Bare-Cliff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

Trades

814

lifetime

Volume

$7.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-15 11:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 84% +$6

Politics

24% 0% $-24

Other

15% 100% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-20	$-1	4¢	$-1	+$0	06-14 14:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$373	606	606	+0	open	—	05-21 19:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$286	960	960	+0	open	—	04-26 13:25
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$276	693	693	+0	open	—	04-22 18:27
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$214	240	240	+0	open	—	04-21 20:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	11	$167	170	125	+45	open	—	05-22 20:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	5	$137	120	120	+0	open	—	04-27 17:34
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	2	$116	102	102	+0	open	—	04-27 02:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$108	480	480	+0	open	—	04-21 17:12
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	8	$108	134	134	+0	open	—	04-27 16:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	4	$84	120	120	+0	open	—	04-27 18:09
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	3	$81	60	60	+0	open	—	04-22 14:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	3	$78	60	60	+0	open	—	04-24 14:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$77	240	240	+0	open	—	04-21 20:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$76	400	400	+0	open	—	05-22 23:08
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of April 27 2026?	2	$71	58	58	+0	open	—	05-01 16:22
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	2	$64	60	60	+0	open	—	05-22 10:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	11	$63	85	85	+0	open	—	04-24 11:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	5	$58	120	127	-7	open	—	05-29 15:51
spx up or down on april 23 2026	6	$55	60	60	-0	open	—	04-23 16:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$52	200	200	+0	open	—	06-03 21:48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	3	$52	60	60	+0	open	—	05-28 15:01
btc updown 5m 1776864300	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-22 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-24 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-27 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-27 00:20
btc updown 5m 1776992100	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-24 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-25 05:30
btc updown 5m 1777004100	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-24 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-26 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-28 01:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 11:42:16	xrp updown 15m 1781523000	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x801ea3…
06-15 02:55:01	xrp updown 5m 1781491800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd98da2…
06-14 21:58:57	xrp updown 15m 1781473500	Up	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x28084f…
06-14 21:58:22	xrp updown 15m 1781473500	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x52d0a4…
06-14 14:28:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x4e06cc…
06-14 09:25:10	eth updown 15m 1781429400	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x360241…
06-14 06:00:01	btc updown 15m 1781415900	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x69ff83…
06-14 05:06:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x9e0580…
06-14 00:35:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x328f54…
06-13 23:51:22	btc updown 5m 1781394300	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc33ce5…
06-13 11:04:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0xe90280…
06-13 09:50:01	bnb updown 5m 1781343900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x565116…
06-13 08:10:03	btc updown 5m 1781337900	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff6d63…
06-13 08:00:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	BUY	23	37¢	$8	0x780b20…
06-13 07:25:01	btc updown 5m 1781335200	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2a7941…
06-13 02:30:01	bnb updown 15m 1781316900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf2cf16…
06-12 16:25:06	sol updown 15m 1781280900	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x90eed6…
06-12 15:25:04	btc updown 15m 1781277300	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xdcc413…
06-12 14:26:15	eth updown 15m 1781273700	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x28906e…
06-12 14:26:09	sol updown 15m 1781273700	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xfd9308…
06-12 14:26:09	btc updown 15m 1781273700	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7e5af4…
06-12 14:26:09	btc updown 15m 1781273700	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x2e4a3c…
06-12 10:55:06	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x452957…
06-12 06:40:06	btc updown 5m 1781246100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f240c…
06-12 06:40:06	btc updown 5m 1781246100	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x242d72…
06-12 06:40:04	btc updown 5m 1781246100	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x588fcc…
06-12 03:55:01	bnb updown 5m 1781236200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d1f83…
06-12 01:45:01	btc updown 15m 1781227800	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x02c564…
06-11 18:25:04	eth updown 15m 1781201700	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x217914…
06-11 18:12:04	eth updown 15m 1781200800	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7982fd…
06-11 14:40:21	btc updown 15m 1781188200	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfe7b6f…
06-11 14:25:15	eth updown 15m 1781187300	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7e9d23…
06-11 13:56:19	sol updown 15m 1781185500	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x51218f…
06-11 13:56:04	btc updown 15m 1781185500	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xec1a1c…
06-11 13:42:24	eth updown 15m 1781184600	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb32a45…
