Jaded-Basin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

521

Trades

597

lifetime

Volume

$4.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-26 13:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 99% -$15

Other

14% 88% +$7

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+5	$4	5¢	$0	-$3	05-13 13:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	23	$160	55,000	55,000	+0	No	$0	02-25 02:11
solana above 120 on june 23 2026	5	$103	52	52	+0	No	+$0	06-21 05:40
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	8	$100	20,000	20,000	+0	No	-$20	03-22 02:45
will bitcoin dip to 82k january 12 18	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-16 13:25
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of September 14 2026?	2	$74	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-14 01:27
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026?	2	$74	40	40	+0	No	-$1	09-14 00:02
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	2	$71	40	40	+0	No	$0	09-14 01:02
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	2	$70	40	40	+0	No	-$1	09-14 00:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 8	1	$67	67	0	+67	No	+$0	01-06 23:41
Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 11?	1	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$0	08-08 09:27
solana above 120 on june 21 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	06-19 06:29
bitcoin above 72k on june 15 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	06-14 12:10
will bitcoin reach 80k april 6 12	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-12 08:31
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	4	$45	22,500	22,500	+0	No	+$0	05-19 14:40
will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	02-28 10:30
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$39	11,260	11,260	+0	No	+$9	01-26 14:09
will rklb reach 110 by june 22 2026	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-22 05:07
solana above 90 on june 20 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-19 06:29
solana above 130 on june 22 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-19 06:29
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	3	$26	12,542	12,541	+1	No	+$0	01-28 04:25
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?	3	$23	20	5	+15	open	—	05-19 00:40
will solana reach 100 march 2 8	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	03-08 08:50
will ethereum reach 2300 march 2 8	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	03-08 08:50
bitcoin above 78k on february 28	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-27 00:33
will solana dip to 20 february 9 15	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-12 10:34
solana above 90 on january 9	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	01-06 23:43
will ethereum dip to 2600 january 12 18	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-16 13:25
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-31 07:18
bitcoin above 80k on january 9	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	01-06 23:40
will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-12 10:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 13:28:08	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57c9ef…
09-14 01:31:55	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x149c4f…
09-14 01:31:19	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x0803a6…
09-14 01:27:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of September 14 2026?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0xf41097…
09-14 01:27:19	will googl reach 370 by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xbb8ebe…
09-14 01:27:16	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x976b49…
09-14 01:26:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x532ddd…
09-14 01:22:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf47cc5…
09-14 01:22:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf72073…
09-14 01:18:46	will googl reach 370 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x58352f…
09-14 01:18:36	will googl reach 370 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x20bbb5…
09-14 01:02:34	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	No	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0xa85253…
09-14 01:01:07	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x5324b2…
09-14 00:45:40	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x9b8d4b…
09-14 00:44:19	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x2c6d01…
09-14 00:02:19	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x31cdf1…
09-14 00:00:07	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x822189…
09-13 02:49:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x338536…
09-13 02:48:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x78b0eb…
09-13 02:48:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x895ed9…
09-01 10:56:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x36b209…
09-01 10:56:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa6e326…
09-01 10:56:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4d978…
08-15 10:02:00	ethereum above 2400 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xefee97…
08-15 10:01:10	ethereum above 2300 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0beaad…
08-15 10:00:48	ethereum above 2000 on august 16 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x107ad8…
08-15 10:00:10	bitcoin above 74k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x86cef5…
08-15 09:59:45	bitcoin above 74k on august 17 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa5db19…
08-15 09:58:51	bitcoin above 68k on august 16 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1a3f81…
08-10 03:29:22	will ng dip to 2 00 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xa06a2b…
08-10 03:21:31	will ng dip to 2 00 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x8470ee…
08-08 10:30:15	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x799884…
08-08 09:30:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24f6c6…
08-08 09:28:21	will xrp reach 3 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdea0a4…
08-08 09:28:00	will bitcoin reach 72k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33fcd3…
