Obvious-Depressive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$636

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-09 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 33% +$3

Sports

20% 50% $-1

Other

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$52	31	31	+0	open	—	05-17 12:54
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$50	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	03-22 11:34
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$50	33	33	+0	open	—	03-13 06:49
xrp updown 5m 1773384900	1	$35	38	0	+38	open	—	03-13 06:59
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	02-27 21:18
xrp updown 5m 1771661400	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	02-21 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$28	29	4	+25	open	—	05-17 12:59
sol updown 15m 1768115700	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	01-11 07:29
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-31 08:30
eth updown 5m 1774660200	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-28 01:14
xrp updown 15m 1769847300	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-31 08:28
xrp updown 15m 1772091900	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	02-26 07:59
eth updown 15m 1770724800	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-10 12:14
sol updown 15m 1769238000	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	01-24 07:14
eth updown 5m 1772692500	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-05 06:39
eth updown 5m 1776517500	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-18 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$11	19	19	+0	open	—	04-30 06:27
xrp updown 15m 1770724800	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-10 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	8	$9	50	50	+0	open	—	06-01 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	6	$7	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	7	$7	15	9	+6	open	—	06-01 13:39
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 08:11
btc updown 5m 1780989300	5	$6	12	8	+4	open	—	06-09 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	06-01 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$4	29	29	+0	open	—	05-23 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$4	24	4	+20	open	—	06-01 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$4	10	5	+5	open	—	06-01 13:29
btc updown 5m 1780990800	4	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	06-09 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$3	13	5	+8	open	—	06-01 13:02
btc updown 5m 1780989600	3	$3	8	3	+4	open	—	06-09 07:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 07:44:58	btc updown 5m 1780990800	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x691a43…
06-09 07:43:43	btc updown 5m 1780990800	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4b5f9f…
06-09 07:42:48	btc updown 5m 1780990800	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xf0f57a…
06-09 07:41:43	btc updown 5m 1780990800	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe36cf2…
06-09 07:38:33	btc updown 5m 1780990500	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xa2f245…
06-09 07:37:42	btc updown 5m 1780990500	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x787849…
06-09 07:31:55	btc updown 5m 1780990200	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x09ff31…
06-09 07:31:22	btc updown 5m 1780990200	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1b7879…
06-09 07:26:15	btc updown 5m 1780989900	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd22c2e…
06-09 07:25:24	btc updown 5m 1780989900	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x88329e…
06-09 07:24:01	btc updown 5m 1780989600	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x374ad3…
06-09 07:21:28	btc updown 5m 1780989600	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x64c289…
06-09 07:21:16	btc updown 5m 1780989600	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf8f433…
06-09 07:18:13	btc updown 5m 1780989300	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x952371…
06-09 07:17:19	btc updown 5m 1780989300	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xa7a3df…
06-09 07:17:10	btc updown 5m 1780989300	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9122ff…
06-09 07:15:46	btc updown 5m 1780989300	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xf2b75c…
06-09 07:15:21	btc updown 5m 1780989300	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7f44c9…
06-01 13:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5208e8…
06-01 13:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x275468…
06-01 13:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6bb855…
06-01 13:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x1020a3…
06-01 13:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xebe6de…
06-01 13:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xe7b218…
06-01 13:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe1e521…
06-01 13:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5336b3…
06-01 13:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xf81c84…
06-01 13:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9eb9b4…
06-01 13:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb2c195…
06-01 13:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xffcb02…
06-01 13:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x48209e…
06-01 13:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc6f227…
06-01 13:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x07d93d…
06-01 13:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x14c5a9…
06-01 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xe7cd4a…
06-01 13:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf519cd…
06-01 13:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xc9b7f0…
06-01 13:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa73b0e…
06-01 13:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xac60d9…
06-01 13:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf5f98c…
06-01 13:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x13c2f7…
06-01 13:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xe3b454…
06-01 13:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0490d2…
06-01 13:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5cdf89…
06-01 13:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xabc878…
06-01 13:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x60ef19…
06-01 12:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb77cf4…
06-01 12:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x3f2bb8…
06-01 12:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6581ed…
06-01 12:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x20ca09…
06-01 12:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7d8d1a…
06-01 12:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xe47f7d…
06-01 12:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x235c26…
06-01 12:46:03	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7460f3…
05-23 13:25:14	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbaae0f…
05-23 13:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x6a816c…
05-23 13:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x495db6…
05-23 13:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x5d96be…
05-23 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbc8de1…
05-23 13:11:22	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x55a939…
05-17 13:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x321138…
05-17 12:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1e7f0f…
05-17 12:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xd1922f…
05-17 12:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xca7bed…
05-17 12:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0xdeb913…
05-17 12:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x8dc975…
05-17 12:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x7bd9c6…
05-17 12:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x47df9c…
05-17 12:51:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xecf450…
05-17 12:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xc9b086…
05-17 12:49:31	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xba8f03…
05-08 08:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x05ca55…
05-08 08:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x94f891…
05-08 08:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x0efa8c…
05-08 08:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2b525a…
05-08 08:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x9e584d…
05-08 08:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc09bd7…
05-08 08:13:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x57e15a…
05-08 08:13:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x2ce2af…
05-08 08:12:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe4259b…
05-08 08:11:39	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xcec34f…
05-08 08:09:24	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x572696…
05-08 08:09:12	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xba7294…
05-08 08:07:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf3bfb5…
05-08 08:02:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3c03b7…
05-08 08:02:00	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3dad6e…
05-08 08:01:35	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6f5355…
04-30 06:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4604b5…
04-30 06:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x420f75…
04-30 06:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7f9c96…
04-30 06:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x92ffb8…
04-30 06:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xae5665…
04-30 06:38:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x77b63a…
04-30 06:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x885aaf…
04-30 06:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	29¢	$6	0x6640c2…
04-30 06:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd3187c…
04-30 06:26:30	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x03df22…
04-30 06:25:10	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xf7170b…
04-30 06:24:56	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf2f5a8…
04-26 07:57:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3432d1…