Mellow-Adjustment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,378

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 06-30 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

78% 96% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 10:12:47	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61ca5b…
06-30 04:26:04	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9bb1f7…
06-30 04:16:14	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x921e8b…
06-29 19:21:52	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae20fd…
06-29 19:15:13	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1aa224…
06-29 14:13:55	cs2 ast sinqur 2026 06 29 game1	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe19dd9…
06-29 13:52:38	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13d640…
06-29 11:08:37	wta bencic stojsav 2026 06 29 first set winner Bencic vs Stojsavljevic	Bencic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0c712…
06-28 17:28:43	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28	Yawara Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46fe65…
06-28 17:02:32	cs2 6666 ast 2026 06 28	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf95dda…
06-28 04:05:46	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 5pt5	Jordan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x427c43…
06-28 04:00:25	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95ac7a…
06-28 03:59:13	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd61a7c…
06-28 02:03:22	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x332aba…
06-27 20:38:17	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x048137…
06-27 20:00:17	Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x360cee…
06-26 18:32:22	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x183b70…
06-26 18:32:20	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8a3d26…
06-26 11:53:58	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2dbff2…
06-26 00:56:19	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1be3e3…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x986202…
06-25 02:03:04	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4bc927…
06-25 01:49:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ea60e…
06-25 00:05:53	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6bbd7…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9ae9e…
06-23 20:00:58	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c2f9a…
06-23 19:03:56	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea4192…
06-23 19:02:43	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts second half	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x121c2a…
06-23 18:25:08	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa74e5d…
06-22 00:06:47	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24091c…
06-20 21:07:22	wnba sea phx 2026 06 20 total 160pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04f9ca…
06-20 20:06:37	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x768314…
06-20 19:13:16	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbea96d…
06-20 19:09:08	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb64043…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29e0c5…
06-20 02:37:17	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5037a5…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x354894…
06-20 01:23:13	will hideki matsuyama make the cut at the 2026 uptspt open 20260616033932632	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe4578…
06-19 15:45:32	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06c6e2…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92308b…
06-18 20:59:37	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals edin dzeko gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xacf8a5…
06-18 20:58:08	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x756930…
06-18 14:15:59	cs2 jjh pha 2026 06 18 game2	Phantom	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9abce2…
06-18 11:40:34	wta pliskov mcnally 2026 06 18 first set winner Pliskova vs McNally	Pliskova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddecdf…
06-17 22:06:01	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef0ea0…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83cf55…
06-17 19:17:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x067874…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc945db…
06-17 18:09:11	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd568b…
06-17 16:10:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22b88f…
06-17 16:07:44	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec90e7…
06-17 16:07:16	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26e088…
06-17 13:31:56	kbo kt doo 2026 06 17	KT Wiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60d150…
06-17 00:03:11	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05951b…
06-17 00:01:58	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 3pt5	Iraq	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ddd6b…
06-16 20:12:55	amzn up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cc76f…
06-16 13:45:52	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb327d…
06-16 13:39:04	kbo kt doo 2026 06 16	KT Wiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf6134…
06-16 02:29:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41e3ba…
06-15 18:09:00	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e1792…
06-15 12:41:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4eec57…
06-15 03:25:54	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x709bd9…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5d181…
06-14 19:25:45	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c05f6…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde3244…
06-14 00:13:55	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x080c57…
06-13 14:12:01	fin1 int aco 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf982f3…
06-13 11:58:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x448608…
06-13 01:55:01	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b05aa…
06-12 23:27:34	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b25e1…
06-12 20:27:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bfcf3…
06-12 20:18:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd742e…
06-12 20:17:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89d983…
06-12 13:30:16	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x007fb9…
06-11 22:13:42	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51dcec…
06-11 21:14:07	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe752b…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3aa2d0…
06-10 20:16:54	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87b145…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x192ff7…
06-09 19:00:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7dea32…
06-08 21:37:09	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99e80b…
06-08 12:03:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa199ad…
06-07 22:05:31	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x640fa6…
06-07 22:01:58	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07 spread home 1pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8cef3b…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1f373…
06-07 19:26:45	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ba362…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41cae4…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2000c…
06-07 13:09:45	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20f1ca…
06-06 23:09:43	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83a94f…
06-06 13:47:25	cs2 aaa g1 2026 06 06 game2	GenOne	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01a360…
06-06 11:32:33	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87a999…
06-06 11:32:28	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb90bd0…
06-05 23:50:24	codmw g2m bos 2026 06 05 game1	Boston Breach	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc18e95…
06-05 17:03:39	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e74d2…
06-05 14:05:04	will lynn vision qualify to stage 2 at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2d7be…
06-05 01:10:57	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf68288…
06-04 14:19:12	atp mcdonal hijikat 2026 06 03 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6054f6…
06-04 04:48:25	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf8fb83…
06-03 21:32:37	DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfae41a…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:03
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-28 16:31
Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 4.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-21 19:17
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 21:42
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)	3	$11	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 13:53
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 11c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 01:54
highest temperature in hong kong on april 10 2026 27c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-13 03:18
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 02:54
bitcoin above 74800 on april 20 2026 2am et	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-20 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 04:25
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 17 2026 31c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 06:17
Kawasaki Frontale vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 12:27
Bursaspor vs. Buyukcekmece	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 17:26
lol ig1 blg 2026 04 18 game3 both teams slay dragon	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-18 12:14
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 21:14
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 00:04
hr1 sla haj 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 19:09