Firm-Town — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

293

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$3.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-04 13:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 6?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	$0	11-06 09:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 07:21
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 05:14
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 13?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-13 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 16:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 05:14
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 10:18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:17
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:51
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:39
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:51
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:25
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 09:20:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b093e…
11-04 13:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e5107…
11-03 17:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5a776…
11-02 06:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6babc…
10-31 15:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8c767…
10-30 14:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x601fc7…
10-29 17:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a3246…
10-29 09:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x563445…
10-28 07:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ea9fe…
10-27 10:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4b24a…
10-26 09:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13de77…
10-24 11:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03aeb7…
10-22 10:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8b4a2…
10-20 08:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70a99b…
10-19 09:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30aed6…
10-18 10:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d0678…
10-17 15:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6caf57…
10-16 10:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6c625…
10-15 14:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62e0cc…
10-14 10:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d15bc…
10-13 10:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4bb25…
10-12 10:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f12bf…
10-11 09:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f6176…
10-08 12:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8995fd…
10-07 15:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e288b…
10-06 15:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55e711…
10-05 06:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x277f79…
10-03 09:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c92ff…
10-02 13:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6617f3…
10-01 09:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x596557…
09-30 14:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4a0ca…
09-30 03:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05ca49…
09-28 10:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b24cf…
09-27 09:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dae30…
09-25 16:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc18cc…
09-24 08:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdcacd…
09-23 10:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96a50e…
09-22 08:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41e706…
09-21 09:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x565c5f…
09-20 05:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d08fc…
09-19 09:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5eea36…
09-18 07:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71a5c8…
09-17 04:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa69e25…
09-16 08:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60be68…
09-15 10:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c22c7…
09-14 09:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeefe0d…
09-13 03:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0483e8…
09-11 09:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad7ab3…
09-10 08:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc9724…
09-09 02:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x258361…
09-08 06:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f031f…
09-07 08:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb49ed7…
09-06 11:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd46d84…
09-05 01:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb49c5…
09-04 01:02:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1d129…
09-02 07:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7d5ae…
08-30 14:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x648252…
08-29 09:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde7021…
08-28 09:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa078af…
08-27 09:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f1349…
08-26 08:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00b80e…
08-25 09:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87c12a…
08-24 14:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xdb60c8…
08-23 15:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a005f…
08-22 09:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x890405…
08-21 08:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5fba0d…
08-20 09:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32fd16…
08-18 08:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b05c5…
08-17 08:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3c2a1…
08-16 14:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf36e1…
08-15 10:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc37fef…
08-14 06:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe153da…
08-13 09:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fd96e…
08-12 09:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62ca29…
08-11 07:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65b77d…
08-10 08:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec5918…
08-09 06:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x652782…
08-08 07:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72fad3…
08-07 08:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd73847…
08-06 07:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7292f8…
08-05 08:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca79e4…
08-04 08:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe60a03…
08-03 07:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55579c…
08-02 06:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d8d46…
08-01 07:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb35ae7…
07-31 14:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d5894…
07-30 07:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce1f01…
07-29 07:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa12ed9…
07-28 07:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ff39d…
07-27 09:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x045d44…
07-26 08:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54250a…
07-25 09:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb59ce6…
07-24 13:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23bf4e…
07-23 08:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x314729…
07-22 02:12:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x265028…
07-21 09:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x010b17…
07-21 00:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x879791…
07-20 08:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfb093…
07-18 23:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15931f…
07-18 07:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x229c2c…