Suspicious-Hashtag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.75K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,668

lifetime

Volume

$72.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$134

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-22 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

98% 89% -$4,383

Sports

1% 80% -$407

Politics

0% 100% +$62

Crypto

0% 82% -$21

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	+51	$49	90¢	$46	-$2	10-08 19:43
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+41	$36	86¢	$35	-$1	10-22 16:59
friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before october 31 2026	No	+25	$24	100¢	$25	+$1	09-25 14:47
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	+25	$23	92¢	$23	+$0	09-25 14:49
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	99¢	$5	+$1	09-25 14:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	367	$31.8K	3,151,889	0	+3,151,889	Yes	-$31,849	01-27 09:08
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	544	$19.4K	0	2,933,520	-2,933,520	No	+$19,383	01-27 18:30
will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	11	$5.1K	1,565	8,965	-7,400	No	+$3,657	01-26 09:32
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	232	$4.9K	255,946	2,599,482	-2,343,536	No	+$4,162	01-27 20:32
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	394	$4.2K	390,600	2,275,348	-1,884,748	No	+$3,386	01-27 18:58
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	1	$2.7K	0	7,400	-7,400	Yes	-$4,662	01-26 08:10
will alexander zverev win the 2026 australian open	20	$994	516	7,672	-7,156	No	+$237	01-26 06:33
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	11	$709	0	7,400	-7,400	No	+$709	01-30 14:10
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$451	558	0	+558	Yes	-$451	09-07 10:14
wta sabalen jovic 2026 01 27	7	$340	5,000	0	+5,000	Sabalenka	-$340	01-27 01:45
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?	1	$197	200	0	+200	No	+$3	08-19 06:58
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	1	$150	260	0	+260	Yes	+$110	07-08 10:04
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	2	$144	639	639	+0	No	+$112	07-23 13:17
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	2	$125	166	0	+166	No	+$41	08-19 06:56
will lorenzo musetti win the 2026 australian open	7	$124	0	7,400	-7,400	No	+$124	01-26 05:16
will alex de minaur win the 2026 australian open	4	$115	0	7,400	-7,400	No	+$115	01-26 06:16
will learner tien win the 2026 australian open	2	$112	0	7,400	-7,400	No	+$112	01-26 05:35
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$100	149	0	+149	Yes	+$49	05-14 13:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	1	$97	100	0	+100	No	+$3	08-19 06:58
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	1	$50	359	0	+359	Yes	+$309	07-08 10:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	53	0	+53	No	+$3	05-14 12:40
Iran leadership change by November 30?	2	$49	51	0	+51	open	—	10-08 19:43
will ben shelton win the 2026 australian open	3	$45	0	7,400	-7,400	No	+$45	01-26 05:13
Iran leadership change by December 31?	2	$36	41	0	+41	open	—	10-22 16:59
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	1	$30	32	0	+32	No	+$2	05-14 13:51
friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before october 31 2026	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	09-25 14:47
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	1	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	09-25 14:49
will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	1	$20	408	0	+408	No	-$20	07-23 12:40
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	05-14 13:51
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-23 12:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 16:59:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xce0e8c…
10-08 19:44:21	Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x14caab…
10-08 19:43:47	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x3ef3a8…
10-08 19:43:35	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xb47a4d…
09-25 14:49:23	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x4c3e76…
09-25 14:49:02	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x8acba2…
09-25 14:47:57	friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before october 31 2026	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xa6d6b7…
09-25 14:46:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7df8a0…
09-07 10:14:37	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	450	78¢	$351	0xb84fca…
08-19 06:58:51	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x923fab…
08-19 06:58:16	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x6ed645…
08-19 06:56:34	Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xe7a6e6…
07-23 13:17:27	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	639	20¢	$128	0x096356…
07-23 12:44:24	Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xea846a…
07-23 12:43:33	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xefc649…
07-23 12:41:10	Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x221b89…
07-23 12:40:04	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	Yes	BUY	408	5¢	$20	0x196b55…
07-08 10:08:53	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	639	3¢	$16	0x718d7d…
07-08 10:04:44	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	260	58¢	$150	0xe24d2e…
07-08 10:04:29	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	359	14¢	$50	0x726af3…
05-14 13:54:29	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x00b5e2…
05-14 13:51:53	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xf84850…
05-14 13:51:02	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7c3ed7…
05-14 12:40:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xbbd8d9…
04-17 10:46:12	Will Seoul have between 70-75mm of precipitation in April?-N5ag	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x261389…
04-17 10:43:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x881803…
04-17 10:42:18	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xb917a7…
