Ringed-Chiffonier — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

110

935 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$11.5K

$104.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$112

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 09-07 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Other

100% 90% +$14

Crypto

0% 8% -$19

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on July 18?	2	$1.0K	503	503	+0	No	+$2	07-18 11:54
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on July 17?	2	$985	496	496	+0	No	+$5	07-17 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 17?	2	$985	495	495	+0	No	+$5	07-17 19:02
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on July 16?	2	$963	483	483	+0	No	+$3	07-16 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 16?	2	$962	482	482	+0	No	+$2	07-16 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 15?	2	$943	474	474	+0	No	+$3	07-15 18:21
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 16?	2	$942	473	473	+0	No	+$2	07-16 09:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 15?	2	$938	471	471	+0	No	+$2	07-15 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 15?	2	$922	463	463	+0	No	+$2	07-15 13:09
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 16?	2	$917	462	462	+0	No	-$3	07-15 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 13?	3	$904	455	455	+0	No	+$4	07-13 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 12?	2	$842	422	422	+0	No	+$2	07-12 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 12?	2	$834	419	419	+0	No	+$4	07-12 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 11?	2	$821	412	412	+0	No	+$1	07-11 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 12?	2	$815	416	416	+0	No	+$15	07-12 20:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 12?	2	$808	408	408	+0	No	+$8	07-12 13:20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 16?	2	$807	407	407	+0	No	+$7	07-16 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 11?	2	$806	407	407	+0	No	+$6	07-11 02:12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 18?	2	$805	406	406	+0	No	+$5	07-18 02:43
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 16?	2	$804	404	404	+0	No	+$4	07-16 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 11?	2	$803	404	404	+0	No	+$3	07-11 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 11?	2	$803	403	403	+0	No	+$3	07-11 01:49
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 11?	2	$800	400	400	+0	No	+$0	07-11 20:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?	2	$796	507	507	+0	Yes	-$202	07-18 13:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 10?	3	$773	393	393	+0	No	+$13	07-10 13:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?	2	$765	385	385	+0	No	+$5	07-10 09:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 8?	2	$744	375	375	+0	No	+$4	07-08 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 8?	2	$743	374	374	+0	No	+$3	07-08 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 8?	2	$742	373	373	+0	No	+$2	07-08 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 8?	2	$739	371	371	+0	No	+$1	07-08 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 12:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xfc7445…
08-30 07:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 77°F or below on August 30?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xb1bc7d…
08-29 08:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 29?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x980baf…
08-29 08:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C or below on August 29?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x814959…
08-28 17:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C or below on August 29?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x17c82c…
08-23 08:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x3c7032…
08-17 17:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on August 17?	No	SELL	88	26¢	$23	0xfd931f…
08-17 16:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on August 17?	No	SELL	88	32¢	$28	0xd36804…
08-17 12:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on August 17?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x68ef9a…
08-17 09:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 17?	No	SELL	176	100¢	$175	0xfc451e…
08-17 08:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 17?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x4e8ad0…
08-17 08:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 17?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x3ef860…
08-17 07:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 17?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xf92255…
08-16 20:21:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on August 16?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x62a4fc…
08-16 18:46:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on August 16?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb49a24…
08-16 18:36:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on August 16?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x6b8853…
08-16 18:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on August 16?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x536844…
08-16 17:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on August 16?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x1a2e96…
08-16 17:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 16?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x8c75ce…
08-16 15:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xf6bed6…
08-16 15:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or below on August 16?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0xd82106…
08-16 12:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or below on August 16?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x9802f7…
08-16 09:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 16?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x201507…
08-16 07:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 16?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x325104…
08-15 13:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on August 15?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0xa843cf…
08-15 08:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x9cc7f1…
08-15 08:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 15?	No	SELL	107	97¢	$103	0x3743ed…
08-15 08:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xf1a46e…
08-15 07:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0xaa32d3…
08-15 07:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 15?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x152ff6…
08-15 06:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 15?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xa6a611…
08-15 02:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on August 15?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x608380…
08-14 23:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x52f7a2…
08-14 17:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 14?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x728024…
08-14 15:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 14?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4bbe90…
08-14 14:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 14?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xa4b991…
08-14 13:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xce654b…
08-14 13:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 14?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x342586…
08-14 10:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xa3469d…
08-14 09:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xacd4b7…
08-14 07:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 14?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xe6549b…
08-13 17:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 13?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x6024aa…
08-13 12:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 13?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2d69c8…
08-13 12:53:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 13?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xa273f3…
08-13 09:22:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 13?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xdfcff1…
08-13 09:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 13?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$104	0x85139f…
08-13 08:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0xb1b4c9…
08-13 04:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x85ec60…
08-12 18:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc8afd1…
08-12 18:37:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on August 12?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xa7d7d7…
08-12 17:20:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on August 12?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xeb9aeb…
08-12 17:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on August 12?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xae8212…
08-12 15:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on August 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcefc0e…
08-12 11:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 12?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xc9e5f9…
08-12 07:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 12?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xc1dea0…
08-11 22:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 12?	No	SELL	106	97¢	$102	0x47375e…
08-11 21:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 12?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xaf218f…
08-11 16:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 11?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$104	0xe74448…
08-11 14:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 11?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x83875c…
08-11 12:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on August 11?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x6b5179…
08-11 10:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on August 11?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x5ead90…
08-11 09:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 11?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x4d0adb…
08-11 09:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x30ed69…
08-11 09:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 11?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x9e55e7…
08-11 06:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 11?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x8e7cff…
08-11 06:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 69°F or below on August 10?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x26d5f2…
08-10 17:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 69°F or below on August 10?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xdd79cc…
08-10 17:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 10?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x16b821…
08-10 15:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8c938c…
08-10 15:34:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 10?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x40a8d5…
08-10 14:21:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf8a6e7…
08-10 14:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on August 10?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbd5b88…
08-10 12:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on August 10?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x99e509…
08-10 12:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on August 10?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x80d589…
08-10 09:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaa45e9…
08-10 09:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x45f430…
08-10 06:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x077aff…
08-10 06:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 71°F or below on August 9?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$98	0xf0cd3a…
08-09 16:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 71°F or below on August 9?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x1622e6…
08-09 16:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x34baf2…
08-09 15:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xe8b6bc…
08-09 15:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 9?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xfa1ef0…
08-09 08:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 9?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xee37f7…
08-08 18:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 8?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x5c2854…
08-08 18:07:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 8?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xfb3734…
08-08 15:37:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 8?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xd08bd4…
08-08 15:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 8?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$97	0x0a3310…
08-08 12:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x7b4029…
08-08 12:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 8?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xf9a097…
08-08 10:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xbc5521…
08-08 10:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or below on August 8?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xc5d3a3…
08-08 09:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x9b0407…
08-08 09:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C or below on August 8?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x381f14…
08-08 08:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xa9739a…
08-07 17:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 79°F or below on August 7?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x26a6a9…
08-07 16:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on August 7?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$95	0x6b647d…
08-07 07:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on August 7?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x40c878…
08-07 07:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 7?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x48afae…
08-06 20:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 7?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x28d4cf…
08-06 20:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 6?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x5ee67f…