Old-Fashioned-Grease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

1.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$524

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 11-10 11:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

100% 89% -$13

Sports

0% 50% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 11?	No		+8	$8	99¢	$8	$0	11-10 11:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	6	$10.8K	6,856	5,000	+1,856	No	-$18	04-16 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 6?	2	$5.3K	2,650	2,650	+0	No	+$0	09-05 02:03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 28?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	05-27 13:23
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 223.5	3	$18	0	27	-27	Over	-$9	10-30 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 21?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-20 00:55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 19?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	06-18 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 17?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	10-17 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 7?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-06 10:47
tsla close above 440 on june 8 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-06 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 4?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	11-03 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-19 10:45
fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	1	$8	9	0	+9	Belgium	+$0	06-26 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 11?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	11-10 11:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 25?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	10-24 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 7?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-06 14:56
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 5?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-04 11:57
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	1	$7	7	0	+7	Türkiye	+$0	06-11 01:13
Packers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 28.5	1	$6	7	0	+7	Over	+$1	10-04 03:51
Titans vs. Giants: O/U 60.5	1	$6	6	0	+6	Under	+$0	09-26 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 13?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	10-13 00:51
nba hou lal 2026 04 21 total 205pt5	1	$5	10	0	+10	Under	-$5	04-20 10:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 16?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-15 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 10?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-09 02:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 11:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1eccd5…
11-03 10:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7f8f1c…
10-30 15:08:12	Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 223.5	Over	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x7c16e2…
10-30 15:07:51	Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 223.5	Over	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0xcd2a74…
10-30 15:07:25	Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 223.5	Over	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xbb53fd…
10-24 05:53:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x4b7da0…
10-19 10:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5cd67f…
10-17 06:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 17?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x6d1622…
10-15 13:37:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57d58f…
10-13 00:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 13?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x860f0d…
10-09 02:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x64e949…
10-04 03:51:25	Packers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 28.5	Over	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xde0957…
09-26 15:11:03	Titans vs. Giants: O/U 60.5	Under	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc73281…
09-05 02:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 6?	No	SELL	2,650	100¢	$2,645	0x77ab28…
09-04 15:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 6?	No	BUY	2,650	100¢	$2,645	0xf2f6d6…
07-06 14:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 7?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x45c9c8…
07-04 11:57:01	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 5?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xc4dd8a…
06-26 16:20:17	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x74c58f…
06-18 07:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 19?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xee6426…
06-11 01:13:21	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Türkiye	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x879110…
06-06 02:24:45	tsla close above 440 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x32fd2e…
05-27 13:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa3a675…
05-20 00:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 21?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x7b3e28…
05-06 10:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x75a5ea…
04-20 10:50:54	nba hou lal 2026 04 21 total 205pt5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x738a4f…
04-16 06:52:26	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0xbb2382…
04-16 06:51:52	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	4,800	98¢	$4,714	0xada5eb…
04-16 06:48:28	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	2,500	98¢	$2,452	0x441e4a…
04-16 06:45:32	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	928	2¢	$21	0x53849e…
04-16 06:44:28	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	928	99¢	$916	0x523591…
04-16 06:43:40	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,467	0x905631…