04-17 10:41:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x0eaeda…
03-20 18:31:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xf14620…
03-20 18:30:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfc1a2c…
03-20 18:29:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9d7f25…
03-20 18:28:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xaa2637…
02-02 13:31:56	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5590b3…
02-02 13:31:48	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x846fa7…
02-02 13:31:42	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x589e87…
02-02 13:31:34	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6d9570…
02-02 13:31:08	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xc1aae8…
02-02 13:30:46	us strikes iran by february 2 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x301396…
01-30 14:10:16	will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	Yes	SELL	3,073	9¢	$277	0xbd2a2d…
01-30 14:09:58	will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$2	0xa40119…
01-27 20:32:33	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	38,222	0¢	$38	0x70ef61…
01-27 20:31:19	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	6,000	0¢	$6	0x01739b…
01-27 20:30:15	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x1b2aea…
01-27 20:25:59	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x5118ba…
01-27 20:25:21	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa2269b…
01-27 20:24:29	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5119d4…
01-27 20:22:21	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1e087b…
01-27 20:21:47	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xea5b95…
01-27 20:21:45	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	270	0¢	$0	0x5e2e65…
01-27 20:10:15	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x5f97fe…
01-27 20:07:13	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	13,000	0¢	$13	0x2b0dfc…
01-27 20:06:55	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x7c872b…
01-27 20:03:57	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x23d2b8…
01-27 20:02:05	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7512a0…
01-27 20:00:27	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x28b370…
01-27 19:59:37	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	6,880	0¢	$7	0xfaf84d…
01-27 19:58:47	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0xf2828a…
01-27 19:58:19	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x578342…
01-27 19:54:59	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	70,733	0¢	$71	0x22659a…
01-27 18:58:03	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,648	0¢	$2	0x3e8568…
01-27 18:30:41	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	143,691	0¢	$575	0x30b7f3…
01-27 18:30:19	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x54a714…
01-27 18:29:47	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$20	0xeeb1dd…
01-27 18:29:43	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x37e0db…
01-27 18:29:43	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x257c41…
01-27 18:29:41	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$20	0xdaef2d…
01-27 18:29:25	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$10	0xb7814c…
01-27 18:29:25	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	100,000	0¢	$400	0x59e817…
01-27 18:26:19	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	280	0¢	$1	0x13547a…
01-27 18:24:21	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x6f4ccb…
01-27 18:22:29	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$10	0x2cfe37…
01-27 18:22:29	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$20	0x1d7824…
01-27 18:22:07	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0x5b9cbb…
01-27 18:21:43	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0x80ecd9…
01-27 18:19:55	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$10	0xf42315…
01-27 18:18:39	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	750	0¢	$3	0xe0d6d9…
01-27 18:18:35	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0xad7a72…
01-27 18:17:31	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xb47540…
01-27 18:17:29	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0x03dcc0…
01-27 18:16:27	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	801	0¢	$3	0xe1415d…
01-27 18:14:23	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	700	0¢	$3	0x8f1937…
01-27 18:13:13	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x352d29…
01-27 18:12:27	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$10	0x3e9829…
01-27 18:12:17	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xa1f158…
01-27 18:10:17	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x8ff3f8…
01-27 18:10:17	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x89e929…
01-27 18:10:07	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0x04bf7a…
01-27 18:10:05	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	7,000	0¢	$28	0x9d7a9a…
01-27 18:09:39	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x46e121…
01-27 18:07:31	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x582f70…
01-27 18:06:09	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xed8209…
01-27 18:05:53	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0x93e377…
01-27 18:04:27	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,399	0¢	$6	0xc1f5f8…
01-27 18:04:27	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,099	0¢	$8	0x9a4d53…
01-27 18:04:27	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x70e61e…
01-27 18:04:27	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,399	0¢	$6	0x580c07…
01-27 18:04:23	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	515,039	0¢	$2,060	0x92bc6f…
01-27 16:40:19	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xbf219c…
01-27 16:17:09	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	18,092	0¢	$18	0xe0b38d…
01-27 16:06:59	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x2d7aca…