Nutty-Presence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$169

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

305

Trades

604

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-28 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 74% -$145

Other

19% 65% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$100	400	0	+400	No	-$100	07-11 14:07
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	1	$99	133	0	+133	Yes	+$34	07-02 02:20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	1	$50	82	0	+82	Yes	+$32	07-10 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	6	$42	26	26	+0	Up	+$2	10-27 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$32	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	10-27 14:45
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	2	$30	21	21	+0	Yes	+$10	07-03 05:08
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	2	$27	17	17	+0	Yes	+$7	07-03 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$27	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	10-27 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$26	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	10-27 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:05 UTC	1	$25	807	0	+807	Down	-$25	07-14 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 08:55 UTC	1	$25	47	0	+47	Down	-$25	07-14 08:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:40 UTC	1	$25	74	0	+74	Up	-$25	07-14 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$24	17	9	+8	Up	+$1	10-28 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$24	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	10-27 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$24	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	10-27 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$24	16	16	+0	Down	+$4	05-01 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$23	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	10-27 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	10-27 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	04-30 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	04-30 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	10-27 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	04-30 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	04-30 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	04-30 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	4	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	04-30 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-01 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	04-30 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	04-30 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$20	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	04-30 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	04-30 04:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1aec7b…
10-28 03:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xd6d294…
10-28 03:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x377b84…
10-28 03:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xec13b3…
10-28 03:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb20445…
10-28 03:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x18fcef…
10-28 03:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x863c82…
10-28 03:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x7997e7…
10-28 03:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x9d90fa…
10-28 03:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x69f22f…
10-28 03:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe467c5…
10-28 03:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xc516f2…
10-28 02:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbf3ae0…
10-28 02:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8230ec…
10-28 02:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf43c53…
10-28 02:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x55f564…
10-27 17:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xfb6f89…
10-27 17:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xdc427c…
10-27 17:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x771fbc…
10-27 17:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x83ac33…
10-27 17:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x080cfa…
10-27 17:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xdc6ce7…
10-27 17:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xc280c6…
10-27 17:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xb0021d…
10-27 17:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xa57bc7…
10-27 17:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7fadcd…
10-27 17:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x4033df…
10-27 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xb6006c…
10-27 17:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x8a7a02…
10-27 17:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xd17269…
10-27 17:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xed7c70…
10-27 16:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9f65f6…
10-27 16:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xb3a587…
10-27 16:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa7c8a4…
10-27 16:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf81da0…
10-27 14:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe8038f…
10-27 14:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x4c8282…
10-27 14:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0x369e28…
10-27 14:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x44afd6…
10-27 14:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x286259…
10-27 14:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xc11d19…
10-27 14:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xfdeffa…
10-27 14:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xb8b5b5…
10-27 14:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x628a7c…
10-27 14:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x669166…
10-27 14:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0xd95f6c…
10-27 14:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xfc9cd4…
10-27 14:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0e4d24…
10-27 14:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xb5aeaf…
10-27 12:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe0407b…
10-27 12:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0xfbd186…
10-27 12:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x11a3d2…
10-27 12:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc850dd…
10-27 12:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc93bb7…
10-27 10:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbd2413…
10-27 10:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf9bff7…
10-27 10:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf14277…
10-27 10:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc6f354…
10-27 10:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x15053d…
10-27 10:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x55ddc5…
10-27 10:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xdef223…
10-27 10:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xd7b985…
10-27 09:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfab9cc…
10-27 09:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xe7acb0…
10-27 09:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xcb5182…
10-27 09:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7462f8…
10-27 09:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x71388f…
10-27 09:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x32e3ce…
10-27 08:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4e0f77…
10-27 08:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x3a983a…
10-27 08:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x341e92…
10-27 08:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7b6f76…
10-27 08:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x85322e…
10-27 08:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x917414…
10-27 08:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xd17952…
10-27 08:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x28df83…
10-27 07:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd9f22d…
10-27 07:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x4d6e16…
10-27 07:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x38782e…
10-27 07:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x583704…
10-27 07:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb10c0c…
10-27 07:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x9f4fbd…
10-27 07:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xde792f…
10-27 07:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xb06b8f…
10-27 07:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7db91f…
10-27 07:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x514f6c…
10-27 07:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2fc396…
10-27 07:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x19da18…
10-27 07:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb28a15…
10-27 07:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x8b0f73…
10-27 07:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x13782c…
10-27 07:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0xe73c14…
10-27 07:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x70c7d1…
10-27 07:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6a8a77…
10-27 07:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x2a651f…
10-27 07:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x7a7746…
10-27 07:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x99c538…
10-27 07:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x19c1dc…
10-27 07:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x00916b…
10-27 07:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd38f97…