Realized P&L
+$4.48K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.67K
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved
4
Trades
13,251
lifetime
Volume
$2.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$174
Open exposure
$1.61K
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 07-24 18:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
94% 67% +$4,534
Other
6% 0% $-56
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 497 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,498 $3,077 52¢ $1.3K $-1,791 07-22 22:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +150 $-11 99¢ $149 +$160 07-18 09:27
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +216 $67 44¢ $94 +$27 07-09 05:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +50 $14 48¢ $24 +$11 07-16 14:18
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +26 $20 64¢ $16 $-4 07-07 14:55
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $-0 07-07 15:08
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 83¢ $8 +$2 06-21 00:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +10 $6 78¢ $8 +$1 06-21 00:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +10 $5 66¢ $7 +$1 06-21 00:18
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +5 $4 75¢ $4 $-0 07-09 13:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +10 $5 30¢ $3 $-2 06-21 00:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +150 $80 $1 $-79 06-30 09:23