08-08 09:27:24	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 11?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$59	0xcd0432…
08-08 09:27:09	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd227af…
08-08 09:26:48	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70eb76…
08-08 09:25:45	bitcoin above 56k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcd2639…
08-08 09:25:31	bitcoin above 54k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x646443…
08-08 09:25:13	bitcoin above 60k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x69fdda…
08-08 09:24:55	bitcoin above 68k on august 8 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1e2850…
08-01 07:08:59	will solana dip to 40 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04d3ea…
08-01 07:08:42	will ethereum dip to 1400 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72d9d1…
08-01 07:08:27	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e60b8…
08-01 07:08:11	ethereum above 2000 on august 1 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c287c…
08-01 07:07:42	bitcoin above 66k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3faa8e…
07-23 00:57:18	ethereum above 1400 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f6099…
07-23 00:57:03	ethereum above 2300 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda2d76…
07-23 00:56:52	ethereum above 2300 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x116c5e…
07-23 00:56:15	bitcoin above 74k on july 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4260cb…
07-23 00:55:40	bitcoin above 72k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa24c92…
07-23 00:55:18	bitcoin above 72k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x042161…
07-23 00:54:43	bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa43ee2…
07-23 00:53:09	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x754238…
07-23 00:52:36	StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xf6b26f…
07-03 11:26:32	bitcoin above 50k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x570586…
07-03 11:26:20	bitcoin above 54k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e3975…
07-03 11:26:10	bitcoin above 68k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7cddd9…
07-02 15:36:11	will tsla dip to 345 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc70ca4…
07-02 15:35:50	will xauusd reach 4400 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfff6ef…
07-02 15:35:38	will aapl dip to 256 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4a538…
07-02 15:35:22	will googl dip to 315 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f7a4c…
07-02 15:32:13	nvda above 225 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9e6d5c…
07-02 15:31:49	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x68e507…
06-25 10:11:05	bitcoin above 70k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaf8629…
06-25 10:10:50	bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x362d4c…
06-25 10:10:31	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3fa072…
06-22 05:07:41	will rklb reach 110 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x67652d…
06-22 05:01:55	will rklb reach 110 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x7669f2…
06-21 05:40:50	solana above 120 on june 23 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x865560…
06-20 22:56:32	solana above 120 on june 23 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x19b231…
06-20 17:52:04	solana above 120 on june 23 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x18e46c…
06-20 11:54:07	solana above 120 on june 23 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x639196…
06-19 06:30:01	solana above 120 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$51	0x69efd1…
06-19 06:29:44	solana above 130 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x21bb8b…
06-19 06:29:32	solana above 120 on june 21 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x213970…
06-19 06:29:20	solana above 90 on june 20 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xad6561…
06-14 12:10:28	bitcoin above 72k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd4a6cc…
06-05 15:18:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x804dcb…
06-05 15:17:46	will nvda reach 240 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x99bb63…
06-05 15:17:33	aapl above 340 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2079d…
06-05 15:17:18	meta above 690 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ffbde…
06-05 15:17:00	nvda above 240 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x31e94a…
06-04 10:44:03	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on June 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2c61a6…
06-04 10:43:49	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on June 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa76612…
06-04 10:43:31	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on June 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18e921…
06-04 10:42:52	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on June 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb8271…
06-04 10:42:37	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on June 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e45e2…
06-04 10:42:24	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7b13ec…
06-04 10:42:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x51f12b…
06-04 10:41:18	xrp above 1pt8 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x059c57…
06-04 10:41:01	xrp above 1pt6 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea3da3…
06-04 10:40:18	xrp above 1pt6 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x95bb1f…
06-04 10:39:06	solana above 80 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58a046…
06-04 10:38:24	ethereum above 2000 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xde0b74…
06-04 10:37:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on June 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x62eb57…
06-04 10:37:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on June 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c8360…
06-04 10:37:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x10ebf2…
06-04 10:37:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x84dd6d…