Bare-Cliff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$116

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

659

Trades

903

lifetime

Volume

$7.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-15 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 81% -$6

Politics

27% 35% -$55

Other

16% 73% -$45

Tech

1% 0% -$11

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+24	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	06-14 14:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$373	606	606	+0	No	+$1	05-21 19:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$286	960	960	+0	No	-$17	04-26 13:25
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$276	693	693	+0	No	+$0	04-22 18:27
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$214	240	240	+0	No	+$2	04-21 20:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	12	$188	170	167	+3	Yes	-$3	05-22 20:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	9	$183	231	231	+0	No	-$3	05-29 15:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	5	$137	120	120	+0	Yes	-$3	04-27 17:34
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	2	$116	102	102	+0	Up	-$7	04-27 02:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$108	480	480	+0	No	-$2	04-21 17:12
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	8	$108	134	134	+0	No	-$9	04-27 16:54
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$107	120	120	+0	Yes	+$1	05-26 03:56
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	5	$101	116	116	+0	No	$0	05-28 15:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	4	$84	120	120	+0	Up	-$11	04-27 18:09
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	3	$81	60	60	+0	No	+$3	04-22 14:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	3	$78	60	60	+0	Up	-$1	04-24 14:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$77	240	240	+0	No	-$5	04-21 20:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$76	400	400	+0	No	-$8	05-22 23:08
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of April 27 2026?	2	$71	58	58	+0	Yes	+$14	05-01 16:22
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	2	$64	60	60	+0	Yes	-$6	05-22 10:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	11	$63	85	85	+0	Up	-$5	04-24 11:08
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?	2	$55	60	60	+0	No	-$1	05-24 06:40
spx up or down on april 23 2026	6	$55	60	60	-0	Down	-$11	04-23 16:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$52	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	06-03 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	04-28 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	04-24 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:55 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	04-24 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:15 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	04-24 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	04-26 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 13:25 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	04-22 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	04-27 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:41:03	XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb99e99…
06-15 11:42:16	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x801ea3…
06-15 02:55:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd98da2…
06-14 22:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x60191a…
06-14 21:58:57	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x28084f…
06-14 21:58:22	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x52d0a4…
06-14 14:28:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x4e06cc…
06-14 14:15:01	BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa86ae4…
06-14 12:20:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6f8683…
06-14 09:25:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x360241…
06-14 06:00:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x69ff83…
06-14 05:06:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?	No	SELL	22	24¢	$5	0xd636af…
06-14 05:06:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x9e0580…
06-14 00:35:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x328f54…
06-13 23:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc33ce5…
06-13 22:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb0809f…
06-13 22:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6c3192…
06-13 14:20:01	Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1878df…
06-13 11:04:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0xe90280…
06-13 09:50:01	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x565116…
06-13 08:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff6d63…
06-13 08:00:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	BUY	23	37¢	$8	0x780b20…
06-13 07:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2a7941…
06-13 02:30:01	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf2cf16…
06-12 22:25:25	Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5233cc…
06-12 16:25:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x90eed6…
06-12 15:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x92d390…
06-12 15:25:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xdcc413…
06-12 14:26:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x28906e…
06-12 14:26:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xfd9308…
06-12 14:26:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7e5af4…
06-12 14:26:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x2e4a3c…
06-12 10:55:06	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x452957…
06-12 06:40:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f240c…
06-12 06:40:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x242d72…
06-12 06:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x588fcc…
06-12 03:55:01	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d1f83…
06-12 01:45:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x02c564…
06-11 18:25:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x217914…
06-11 18:12:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7982fd…
06-11 14:40:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfe7b6f…
06-11 14:25:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7e9d23…
06-11 13:56:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x51218f…
06-11 13:56:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xec1a1c…
06-11 13:42:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb32a45…
06-11 12:56:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1126fc…
06-11 11:55:04	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x5c6d16…
06-11 05:50:04	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7e3141…
06-11 03:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x66bf58…
06-10 22:57:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x08af06…
06-10 22:26:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3902b5…
06-10 22:12:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb9dd7d…
06-10 19:55:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x548403…
06-10 18:55:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9029c5…
06-10 18:55:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x58225a…
06-10 18:26:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6910b6…
06-10 17:41:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xae91ae…
06-10 17:40:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x57eafc…
06-10 16:27:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb0b183…
06-10 16:25:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0e1275…
06-10 15:55:13	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8753d2…
06-10 15:55:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc07940…
06-10 15:41:13	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xdcfab2…
06-10 14:41:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc00dbb…
06-10 14:25:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x265925…
06-10 13:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb2aba9…
06-10 13:27:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf96c4f…
06-10 12:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6b1933…
06-10 12:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4cc9bb…
06-10 11:25:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb19656…
06-10 10:55:09	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa9271d…
06-10 05:50:03	ethereum up or down june 10 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf0548f…
06-10 00:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0bc945…
06-09 23:57:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd498f3…
06-09 23:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xf288ce…
06-09 19:41:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x60b370…
06-09 19:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5656e5…
06-09 18:56:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa7e442…
06-09 18:55:01	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb941de…
06-09 18:27:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe0829f…
06-09 17:42:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x45857c…
06-09 17:41:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1f4f44…
06-09 16:55:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x39cfb6…
06-09 16:39:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x9f8d53…
06-09 16:27:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x04b6ae…
06-09 16:10:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2e2c0b…
06-09 15:56:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xec5cd9…
06-09 15:55:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbc477c…
06-09 15:55:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x090a7a…
06-09 15:11:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5aca5c…
06-09 15:11:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x148e91…
06-09 14:55:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xbd4020…
06-09 14:55:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x15f887…
06-09 14:41:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x425170…
06-09 14:40:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa49f2f…
06-09 14:26:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb8a777…
06-09 14:26:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x309d1f…
06-09 14:26:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9aa56e…
06-09 14:26:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x40933b…
06-09 14:26:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x3f9c64…