Happy-Go-Lucky-Sandbar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.3%

Resolved

403

Trades

1,282

lifetime

Volume

$55.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-26 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

73% 31% -$5,106

Sports

26% 29% +$1,828

Politics

1% 50% +$24

Crypto

0% 40% -$28

Tech

0% 50% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$2.9K	4,289	4,289	+0	Yes	+$1,772	07-19 21:47
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	26	$1.7K	36,091	24,615	+11,476	No	-$809	10-26 09:11
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$1.6K	5,576	5,576	+0	No	-$103	07-07 17:47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	6	$1.3K	1,185	1,185	+0	Yes	+$10	05-16 15:37
elc cov der 2026 04 03 cov	2	$1.2K	909	909	+0	Yes	+$409	04-03 20:44
elc wba wre 2026 04 03 wba	2	$847	667	667	+0	No	+$447	04-03 15:54
nor vif vik 2026 04 06 total 2pt5	3	$837	985	985	+0	Under	-$163	04-06 13:59
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$772	572	572	+0	No	+$371	07-19 22:37
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$698	1,005	1,005	+0	Yes	-$104	10-25 12:25
uwcl oly wob 2026 04 02 btts	3	$681	418	418	+0	No	+$154	04-02 20:56
mls nyc clt 2026 04 18 nyc	1	$680	1,478	0	+1,478	No	-$680	04-19 00:36
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	36	$672	12,501	10,238	+2,263	Yes	-$176	10-26 15:19
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	12	$609	507	507	+0	Yes	-$8	08-27 09:16
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 total 3pt5	2	$585	458	458	+0	Under	-$10	02-28 17:18
Will Arsenal record the most clean sheets in the UCL league phase?	4	$584	841	841	+0	open	—	10-06 18:25
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	5	$581	1,134	1,134	+0	Yes	-$184	05-06 16:21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$549	1,626	1,626	+0	No	-$3	06-07 04:56
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	2	$511	559	543	+16	Yes	+$477	04-25 15:21
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$502	2,090	2,090	+0	open	—	08-16 20:02
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$497	8,960	8,960	+0	No	-$205	08-20 16:08
mls nyc mia 2026 03 22 mia	2	$486	676	676	+0	Yes	-$14	03-22 18:27
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	4	$483	1,788	1,788	+0	open	—	08-20 12:09
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$479	2,280	2,280	+0	open	—	07-27 13:40
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	5	$460	2,090	2,090	+0	open	—	08-16 20:02
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	44	$458	3,592	830	+2,761	Yes	-$330	10-26 15:19
epl new mun 2026 03 04 new	4	$456	360	360	+0	Yes	+$6	03-04 21:34
nor tro lil 2026 04 15 tro	2	$442	750	750	+0	No	-$158	04-15 18:39
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	3	$414	790	790	+0	Mbappé	-$19	10-24 22:00
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	16	$413	5,671	5,671	-0	open	—	08-08 22:23
will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	2	$408	230	230	+0	No	+$52	07-09 22:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:21:06	Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	150	5¢	$7	0x08c102…
10-26 15:19:36	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	77	5¢	$4	0x8a372f…
10-26 15:19:17	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7fe66c…
10-26 15:19:12	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x31f790…
10-26 15:19:06	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xe30dd7…
10-26 15:18:09	Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x52867d…
10-26 15:17:54	Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x311fc7…
10-26 15:16:18	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x7a6489…
10-26 15:16:08	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	98	34¢	$33	0xadcd85…
10-26 15:15:53	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x8657f2…
10-26 15:15:11	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	90	12¢	$11	0x9c97b4…
10-26 09:11:27	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,767	0¢	$8	0x0291ed…
10-26 09:03:11	Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x185fc7…
10-26 09:01:30	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	98	19¢	$18	0x3aef5e…
10-26 08:57:44	Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x1476e1…
10-25 20:51:51	Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	159	6¢	$9	0xa5f62a…
10-25 19:22:20	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	160	6¢	$10	0x59f211…
10-25 18:56:00	Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0xa51219…
10-25 16:13:15	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	800	8¢	$64	0xf18c3a…
10-25 15:01:20	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	124	6¢	$7	0xfe8dd7…
10-25 15:00:21	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x2a4ecc…
10-25 15:00:08	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	599	9¢	$55	0x610cc2…
10-25 14:58:09	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	763	3¢	$20	0xe2f9cc…
10-25 12:45:44	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	166	29¢	$48	0xea2ec4…
10-25 12:28:00	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,400	3¢	$36	0xe72485…
10-25 12:27:30	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	678	9¢	$59	0xed1e0a…
10-25 12:25:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1,005	30¢	$297	0xfdf019…
10-25 12:11:09	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,555	0¢	$8	0x91c38b…
10-25 12:07:14	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x6a486d…
10-25 12:05:26	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xb46432…
10-25 07:26:27	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x6ef83b…
10-24 22:23:56	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,413	0¢	$4	0x478aea…
10-24 22:20:18	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$16	0xb39e0b…
