa8cf5…
10-21 17:35:47	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x052230…
10-21 17:35:06	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	Remy Bertola	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xabac67…
10-21 17:34:53	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x5b2888…
10-21 17:34:24	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xabd8e0…
10-21 17:33:27	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xb129be…
10-21 17:33:15	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x862570…
10-21 17:32:59	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xa55cb4…
10-21 17:07:54	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	Remy Bertola	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x5f21ea…
10-21 17:06:59	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	Remy Bertola	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x629c05…
10-21 17:06:48	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	Remy Bertola	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xe559e3…
10-21 15:23:08	Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Mikhail Kukushkin	Mikhail Kukushkin	SELL	171	1¢	$1	0x7179b3…
10-21 15:22:53	Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Mikhail Kukushkin	Mikhail Kukushkin	SELL	171	1¢	$1	0x718bc8…
10-21 15:19:14	Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Mikhail Kukushkin	Mikhail Kukushkin	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xa96823…
10-21 15:18:11	Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Mikhail Kukushkin	Mikhail Kukushkin	BUY	198	1¢	$1	0x5f9577…
10-21 15:13:17	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley	Clement Chidekh	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x210d65…
10-21 15:11:17	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x252b9e…
10-21 15:11:08	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley	Jacob Fearnley	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0xc27efb…
10-21 15:09:54	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x938821…
10-21 14:23:21	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	3	44¢	$2	0xce84ef…
10-21 14:21:54	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x69f4ed…
10-21 14:16:26	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xd390c3…
10-21 14:14:12	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Stan Wawrinka	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xfa7e81…
10-21 14:07:36	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x850880…
10-21 14:00:39	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5e06fa…
10-21 14:00:27	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdb0ad7…
10-21 14:00:06	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x359999…
10-21 13:59:51	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe9d20e…
10-21 13:58:03	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc4eba5…
10-21 13:56:57	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x13e06e…
10-21 13:51:08	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley	Clement Chidekh	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0xd4c59a…
10-21 13:50:32	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley	Clement Chidekh	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5f4658…
10-21 13:50:03	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley	Clement Chidekh	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5049e3…
10-21 13:15:47	European Open: Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor	Mariano Navone	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xccea01…
10-21 12:23:59	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8b9a1e…
10-21 12:22:48	Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xf4a94c…
10-21 12:22:05	Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev	Adrian Mannarino	SELL	11	87¢	$9	0x7d6887…
10-21 12:19:35	Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbaf852…
10-21 12:19:05	Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x718c4f…
10-21 12:18:17	European Open: Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb8aa6b…
10-21 12:18:02	European Open: Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9048c0…
10-21 12:17:36	Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	36	8¢	$3	0x6bc3c8…
10-21 12:16:48	Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x68be8d…
10-21 12:16:05	Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc38a1e…
10-21 12:14:57	Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xeb14aa…
10-21 12:14:35	European Open: Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe88088…
10-21 12:14:29	European Open: Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x787cfa…
10-21 12:13:35	Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x57c683…
10-21 12:12:56	Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6be7fd…
10-21 06:19:57	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova	Anastasia Zakharova	BUY	31	8¢	$2	0x635e0d…
10-21 05:38:48	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8d6c3e…
10-21 05:38:41	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xbede97…
10-21 05:37:59	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger	Tereza Valentova	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0xeb397b…
10-21 05:10:35	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger	Tereza Valentova	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x95b5e6…
10-21 05:10:17	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger	Tereza Valentova	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3b8758…
10-21 05:07:45	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger	Tereza Valentova	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4275b5…
10-21 05:07:38	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger	Tereza Valentova	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa29abd…
10-21 05:06:53	Almaty Open: James Duckworth vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x7ce58d…
10-21 05:06:18	Cali: Federico Coria vs Nicolas Mejia	Nicolas Mejia	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0d51fa…
10-21 04:21:14	Cali: Federico Coria vs Nicolas Mejia	Nicolas Mejia	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x37dab3…
10-21 03:58:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	318	80¢	$254	0x7857b9…
10-21 03:57:51	Cali: Federico Coria vs Nicolas Mejia	Nicolas Mejia	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf703c7…
10-21 03:56:51	Cali: Federico Coria vs Nicolas Mejia	Nicolas Mejia	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x17024b…
10-21 03:55:30	Cali: Federico Coria vs Nicolas Mejia	Federico Coria	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x6e13ed…
10-21 03:15:06	Cali: Federico Coria vs Nicolas Mejia	Federico Coria	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd5e336…
10-21 03:11:14	Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x869202…
10-21 03:10:12	Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd1d4df…
10-21 03:09:03	Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x711b32…
10-21 03:08:41	Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0f291c…
10-21 03:05:00	Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xb6e21e…
10-21 02:50:38	Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8f64dc…
10-21 02:50:30	Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd6b74b…
10-21 02:50:06	Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb8f346…
10-21 02:39:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	318	80¢	$254	0x004ff5…
10-20 21:38:36	Almaty Open: James Duckworth vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9bc142…
10-20 21:23:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	254	79¢	$200	0xc64aff…
10-20 21:23:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	382	79¢	$300	0xf737ab…
10-20 21:13:36	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Murphy Cassone	Murphy Cassone	SELL	86	5¢	$4	0x599608…
10-20 20:58:39	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Murphy Cassone	Murphy Cassone	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb35579…
10-20 20:56:24	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Murphy Cassone	Murphy Cassone	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x0737f0…
10-20 20:53:11	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Murphy Cassone	Murphy Cassone	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x0432b5…
10-20 20:48:30	Cali: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	Rodrigo Pacheco	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd30686…
10-20 20:48:00	Cali: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	Rodrigo Pacheco	SELL	43	8¢	$3	0x9cc158…
10-20 20:46:26	Cali: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4b9d2c…
10-20 20:43:12	Cali: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	Rodrigo Pacheco	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x91d55f…
10-20 20:42:59	Cali: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	Rodrigo Pacheco	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4b5aa4…
10-20 20:38:38	Cali: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	Rodrigo Pacheco	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x378d50…