Unique-Judgment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

124

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$1.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

99% 66% -$14

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-20 01:36
will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$26	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 21:06
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-10 12:36
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-22 08:20
will trust me the false prophet be the top global netflix show this week 453	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 22:08
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 16:01
Macron out by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:46
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-29 16:00
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-27 04:05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-03 17:41
Will "NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-23 19:48
will mrbeasts video get 85 million or more views on day 6	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 6?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-02 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 3?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-02 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-14 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on May 17?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-17 06:06
highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 24c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 21:46
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 22 2026 21c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 19:48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 25?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-25 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-27 17:58
highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 10c	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	04-24 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 20:40
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 14?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-13 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 18:00
highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 24c	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 19:02
Will gas hit $3.25 (Low) by August 31?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	08-31 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 22?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-21 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 22?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-21 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 02:34:22	Will gas hit $3.25 (Low) by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x093ecf…
06-30 02:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xf1082e…
06-29 12:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 30?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x39aaa7…
06-29 02:37:49	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x221f36…
06-28 23:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 29?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x775823…
06-28 23:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 29?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x2d3219…
06-28 21:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 29?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x3cf1c7…
06-28 02:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x43d5eb…
06-28 01:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 28?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x009262…
06-27 13:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x5f049b…
06-27 12:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x026033…
06-26 17:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2aed09…
06-26 15:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x102d99…
06-26 14:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8e2ced…
06-25 13:02:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xed0e57…
06-25 12:46:23	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x010e4c…
06-25 12:24:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 26?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x14d17c…
06-24 17:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xc05b76…
06-24 14:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 25?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8b3a51…
06-23 15:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x4abec9…
06-23 14:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 24?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x9520c6…
06-23 14:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x264638…
06-22 18:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0bc123…
06-22 17:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 23?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xef7d60…
06-22 17:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x76087c…
06-22 17:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 23?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1e088a…
06-22 08:20:14	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc59839…
06-21 13:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x08224e…
06-21 12:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe32deb…
06-21 12:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x81a1a6…
06-21 12:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5ffd51…
06-21 12:01:22	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x65fd10…
06-21 12:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x80b95e…
06-21 12:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdf8c8b…
06-20 06:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x4151e8…
06-20 06:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 20?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x885bbc…
06-20 01:36:34	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x45040b…
06-19 06:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x8c60a8…
06-19 05:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xad3665…
06-16 15:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd4c610…
06-16 15:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x48e458…
06-16 15:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 17?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd979ad…
06-15 10:01:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xb79f79…
06-15 09:58:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 15?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7b8708…
06-14 13:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x651a58…
06-14 12:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1c7617…
06-13 12:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x01e142…
06-13 12:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5fe738…
06-12 19:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7a4caf…
06-12 19:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb331e3…
06-12 18:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 13?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x0e1f8e…
06-12 18:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 13?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7551f8…
06-12 16:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xaea349…
06-12 15:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 13?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x02e024…
06-12 02:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xe54950…
06-12 02:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x2ae11c…
06-11 06:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xebb3ce…
06-11 06:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xcf1b66…
06-10 12:36:10	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xec3dff…
06-09 08:26:19	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x38b224…
06-09 05:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x5c09f0…
06-08 21:06:21	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1d41d3…
06-08 12:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4ab1b0…
06-07 18:16:03	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x3b5a9f…
06-07 08:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7889fb…
06-07 07:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x697de4…
06-06 18:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x184966…
06-06 14:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 7?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x49a048…
06-06 02:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xfadd87…
06-06 01:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 6?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc64941…
06-05 11:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x62e527…
06-05 11:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x55146c…
06-04 16:01:06	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4fea0a…
06-03 17:41:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf330d2…
06-03 13:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xce76dd…
06-03 12:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc26dee…
06-02 18:59:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x64a9b2…
06-02 08:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb9f60a…
06-02 08:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 2?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf011b0…
06-01 20:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xb2bc93…
06-01 19:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 2?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5b017d…
06-01 07:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x360e7f…
06-01 07:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x4888af…
05-31 14:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9e0f26…
05-31 14:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe25990…
05-31 14:32:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc66069…
05-31 13:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xaceaee…
05-31 01:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x85f1ee…
05-31 01:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 31?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xa935e6…
05-30 11:08:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x919c49…
05-30 08:47:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x196b85…
05-29 22:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xd637cf…
05-29 21:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2a228b…
05-29 16:00:11	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8d8d77…
05-29 10:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xce12fc…
05-29 10:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc2bce7…
05-29 10:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0c3657…
05-29 10:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x5ecb47…
05-29 07:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x009fb7…
05-29 04:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x47c80c…