Robust-Outside-Mortal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$839

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 07-19 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 67% +$43

Other

4% 100% +$0

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1774704300	3	$203	176	175	+1	open	—	03-28 13:31
eth updown 5m 1774703700	3	$101	77	76	+1	open	—	03-28 13:19
eth updown 5m 1774705200	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	03-28 13:41
eth updown 5m 1774705800	3	$60	47	46	+1	open	—	03-28 13:54
eth updown 5m 1774622700	4	$53	42	41	+1	open	—	03-27 14:48
eth updown 5m 1774705500	3	$41	49	33	+16	open	—	03-28 13:49
eth updown 5m 1774703400	3	$30	238	0	+238	open	—	03-28 13:13
eth updown 5m 1774623000	3	$30	64	0	+64	open	—	03-27 14:50
eth updown 5m 1774704000	3	$30	73	33	+40	open	—	03-28 13:24
eth updown 5m 1774704600	2	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	03-28 13:31
eth updown 5m 1774623300	2	$20	107	0	+107	open	—	03-27 14:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$20	78	0	+78	Down	$-20	05-07 08:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$15	44	0	+44	Up	+$29	05-07 08:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$15	40	0	+40	Down	$-15	05-07 08:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$15	40	0	+40	Up	+$25	05-07 08:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$10	31	0	+31	Up	+$21	05-07 09:06
eth updown 5m 1774706100	1	$10	54	0	+54	open	—	03-28 13:56
eth updown 5m 1774704900	1	$10	53	0	+53	open	—	03-28 13:36
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	07-03 05:59
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-07 09:10
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	07-19 13:48
eth updown 5m 1776327900	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	04-16 08:26
highest temperature in london on march 28 2026 12c	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-27 14:43
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-08 06:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-21 14:54
eth updown 5m 1774622400	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-27 14:44
will an artwork sell for 150 million by december 31	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-08 06:37
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-08 06:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 13:48:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x15b3ac…
07-03 05:59:25	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc3bfa3…
06-21 14:54:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe62b99…
06-08 06:37:31	will an artwork sell for 150 million by december 31	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcd25ae…
06-08 06:37:01	MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x071b30…
06-08 06:32:34	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x9dd1b6…
05-07 09:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x77082a…
05-07 09:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4510f3…
05-07 08:42:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x05a4bc…
05-07 08:41:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x4d322c…
05-07 08:38:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8035e2…
05-07 08:38:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x8a92bc…
05-07 08:20:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa192a7…
05-07 08:20:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x441b35…
05-07 08:15:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8036cb…
05-07 08:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x57e5dc…
04-16 08:35:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xac0756…
04-16 08:32:52	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6735fe…
04-16 08:26:48	eth updown 5m 1776327900	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3c5111…
03-28 13:56:33	eth updown 5m 1774706100	Up	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xa6da94…
03-28 13:54:59	eth updown 5m 1774705800	Up	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x726bce…
03-28 13:51:53	eth updown 5m 1774705800	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4b5ad1…
03-28 13:50:39	eth updown 5m 1774705800	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4f2d32…
03-28 13:49:13	eth updown 5m 1774705500	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x112081…
03-28 13:48:17	eth updown 5m 1774705500	Up	SELL	33	79¢	$26	0x2cbe8c…
03-28 13:46:21	eth updown 5m 1774705500	Up	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xa59da1…
03-28 13:41:15	eth updown 5m 1774705200	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xaf4a77…
03-28 13:36:59	eth updown 5m 1774704900	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xfdf23b…
03-28 13:31:57	eth updown 5m 1774704600	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x023b23…
03-28 13:31:47	eth updown 5m 1774704600	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xa839ce…
03-28 13:31:13	eth updown 5m 1774704300	Up	SELL	175	99¢	$173	0x452430…
03-28 13:26:17	eth updown 5m 1774704300	Up	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0x3d9963…
03-28 13:25:55	eth updown 5m 1774704300	Up	BUY	115	17¢	$20	0x0bf7c6…
03-28 13:24:37	eth updown 5m 1774704000	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x07cb95…
03-28 13:24:05	eth updown 5m 1774704000	Down	SELL	33	29¢	$10	0xaa6c7e…
03-28 13:20:45	eth updown 5m 1774704000	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x68211a…
03-28 13:19:13	eth updown 5m 1774703700	Down	SELL	76	94¢	$71	0x1406eb…
03-28 13:16:37	eth updown 5m 1774703700	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x24f5a0…
03-28 13:15:53	eth updown 5m 1774703700	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x92eb63…
03-28 13:13:21	eth updown 5m 1774703400	Down	BUY	152	7¢	$10	0x823784…
03-28 13:12:19	eth updown 5m 1774703400	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xf33752…
03-28 13:12:07	eth updown 5m 1774703400	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x5e22bc…
03-27 14:56:45	eth updown 5m 1774623300	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xe2881b…
03-27 14:55:53	eth updown 5m 1774623300	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x022d15…
03-27 14:50:29	eth updown 5m 1774623000	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf4d01d…
03-27 14:50:17	eth updown 5m 1774623000	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4c7d26…
03-27 14:50:11	eth updown 5m 1774623000	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xff87b7…
03-27 14:48:03	eth updown 5m 1774622700	Up	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xf420f2…
03-27 14:47:01	eth updown 5m 1774622700	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5ae557…
03-27 14:46:29	eth updown 5m 1774622700	Down	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0x1a1de5…
03-27 14:45:39	eth updown 5m 1774622700	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x307540…
03-27 14:44:29	eth updown 5m 1774622400	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8834ed…
03-27 14:43:29	highest temperature in london on march 28 2026 12c	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x465c5f…