10-24 22:01:59	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	720	7¢	$50	0xd63363…
10-24 22:00:59	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	790	25¢	$197	0x3d7599…
10-24 21:55:17	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xe472cd…
10-24 21:54:15	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	130	6¢	$7	0x396be1…
10-24 21:52:48	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	291	6¢	$19	0xe5e1cb…
10-24 21:51:18	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	245	5¢	$12	0x348e88…
10-24 21:48:06	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	329	0¢	$1	0xfa16be…
10-24 21:45:48	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xadb0a7…
10-24 21:44:33	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x6ae545…
10-24 21:44:08	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x495926…
10-24 18:44:02	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	406	2¢	$10	0xda9c38…
10-24 18:42:39	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	144	30¢	$43	0x6c8391…
10-24 18:39:30	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	144	32¢	$46	0x4ae1e0…
10-24 17:03:21	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	104	4¢	$4	0x465a6f…
10-24 13:52:48	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x52c224…
10-24 13:23:12	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	408	5¢	$20	0xc478d7…
10-24 12:39:27	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	292	5¢	$15	0xff326d…
10-23 10:03:00	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,454	0¢	$6	0x39cc73…
10-23 10:02:38	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 31?	No	SELL	110	5¢	$6	0x575cf4…
10-22 21:10:09	Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	126	28¢	$35	0xfa38f0…
10-22 20:43:09	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1,153	2¢	$22	0x308a4e…
10-22 20:08:39	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xceae9f…
10-22 20:06:35	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	120	5¢	$6	0x113169…
10-22 20:06:02	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0x0df7a0…
10-22 20:05:47	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x776b92…
10-22 20:02:59	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	63	31¢	$20	0x0d3a4f…
10-22 19:59:12	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1,108	2¢	$21	0xf513a9…
10-22 18:54:18	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	176	31¢	$55	0xaee7e1…
10-22 17:48:29	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	319	8¢	$26	0xbd9662…
10-22 16:08:00	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	536	28¢	$150	0x9206f3…
10-22 15:27:05	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	16,180	0¢	$49	0x7e682b…
10-22 15:26:08	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6,114	2¢	$113	0xee1219…
10-22 15:06:57	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc544ce…
10-22 15:04:08	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	298	10¢	$30	0x4ace1e…
10-22 15:02:48	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb3a1eb…
10-22 15:02:11	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	271	29¢	$79	0x4dc7c5…
10-22 11:47:45	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2,116	0¢	$8	0x1112a8…
10-22 11:42:14	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xf26b3f…
10-22 11:41:36	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x55e981…
10-22 11:41:18	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x609a82…
10-22 11:40:59	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xa5ea56…
10-22 11:36:12	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x9bd8a9…
10-22 11:35:42	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x026f5d…
10-22 10:12:24	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	271	35¢	$95	0x63c25e…
10-22 09:43:21	Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	449	23¢	$103	0x1eaf6c…
10-21 10:35:20	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 31?	No	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xeb36ba…
10-21 10:35:20	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 31?	No	BUY	92	6¢	$5	0x1a750c…
10-21 10:26:15	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x843130…
10-21 10:15:50	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xbca895…
10-20 20:09:27	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x530248…
10-20 19:32:20	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xa28f12…
10-20 18:44:17	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0xecdec8…
10-20 18:43:59	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	52	4¢	$2	0x43adf2…
10-20 17:29:27	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	40	4¢	$1	0x3aeaec…
10-20 16:20:27	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x5e949f…
10-20 08:35:40	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	254	26¢	$66	0xd4f832…
10-19 22:05:00	Will Greece win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Yes	SELL	1,311	2¢	$26	0xb98125…
10-19 22:04:54	Will Italy win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Yes	SELL	3,761	1¢	$46	0x12c7fb…
10-19 12:57:50	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x290e55…
10-19 12:56:57	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11,903	0¢	$48	0xdea9ef…
10-18 15:58:59	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x73f282…
10-18 15:58:29	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x172c29…
10-18 15:56:17	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x15f3e6…
10-18 15:54:32	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x6045a6…
10-18 15:54:11	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x063187…
10-18 15:52:06	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xe2f983…
10-18 15:51:41	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xa115f3…