06-11 12:56:04	btc updown 15m 1781181900	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1126fc…
06-11 11:55:04	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x5c6d16…
06-11 05:50:04	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7e3141…
06-10 22:57:03	eth updown 15m 1781131500	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x08af06…
06-10 22:26:04	btc updown 15m 1781129700	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3902b5…
06-10 22:12:22	btc updown 15m 1781128800	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb9dd7d…
06-10 19:55:09	btc updown 15m 1781120700	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x548403…
06-10 18:55:45	xrp updown 15m 1781117100	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9029c5…
06-10 18:55:45	xrp updown 15m 1781117100	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x58225a…
06-10 18:26:16	eth updown 15m 1781115300	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6910b6…
06-10 17:41:04	xrp updown 15m 1781112600	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xae91ae…
06-10 17:40:03	eth updown 15m 1781112600	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x57eafc…
06-10 16:27:04	sol updown 15m 1781108100	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb0b183…
06-10 16:25:03	btc updown 15m 1781108100	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0e1275…
06-10 15:55:13	xrp updown 15m 1781106300	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8753d2…
06-10 15:55:06	eth updown 15m 1781106300	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc07940…
06-10 15:41:13	xrp updown 15m 1781105400	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xdcfab2…
06-10 14:41:03	sol updown 15m 1781101800	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc00dbb…
06-10 14:25:19	eth updown 15m 1781100900	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x265925…
06-10 13:30:25	btc updown 5m 1781097900	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb2aba9…
06-10 13:27:04	btc updown 15m 1781097300	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf96c4f…
06-10 12:45:01	btc updown 5m 1781095200	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6b1933…
06-10 12:45:01	btc updown 5m 1781095200	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4cc9bb…
06-10 11:25:04	eth updown 15m 1781090100	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb19656…
06-10 10:55:09	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa9271d…
06-10 05:50:03	ethereum up or down june 10 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf0548f…
06-09 23:57:12	btc updown 15m 1781048700	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd498f3…
06-09 19:41:03	eth updown 15m 1781033400	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x60b370…
06-09 19:20:07	btc updown 5m 1781032500	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5656e5…
06-09 18:56:04	sol updown 15m 1781030700	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa7e442…
06-09 18:55:01	doge updown 5m 1781031000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb941de…
06-09 18:27:04	btc updown 15m 1781028900	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe0829f…
06-09 17:42:04	btc updown 15m 1781026200	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x45857c…
06-09 17:41:18	sol updown 15m 1781026200	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1f4f44…
06-09 16:55:13	sol updown 15m 1781023500	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x39cfb6…
06-09 16:39:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x9f8d53…
06-09 16:27:04	xrp updown 15m 1781021700	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x04b6ae…
06-09 16:10:21	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2e2c0b…
06-09 15:56:04	eth updown 15m 1781019900	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xec5cd9…
06-09 15:55:27	sol updown 15m 1781019900	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbc477c…
06-09 15:55:06	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x090a7a…
06-09 15:11:13	eth updown 15m 1781017200	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5aca5c…
06-09 15:11:12	eth updown 15m 1781017200	Up	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x148e91…
06-09 14:55:03	eth updown 15m 1781016300	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xbd4020…
06-09 14:55:03	eth updown 15m 1781016300	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x15f887…
06-09 14:41:06	btc updown 15m 1781015400	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x425170…
06-09 14:40:13	eth updown 15m 1781015400	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa49f2f…
06-09 14:26:24	eth updown 15m 1781014500	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb8a777…
06-09 14:26:18	sol updown 15m 1781014500	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x309d1f…
06-09 14:26:16	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9aa56e…
06-09 14:26:16	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x40933b…
06-09 14:26:16	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x3f9c64…
06-09 13:55:09	btc updown 15m 1781012700	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0e14f1…
06-09 13:41:04	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0xb25ac6…
06-09 13:41:04	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2a35d2…
06-09 05:50:13	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x22dbd6…
06-09 03:08:42	btc updown 5m 1780974600	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5969df…
06-09 03:00:10	btc updown 4h 1780963200	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x98045f…
06-09 00:56:13	btc updown 15m 1780965900	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9addc4…
06-09 00:42:04	sol updown 15m 1780965000	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xed064a…
06-09 00:42:04	sol updown 15m 1780965000	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x706927…
06-09 00:42:04	sol updown 15m 1780965000	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x600686…
06-09 00:42:04	sol updown 15m 1780965000	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0376ba…
06-09 00:41:18	eth updown 15m 1780965000	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc362c1…
06-09 00:40:12	btc updown 15m 1780965000	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x931051…