Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.5%

Resolved

146

Trades

452

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-17 08:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

99% 35% -$2,932

Sports

1% 25% -$86

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt2 in december	25	$1.6K	4,185	0	+4,185	No	-$1,571	01-13 09:58
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	14	$954	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$954	02-19 23:44
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	5	$695	500	400	+100	No	+$195	05-01 01:56
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in december	1	$675	0	772	-772	Yes	-$97	01-04 23:56
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	10	$518	6,450	2,700	+3,750	Yes	-$95	03-15 14:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$435	317	317	+0	No	+$35	08-17 14:00
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	3	$415	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$15	01-07 08:17
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	9	$413	898	898	+0	Yes	$0	02-05 01:09
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	5	$409	500	500	+0	Yes	+$9	08-17 08:49
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?	3	$400	300	300	+0	No	+$170	08-18 14:46
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$396	500	200	+300	Yes	-$236	01-30 00:01
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	8	$389	400	400	+0	No	+$41	03-13 21:33
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$380	1,000	3,000	-2,000	No	+$160	01-07 14:29
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?	3	$373	600	0	+600	No	+$227	07-21 15:37
will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	9	$337	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$663	08-19 01:52
will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	5	$333	501	0	+501	Yes	+$168	03-20 05:36
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	6	$285	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$285	08-18 14:52
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?	17	$273	1,050	49	+1,001	No	-$193	05-02 18:23
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	3	$263	200	200	+0	Yes	-$3	08-19 01:36
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	13	$258	800	800	+0	No	-$37	04-24 14:55
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	32	$234	2,300	0	+2,300	No	-$234	04-30 01:29
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$230	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$230	01-05 23:22
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	14	$225	1,506	0	+1,506	Yes	-$225	04-30 01:30
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	4	$212	380	0	+380	No	+$168	08-18 14:38
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	1	$200	323	0	+323	No	+$123	08-10 01:04
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	1	$190	306	0	+306	Yes	+$116	08-10 01:10
will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	1	$177	300	0	+300	No	+$123	04-02 00:52
will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	3	$131	195	195	+0	Yes	+$15	02-10 10:44
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	2	$128	250	0	+250	Yes	-$128	08-12 00:59
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	4	$117	1,733	0	+1,733	Yes	-$117	07-18 02:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 08:49:54	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	SELL	167	4¢	$7	0xb499e2…
10-17 08:49:44	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	No	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0xb0fa62…
08-19 01:55:46	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	No	BUY	125	13¢	$16	0x4a8d73…
08-19 01:52:48	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0x315684…
08-19 01:41:28	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x552262…
08-19 01:41:19	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	34	55¢	$19	0xb0c095…
08-19 01:41:04	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0x540847…
08-19 01:36:42	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	No	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0xa43db3…
08-18 17:44:54	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	62	31¢	$19	0x80d268…
08-18 17:11:45	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe5ccdd…
08-18 16:48:28	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x0c1647…
08-18 14:54:58	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0x8c344e…
08-18 14:52:34	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	300	20¢	$60	0x37408d…
08-18 14:51:15	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	No	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xd47fab…
08-18 14:46:52	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0xe977eb…
08-18 14:44:51	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x9776f1…
08-18 14:43:04	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xd78aaf…
08-18 14:38:00	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	No	BUY	80	44¢	$35	0x71aecb…
08-18 02:48:42	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x8cc58b…
08-18 02:47:28	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xd5191c…
08-18 02:45:51	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0x4c5cc8…
08-18 02:44:16	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x647fdd…
08-18 02:43:19	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x6dfd87…
08-17 14:15:52	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xdefc7f…
08-17 14:00:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	317	74¢	$235	0xcbd506…
08-17 08:57:07	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x09fc13…
08-17 08:51:24	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x6e4c62…
08-17 08:49:43	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	250	44¢	$109	0x7fd4ec…
08-17 07:09:18	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	187	40¢	$75	0xc751c4…
08-17 05:57:25	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	63	40¢	$25	0x9712d1…
