Quizzical-Sense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.1%

Resolved

Trades

649

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-07 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

63% 17% $-5

Politics

25% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

6% — —

Crypto

5% 0% $-4

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No		-5	$-0	1¢	$-0	$-0	06-05 08:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	15	$1.7K	1,036	1,036	+0	open	—	02-27 17:07
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	17	$895	0	1,801	-1,801	open	—	04-01 04:02
highest temperature in seoul on march 30 2026 17c	37	$795	540	540	+0	open	—	03-30 02:17
will kanye release bully by march 27	3	$771	460	460	+0	open	—	03-28 00:01
nvda up or down on february 27 2026	7	$598	314	314	+0	open	—	02-27 17:08
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	9	$560	127	927	-801	open	—	03-11 15:17
spx up or down on march 23 2026	2	$551	454	454	+0	open	—	03-21 18:01
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	4	$435	289	289	+0	open	—	02-02 04:08
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$398	208	208	+0	open	—	02-14 21:24
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$386	0	800	-800	open	—	03-12 22:09
highest temperature in seattle on march 20 2026 58 59f	3	$365	194	194	+0	open	—	03-20 23:42
tsla close above 390 on march 9 2026	4	$322	0	700	-700	open	—	03-06 16:51
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	9	$313	280	280	+0	Yes	$-1	04-25 19:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$306	300	300	+0	open	—	04-26 20:09
hood up or down on april 8 2026	5	$297	5	586	-581	open	—	04-08 17:17
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	3	$280	200	200	+0	open	—	04-27 12:54
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	3	$280	205	142	+63	open	—	02-04 04:52
will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	4	$279	0	600	-600	open	—	02-23 04:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 8	3	$241	320	120	+200	open	—	01-08 19:44
italy nordio reform referendum passes	3	$235	0	473	-473	open	—	03-20 21:31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	4	$232	200	200	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 13:28
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	8	$227	0	460	-460	open	—	03-17 17:29
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$204	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 19:19
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	7	$202	210	210	+0	open	—	05-19 13:53
will choosin texas ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	5	$200	0	400	-400	open	—	03-25 15:07
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 8 2026	2	$200	0	400	-400	open	—	04-08 19:47
nvda up or down on april 8 2026	15	$199	0	400	-400	open	—	04-08 19:07
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$199	105	105	+0	open	—	01-09 22:05
spx up or down on march 26 2026	4	$199	0	400	-400	open	—	03-26 17:44
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$199	0	400	-400	open	—	03-05 17:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 16:42:01	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07	Team Spirit	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8d49c5…
06-07 16:41:24	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07	Verso Time	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x13d2c7…
06-07 16:38:45	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07	Team Spirit	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbd3dd8…
06-06 20:41:54	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x7eaba8…
06-06 20:35:54	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x22e192…
06-05 16:43:24	spy closes above 745 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x2926f8…
06-05 16:42:57	spy closes above 745 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0xad5827…
06-05 16:38:36	spy closes above 745 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x992ec7…
06-05 16:19:07	spy closes above 745 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xaf57e6…
06-05 16:08:00	spy closes above 750 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xcb75eb…
06-05 16:07:13	spy closes above 750 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x6cb290…
06-05 08:57:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x03d5ca…
06-03 19:59:21	will spy dip to 750 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	53	51¢	$27	0x81c7b1…
06-03 19:56:42	will spy dip to 750 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x91e433…
06-03 19:55:25	will spy dip to 750 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x1d79af…
06-02 20:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3c23e5…
06-01 18:40:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x482eba…
06-01 13:23:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x7131d5…
05-30 08:28:05	Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x852ecc…
05-29 20:56:21	Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xb3d349…
05-28 22:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x398051…
05-25 04:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x39bbe6…
05-22 16:55:30	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x2036a0…
05-22 16:07:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x2bdfb8…
05-22 16:04:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xafb2c4…
05-22 15:58:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x96c445…
05-22 15:47:06	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x9245d9…
05-22 15:42:05	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x4447e9…
05-22 15:39:03	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x9d77f5…
05-21 12:53:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x32c4a8…
05-21 12:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xcec3f1…
05-21 12:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xa57ed6…
05-21 12:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe7454d…
05-21 12:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xb5f3af…
05-21 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	285	4¢	$11	0x0e08ca…
05-19 20:39:22	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0x1f110c…
05-19 20:37:21	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x9cf317…
05-19 20:29:16	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x42a1e1…
05-19 13:53:27	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0xe56653…
05-19 13:52:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	75	48¢	$36	0xca05d1…
05-19 13:50:53	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x479f79…
05-19 13:44:40	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xc0566f…
05-19 13:40:51	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	69	48¢	$33	0x49d623…
05-19 13:38:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x7cbab8…
05-19 13:30:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	BUY	210	48¢	$101	0x27f83a…
05-15 16:26:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x9f7fc7…
05-15 16:24:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x0f329e…
05-13 10:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf3e5f4…
05-08 20:48:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	13	57¢	$8	0xe739df…
05-08 20:19:47	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	45	58¢	$26	0x32c5b0…
05-08 19:51:58	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xef01c1…
05-08 19:44:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x2e9bed…
05-08 19:42:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xe721ab…
05-05 16:25:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	27	2¢	$0	0x3d6306…
05-05 14:10:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x854d7d…
05-04 19:55:16	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0xaf021a…
05-04 19:54:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9afd6e…
05-04 19:41:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x1fb528…
05-04 19:38:16	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x5cd360…
05-04 19:34:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x664d3d…
05-04 19:28:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xc0f45b…
05-04 19:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3b4f5c…
05-04 19:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe778dd…
05-04 14:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf4f34c…
05-04 14:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd0499e…
05-04 14:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x93413c…
05-04 14:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xae7d31…
05-04 13:28:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x798d3a…
05-04 13:15:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xbd6c2b…
05-04 13:07:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xbc0f65…
05-04 13:06:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x6466a0…
04-28 20:35:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb1ca68…
04-28 19:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1aae30…
04-28 19:19:42	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xb4e20b…
04-28 19:14:50	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x411f3f…
04-28 16:37:50	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	No	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x4bbd8f…
04-28 16:32:26	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xf3ce70…
04-27 21:17:40	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x2ef3e2…
04-27 12:54:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0xe27906…
04-27 12:54:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	184	70¢	$129	0x3be046…
04-27 12:49:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x79abf0…
04-27 12:14:00	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	84	50¢	$42	0xb73333…
04-27 11:55:12	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	86	47¢	$41	0xcedabb…
04-26 20:09:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	300	51¢	$153	0x0de941…
04-26 20:04:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x215cbc…
04-26 17:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 26?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xcf51f1…
04-26 17:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3b8b0d…
04-25 22:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe5b5e4…
04-25 19:28:24	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	98	56¢	$55	0x3be38f…
04-25 19:26:20	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	86	56¢	$48	0x639570…
04-25 19:13:44	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	96	55¢	$53	0x661674…
04-25 19:04:06	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xd6d3ce…
04-25 19:04:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xa98ab6…
04-25 19:04:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	137	56¢	$77	0x85473b…
04-25 19:04:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6d2d8e…
04-25 19:04:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	94	56¢	$53	0x57e159…
04-25 19:04:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x45576a…
04-24 22:32:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 Week of April 20 2026?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x55eaef…
04-24 22:14:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 Week of April 20 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x2f0342…
04-22 18:56:20	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0xa6b07c…