Large-Vice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

290

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-01 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:51
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:51
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-29 10:34
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-25 10:39
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 08:54
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:39
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:13
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:44
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 09:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:48
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:14
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:12
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 12:07
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 02:29
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:44
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 01:37
highest temperature in chongqing on april 18 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:24
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:35
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:40
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 28c	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:39
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 16 2026 36c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:13
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:57
highest temperature in busan on april 15 2026 22c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-15 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 04:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x620d69…
10-31 09:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xcb43c6…
10-30 09:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x1e00a9…
10-29 17:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3abdb2…
10-29 08:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa881d7…
10-28 05:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf89930…
10-27 08:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec8a28…
10-26 08:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37ffaf…
10-24 09:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cf29b…
10-22 10:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4352d…
10-20 04:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c63fc…
10-19 08:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89c43b…
10-18 08:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa706bf…
10-17 08:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4abb6f…
10-16 08:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ac8b1…
10-15 08:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12e799…
10-14 08:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85e1cd…
10-13 08:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdac249…
10-12 08:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc56cd…
10-11 07:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x852763…
10-08 08:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a18e6…
10-07 13:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52ed6a…
10-06 07:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5e79e…
10-04 10:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x689250…
10-03 05:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc774ef…
10-02 07:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d1c6b…
10-01 08:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12373e…
09-30 12:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6f978…
09-29 09:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x810feb…
09-28 09:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdabdc1…
09-27 08:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88f69c…
09-25 08:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe86f85…
09-24 08:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec1768…
09-23 05:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe02391…
09-22 07:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54b060…
09-21 08:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb94a5f…
09-20 05:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e3a91…
09-19 07:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x558ac0…
09-18 01:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x717488…
09-17 03:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72202e…
09-16 07:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x987471…
09-15 08:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabdef8…
09-14 07:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x908ddf…
09-13 09:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92dfa6…
09-12 10:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b4c15…
09-11 07:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59d851…
09-10 02:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x173b6c…
09-09 01:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15c2c5…
09-08 01:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb43bff…
09-07 08:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe997fa…
09-06 17:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae75c6…
09-06 08:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8bfe7…
09-05 09:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43c0fe…
09-04 09:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e681d…
09-03 08:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7db43…
09-01 01:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fdc68…
08-30 07:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaff626…
08-29 06:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6715ec…
08-28 06:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d5a08…
08-27 07:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf4aed…
08-26 08:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacd1bd…
08-25 07:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c2aec…
08-24 09:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d3164…
08-23 08:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5b6db…
08-22 07:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15b24a…
08-21 03:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf62e31…
08-20 08:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc20980…
08-19 08:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08147e…
08-18 04:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7a3af…
08-17 07:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff9bf2…
08-16 10:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc6354…
08-15 08:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25558b…
08-14 06:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbafe41…
08-13 07:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x648c97…
08-12 07:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ae37e…
08-11 00:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb62779…
08-10 00:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5ee9d…
08-09 01:11:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfff7e9…
08-08 07:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98840c…
08-07 00:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x004b37…
08-06 00:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4835d7…
08-05 07:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x084822…
08-04 07:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9aa9ac…
08-03 01:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x077e0e…
08-02 01:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c3330…
08-01 00:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8896d…
07-31 07:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21f981…
07-30 01:21:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73b1a0…
07-29 05:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b3d5f…
07-28 05:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54b6f0…
07-27 07:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb00b61…
07-26 06:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c5e76…
07-25 00:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd86d6c…
07-24 08:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2ce79…
07-23 09:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc01ec9…
07-23 02:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdab67…
07-22 01:40:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7e75b…
07-20 23:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18e946…
07-20 02:14:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83670e…
07-18 22:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25f7aa…