08-17 04:37:22	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	78	67¢	$52	0x7a658a…
08-17 04:35:33	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x1636ce…
08-17 04:32:27	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x08df3e…
08-17 04:25:52	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0xb1fbe6…
08-17 04:24:31	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x77b787…
08-16 04:51:40	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0x5caef0…
08-16 04:48:24	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x51258e…
08-16 04:42:36	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x96ee8a…
08-15 05:24:48	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x5247cc…
08-14 22:58:04	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?	No	BUY	200	37¢	$75	0x22d364…
08-14 22:49:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x21c894…
08-14 22:45:57	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x299c18…
08-14 22:37:19	Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3bed38…
08-14 22:37:12	Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	80	36¢	$29	0xbafb74…
08-14 22:37:12	Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4e6015…
08-13 02:17:40	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x298d77…
08-13 02:14:33	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x92d4bd…
08-13 02:13:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xf16d31…
08-13 02:10:18	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xd68061…
08-13 02:08:10	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x0af536…
08-13 01:49:01	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x57411d…
08-13 01:48:01	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x5880e8…
08-13 01:47:24	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xb48237…
08-13 01:45:46	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xf5b75a…
08-13 01:44:43	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	55	61¢	$33	0x3ab3de…
08-13 01:43:42	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x884868…
08-13 01:42:52	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xd8faac…
08-13 01:42:24	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xf622ec…
08-12 00:59:27	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$23	0x1a3581…
08-10 01:57:12	Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xd16d70…
08-10 01:53:49	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?	No	BUY	180	57¢	$103	0xb6076b…
08-10 01:51:55	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in July?	No	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xb4388e…
08-10 01:47:58	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xf0df47…
08-10 01:46:31	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xb5bb3b…
08-10 01:43:46	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa56a1e…
08-10 01:42:18	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x046ae4…
08-10 01:33:48	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0xb7d5fa…
08-10 01:10:49	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	BUY	306	62¢	$190	0xa5d462…
08-10 01:04:54	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x0d2fa9…
08-10 01:03:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0xc59171…
08-04 08:32:15	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	98	36¢	$35	0xaa7178…
07-21 15:48:48	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?	No	BUY	37	66¢	$24	0xca2e3f…
07-21 15:47:40	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?	Yes	BUY	65	4¢	$2	0x5ff4c6…
07-21 15:45:18	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x13aaba…
07-21 15:37:45	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?	No	BUY	233	62¢	$144	0x4f620c…
07-18 03:04:33	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?	Yes	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0x98e970…
07-18 02:01:43	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	No	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xadcb66…
07-18 02:01:42	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	No	BUY	1,475	5¢	$67	0xc4d0c4…
07-17 00:30:37	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?	No	BUY	300	63¢	$188	0x5a4dff…
07-16 09:09:25	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?	No	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x2ac50e…
07-16 09:08:32	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	No	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x149371…
07-16 09:06:35	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x7f69ee…
07-16 01:35:37	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x035f89…
07-15 16:48:47	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x6f6b64…
07-15 16:47:46	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xcfdc95…
07-15 15:43:29	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x19c5fc…
07-15 15:38:01	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x8d461f…
07-15 15:32:22	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8d666b…
07-15 15:32:14	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xce08fe…
07-15 15:31:52	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x135256…
07-15 15:31:50	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xcc4263…
07-15 15:31:50	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	Yes	BUY	66	7¢	$5	0x2fef18…
07-15 15:31:08	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa3d61a…
07-15 15:31:08	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x5c940a…
07-15 15:31:08	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x02a11f…
07-15 15:30:46	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x0f4d42…
07-15 15:28:55	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf0a80f…
07-15 15:28:43	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x16c9ad…
07-15 15:27:44	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc8edc1…
07-15 15:27:28	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xc2180d…