Incredible-Allergist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$70

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$1.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-01 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 0% $-1

Politics

33% — —

Other

14% 100% +$71

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-30	$-9	24¢	$-7	+$2	06-26 10:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$202	1,224	100	+1,124	open	—	05-28 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	3	$200	200	100	+100	open	—	05-19 04:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	05-24 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	1	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	05-23 06:23
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	1	$93	164	0	+164	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$71	05-12 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$77	100	100	+0	open	—	05-25 17:10
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	2	$47	180	0	+180	open	—	05-20 18:43
btc updown 15m 1769920200	6	$17	129	11	+118	open	—	02-01 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$14	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 14:13
btc updown 4h 1769936400	3	$13	24	0	+24	open	—	02-01 10:57
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	04-24 06:17
btc updown 5m 1782223500	6	$10	25	25	+0	open	—	06-23 14:09
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$9	0	30	-30	open	—	06-26 10:55
btc updown 5m 1782471300	4	$9	63	8	+55	open	—	06-26 10:59
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 115 139	1	$7	17	0	+17	open	—	01-31 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$7	46	36	+10	open	—	05-28 13:54
btc updown 15m 1769922000	2	$6	44	0	+44	open	—	02-01 05:08
btc updown 5m 1782550500	2	$6	46	0	+46	open	—	06-27 08:58
btc updown 4h 1769950800	2	$6	13	0	+13	open	—	02-01 14:07
btc updown 15m 1769436900	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	01-26 13:48
btc updown 5m 1782223800	3	$5	14	6	+8	open	—	06-23 14:14
T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand	2	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-20 19:01
btc updown 15m 1769434200	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	01-26 13:13
btc updown 15m 1769427000	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	01-26 11:21
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	01-21 06:37
bitcoin above 90k on january 25	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	01-25 05:29
btc updown 15m 1770528600	2	$5	44	0	+44	open	—	02-08 05:43
btc updown 5m 1782915300	3	$4	10	4	+6	open	—	07-01 14:19
btc updown 5m 1780581900	3	$4	74	0	+74	open	—	06-04 14:08
btc updown 15m 1770527700	4	$4	67	0	+67	open	—	02-08 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 14:19:29	btc updown 5m 1782915300	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2c54b5…
07-01 14:17:50	btc updown 5m 1782915300	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x42d3bf…
07-01 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1782915300	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x77bfb9…
06-27 08:58:26	btc updown 5m 1782550500	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9c6a87…
06-27 08:56:23	btc updown 5m 1782550500	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x17e615…
06-27 08:19:56	btc updown 5m 1782548100	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2f4fd4…
06-27 05:09:28	btc updown 5m 1782536700	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb9e5f9…
06-26 11:02:17	btc updown 5m 1782471600	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3ee01f…
06-26 10:59:19	btc updown 5m 1782471300	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3a905a…
06-26 10:58:28	btc updown 5m 1782471300	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb8cb18…
06-26 10:57:58	btc updown 5m 1782471300	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x111d41…
06-26 10:56:04	btc updown 5m 1782471300	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xedc851…
06-26 10:55:08	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$9	0xfb5ba1…
06-24 03:56:25	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x26ce85…
06-23 14:22:59	btc updown 5m 1782224400	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3efa57…
06-23 14:22:23	btc updown 5m 1782224400	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0c9599…
06-23 14:19:46	btc updown 5m 1782224100	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2438ab…
06-23 14:14:34	btc updown 5m 1782223800	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7ce9b7…
06-23 14:13:23	btc updown 5m 1782223800	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0xb84b2f…
06-23 14:11:56	btc updown 5m 1782223800	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x81b240…
06-23 14:09:44	btc updown 5m 1782223500	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xd44de0…
06-23 14:09:22	btc updown 5m 1782223500	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x15e6d0…
06-23 14:09:08	btc updown 5m 1782223500	Up	SELL	12	12¢	$2	0x07ba51…
06-23 14:08:59	btc updown 5m 1782223500	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4be7a5…
06-23 14:08:37	btc updown 5m 1782223500	Up	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x231111…
06-23 14:08:23	btc updown 5m 1782223500	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf53b26…
06-21 14:09:20	btc updown 5m 1782050700	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd332ed…
06-17 16:32:46	btc updown 5m 1781713800	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x08e55d…
06-06 14:03:48	btc updown 5m 1780754400	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5af268…
06-04 14:08:34	btc updown 5m 1780581900	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x639be8…
06-04 14:08:03	btc updown 5m 1780581900	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf0a123…
06-04 14:06:25	btc updown 5m 1780581900	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x405010…
06-04 14:04:18	btc updown 5m 1780581600	Up	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xa6cbe9…
06-04 13:57:49	btc updown 5m 1780581300	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xce1d63…
06-04 13:57:36	btc updown 5m 1780581300	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7cd5c0…
06-03 09:43:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2260dc…
06-03 09:42:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x99250c…
05-29 09:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x401b4f…
05-29 09:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x41e58a…
05-29 09:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4452f4…
05-29 09:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb3f48a…
05-29 07:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfa6073…
05-29 07:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfb98a5…
05-29 07:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1cd2f3…
05-28 18:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4995ca…
05-28 18:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf11a63…
05-28 18:34:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x22d299…
05-28 17:12:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0x3c01ec…
05-28 14:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7af76f…
05-28 14:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xe66156…
05-28 14:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6c138f…
05-28 14:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdedeea…
05-28 14:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe804f9…
05-28 14:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x48c969…
05-28 14:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9da10f…
05-28 14:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0x700cb6…
05-28 14:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x6cc06b…
05-28 13:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe5b137…
05-28 13:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0xc3293a…
05-28 13:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc2a1f3…
05-28 13:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xf574c8…
05-28 13:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc84c23…
05-27 07:55:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0x20a7d4…
05-26 14:00:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xef2da9…
05-26 10:37:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0x63a6a3…
05-26 05:08:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xed8e3c…
05-25 17:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe3453f…
05-25 17:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbde7df…
05-25 17:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x2398d3…
05-25 17:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc440c6…
05-24 10:27:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb21619…
05-23 06:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	Down	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x9c3637…
05-21 14:29:08	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xd10749…
05-20 19:01:19	T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand	New Zealand	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xd46679…
05-20 18:43:00	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	Mumbai Indians	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x831cbc…
05-20 14:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x92bf8d…
05-20 14:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xf73fd1…
05-20 11:16:26	T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand	New Zealand	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x5ac2f8…
05-20 11:14:01	T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey	Croatia	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x36d344…
05-20 04:39:08	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x5bc9c2…
05-19 04:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x74e2df…
05-18 14:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa88ff1…
05-18 14:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x10edeb…
05-14 09:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1818c1…
05-13 14:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0bd366…
05-12 19:36:04	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	164	57¢	$93	0x5a56f2…
04-24 06:17:58	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x007e25…
03-15 05:43:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	275	0¢	$1	0x881236…
03-15 05:39:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$1	0x2205c2…
03-15 05:37:09	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x03ae31…
03-15 05:36:47	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x101d46…
03-04 04:36:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x388ee5…
03-03 05:36:23	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xe437ba…
03-03 05:36:13	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x4bdd90…
03-03 05:13:21	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x38c393…
03-03 05:13:15	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	No	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x10146a…
02-09 09:05:11	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xa3cbba…
02-08 05:43:57	btc updown 15m 1770528600	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x67e94f…
02-08 05:31:53	btc updown 15m 1770528600	Up	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x5bd3ce…
02-08 05:28:11	btc updown 15m 1770527700	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x11ea33…