Serpentine-Charity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved

Trades

935

lifetime

Volume

$5.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-09 13:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Politics

36% 50% $-20

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	20	$433	304	304	+0	open	—	04-30 15:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	27	$430	222	222	+0	open	—	04-10 07:57
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 total 3pt5	64	$414	579	568	+11	open	—	04-15 18:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	81	$317	237	237	+0	open	—	04-09 21:08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$267	134	134	+0	open	—	04-08 15:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	47	$260	332	332	+0	open	—	04-07 23:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	83	$251	197	197	+0	open	—	04-09 19:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	3	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	05-09 12:56
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	2	$89	45	45	+0	open	—	05-09 12:57
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	18	$87	56	44	+12	open	—	04-10 14:24
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	3	$86	44	44	+0	open	—	05-09 12:57
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	2	$86	45	45	+0	open	—	05-09 12:57
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	5	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	05-09 12:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	34	$82	45	45	+0	open	—	04-30 14:48
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	14	$76	42	42	+0	open	—	04-10 08:06
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	6	$69	36	36	+0	open	—	04-10 07:56
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	13	$63	52	52	+0	open	—	04-10 08:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$60	35	35	+0	open	—	04-30 14:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	4	$60	89	87	+2	open	—	04-30 14:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	6	$59	31	31	+0	open	—	04-30 14:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	25	$54	34	34	+0	open	—	04-30 14:48
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	3	$53	66	0	+66	open	—	04-12 12:53
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	11	$51	33	33	+0	open	—	04-10 07:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	8	$51	28	28	+0	open	—	04-10 03:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$48	34	33	+1	open	—	04-30 14:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$45	36	38	-2	open	—	05-09 07:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$44	27	27	+0	open	—	05-09 12:59
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-10 07:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	5	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 14:48
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	2	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	04-30 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 13:02:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x017ecc…
05-09 13:02:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x2af3b4…
05-09 13:01:20	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x29658e…
05-09 13:01:06	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0x7f6bb9…
05-09 13:00:42	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xa61518…
05-09 13:00:31	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0xb11ea6…
05-09 12:59:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xd2144a…
05-09 12:59:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0x644cbe…
05-09 12:59:07	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x80addc…
05-09 12:58:57	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x0d66f1…
05-09 12:58:03	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0xfa9a11…
05-09 12:57:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0xa80153…
05-09 12:57:33	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$43	0xf6ba35…
05-09 12:57:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x44f4c8…
05-09 12:56:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x270a40…
05-09 12:55:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xccba40…
05-09 07:05:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x212fa6…
05-09 07:04:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x16b8be…
05-09 07:02:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x4a7f05…
05-09 06:49:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x33e7ea…
05-09 06:46:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x7905b9…
05-07 06:44:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x7d9c65…
05-06 19:54:29	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	88	24¢	$21	0x65d366…
05-06 10:21:00	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x6871e2…
05-06 10:20:52	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xafaa85…
05-06 05:00:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3b4279…
05-06 04:31:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xcc1435…
05-06 03:24:44	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x7b66b3…
05-05 22:23:50	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x9cce60…
05-05 22:20:46	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf58c83…
05-05 22:16:16	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x7e2b1a…
05-05 22:10:54	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x560f93…
05-05 20:06:16	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x20f858…
05-05 08:08:38	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x5641d2…
05-05 08:08:26	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x0c04b5…
05-05 08:08:14	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe21fc2…
05-05 01:45:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x2894e1…
05-05 01:32:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x17557e…
05-05 00:28:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9e1451…
05-04 18:48:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x52be25…
05-04 17:44:08	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x87566b…
05-04 17:43:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0xd21d43…
05-04 14:40:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8406b1…
05-04 08:08:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xff10e2…
05-04 03:00:28	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0x501212…
05-04 03:00:04	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0eba0f…
05-04 02:45:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4f7b22…
05-04 02:41:02	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf10885…
05-04 01:56:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8d2f6e…
05-04 01:56:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0f8c50…
05-03 23:27:34	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x41a07d…
05-03 21:16:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x4d8277…
05-03 18:48:48	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0xc36138…
05-03 16:50:00	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	101	21¢	$21	0x0708c3…
05-03 12:37:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$45	0x59d783…
05-03 07:44:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf4af76…
05-03 02:09:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x18d372…
05-02 21:37:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x9ea25d…
05-02 15:51:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0a8353…
05-02 15:48:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xe1e16a…
05-02 13:44:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf46ed7…
05-02 11:48:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x60166d…
05-02 11:11:14	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa09f45…
05-02 10:51:32	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x37effc…
04-30 15:03:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x747525…
04-30 15:03:28	megaeth fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x5b8e0d…
04-30 15:03:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xb74245…
04-30 15:02:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa892eb…
04-30 15:01:34	megaeth fdv above 1pt2b one day after launch	No	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0xfed2a5…
04-30 15:01:28	megaeth fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xc20f35…
04-30 15:01:06	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4a3d5d…
04-30 15:00:58	Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa0af68…
04-30 15:00:42	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xf13ee9…
04-30 15:00:34	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x2cc8d4…
04-30 15:00:26	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1395cf…
04-30 15:00:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x42de35…
04-30 14:58:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$18	0x83ebf5…
04-30 14:58:00	Will Solana dip to $50 in April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2e10cb…
04-30 14:57:52	Will Solana dip to $60 in April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa184d7…
04-30 14:57:44	Will Solana dip to $70 in April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaee8d3…
04-30 14:54:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x6e9228…
04-30 14:53:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x293b9c…
04-30 14:53:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1917b0…
04-30 14:52:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5d0938…
04-30 14:52:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb2c13b…
04-30 14:52:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf6d601…
04-30 14:51:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xa2012c…
04-30 14:49:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x24ee3e…
04-30 14:49:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x134ce0…
04-30 14:48:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x0dc98f…
04-30 14:48:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x53b844…
04-30 14:48:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x9df1a4…
04-30 14:48:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x9d0c1c…
04-30 14:48:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xa8ba39…
04-30 14:48:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xb922be…
04-30 14:47:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x060a16…
04-30 03:52:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x10bf02…
04-29 13:45:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x0abc11…
04-29 13:45:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x79f7f4…
04-29 13:45:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x1938c2…