Tight-Slaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.0%

Resolved

874

Trades

912

lifetime

Volume

$910

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 09-19 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Other

75% 95% -$4

Crypto

16% 97% +$3

Politics

4% 92% -$2

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crime 101 opening weekend box office be between 17m and 20m	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	02-17 19:01
will crime 101 opening weekend box office be between 14m and 17m	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	02-17 19:01
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-15 16:22
will the lincoln lawyer season 4 be the top us netflix show this week	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-17 19:01
mwoh cze den 2026 02 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	Czechia	+$0	02-17 19:01
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	02-16 22:00
mwoh usa den 2026 02 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	USA	+$0	02-14 23:05
bitcoin up or down on april 8 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-08 16:17
mwoh fin ita 2026 02 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	Finland	+$0	02-14 19:04
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase february 10 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	02-16 22:00
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	02-17 19:01
will mrbeasts latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	02-13 21:12
will mrbeasts latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	02-13 21:12
mwoh swe slo 2026 02 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	Sweden	+$0	02-14 14:06
spx up or down on april 8 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-08 16:17
will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be between 2m and 2pt5m	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	02-25 20:18
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-08 16:17
will love is blind season 10 be the top us netflix show this week	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	02-16 22:00
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 01:00
will the bank of canada announce no change at the march meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 01:00
bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	03-18 01:00
no change in bank of englands interest rates after march 2026 meeting 453	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 01:00
will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	03-18 01:00
will goat opening weekend box office be greater than 26m	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	02-16 22:00
will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	03-18 01:00
mwoh can swi 2026 02 13	3	$2	1	1	+0	Canada	$0	02-14 02:00
will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be between 2pt5m and 3m	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	02-25 20:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	04-08 16:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$1	1	1	+0	Yes	-$1	04-08 16:17
cs2 k271 100t 2026 04 03	1	$1	1	0	+1	K27	+$0	04-03 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 15:25:18	AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7eee6c…
09-19 05:09:55	Spread: AS Roma (-3.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6eb2e1…
09-19 04:54:34	Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x966c56…
09-19 01:23:46	Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3594d…
09-18 15:10:10	Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x895712…
09-17 20:53:46	Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb15f2…
09-17 15:51:55	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 1 Norwich City FC?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x81b8ad…
09-17 06:21:54	Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-17?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x157450…
09-16 18:24:34	Will NK Celje win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x09f910…
09-16 01:21:31	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2d2933…
09-15 21:18:22	Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8c3257…
09-15 21:00:19	CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Huachipato: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x85812d…
09-15 18:38:12	Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1603e1…
09-14 21:11:34	Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0ac608…
09-14 16:07:22	Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x089718…
09-14 13:38:21	Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Newcastle United FC?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x939ed2…
09-13 17:39:48	Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcfbbe0…
09-13 15:23:04	Spread: SV 07 Elversberg (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8d5ef0…
09-13 05:22:27	Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc9611e…
09-13 03:38:46	Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf154b9…
09-12 16:08:30	Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9082c2…
09-12 13:43:03	Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6ca72e…
09-12 13:13:12	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x297d8a…
09-12 05:08:15	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe4b966…
09-12 05:08:15	Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc32972…
09-12 04:52:36	Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x23481a…
09-12 04:38:45	Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x194ecd…
09-10 15:54:19	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9f093f…
09-09 23:52:37	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd2c6cd…
09-09 21:22:46	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbf338c…
09-09 16:39:37	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbbd241…
09-08 21:25:13	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x52c457…
09-08 16:46:49	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3e36a0…
09-08 02:07:04	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x02c65b…
09-07 14:52:33	Will NEOM SC win on 2026-09-07?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfdd168…
09-06 04:23:07	Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8bee3b…
09-05 15:08:33	Spread: FC Schalke 04 (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb71444…
09-04 23:40:13	Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x927d56…
09-04 21:35:58	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x01d80a…
09-04 12:18:12	Exact Score: Ipswich Town FC 3 - 2 Liverpool FC?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x00e386…
09-04 05:34:04	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf78a2f…
09-04 05:34:04	Ipswich Town FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x203ba8…
09-03 22:03:40	Will América de Cali win on 2026-09-03?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5123d8…
09-03 09:29:10	1st Half Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1cf328…
09-02 18:49:30	Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d8e02…
09-02 17:34:31	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x592b03…
09-02 16:35:36	Will AEK vs. OFI end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb67be4…
09-02 16:01:21	Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-09-02?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x29f85c…
09-01 15:18:36	Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1d8b6a…
09-01 14:17:40	Will Hamburg-Eimsbütteler BC win on 2026-09-01?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5cf4a2…
09-01 11:03:09	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xefe468…
09-01 10:47:12	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x308bc1…
09-01 10:21:37	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x34840a…
09-01 09:55:27	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xacd1bc…
09-01 09:53:13	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8300a4…
09-01 04:01:03	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe6cfd…
09-01 04:01:03	Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xabdcb6…
08-31 18:44:22	Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4f92dc…
08-30 19:31:43	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaab28e…
08-30 15:04:03	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Ipswich Town FC?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5dac63…
08-30 14:19:13	Real Madrid CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2949fd…
08-29 16:32:36	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x33e337…
08-28 21:32:07	Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7c6e1a…
08-28 18:03:28	Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x72fda8…
08-28 09:48:57	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a89c2…
08-27 23:02:16	Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x39c293…
08-27 17:32:57	Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-08-27?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf9b36d…
08-27 02:17:58	FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe098a0…
08-26 18:31:45	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x548141…
08-26 18:02:57	Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-08-26?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6ce7e8…
08-23 15:34:03	Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f17f0…
08-23 02:48:21	epl mac bou 2026 08 23 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaacb08…
08-22 16:50:10	lal esp rea 2026 08 22 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x64785e…
08-22 15:51:28	Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-22?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x013a61…
08-22 09:04:07	Will SV Wehen Wiesbaden win on 2026-08-22?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe59ca7…
08-20 19:01:09	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc911a6…
08-20 18:32:46	Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3 - 3 Deportivo Alavés?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x21707e…
08-16 14:37:00	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 0 Villarreal CF?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x397309…
08-08 20:21:04	Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7bc3e5…
08-08 15:17:18	Will Modena FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62d340…
08-08 14:02:43	Will Modena FC win on 2026-08-08?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa34a44…
08-06 18:51:38	Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-06?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa2792a…
08-06 16:56:24	Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-06?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6f15c7…
08-05 07:53:21	clf vil lu 2026 08 05 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x977b15…
08-04 07:42:21	Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4eb91a…
08-03 17:41:30	Will Dundee FC win on 2026-08-03?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x81cb51…
08-02 17:43:48	Will Ferencvarosi Budapest win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc13656…
08-01 00:32:05	Exact Score: Club Puebla 1 - 0 CD Guadalajara?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfd0ee0…
07-28 16:29:20	Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca67a3…
07-28 16:29:20	Will Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5784c5…
07-28 16:29:19	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-29?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7d4e85…
07-28 10:33:31	ucl hmi stu1 2026 07 28 team to advance	SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc957a3…
07-21 18:48:19	Will Larne FC win on 2026-07-21?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x765059…
07-18 17:53:48	Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbf5da1…
07-17 12:54:24	Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-18?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9c333…
07-03 21:01:28	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x24f0b5…
07-02 22:01:02	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x21b133…
06-27 04:14:19	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xedc0e0…
06-26 21:01:10	Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe9718d…
06-24 23:55:41	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x147d99…