Yearly-Culvert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$170

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

3,678

Trades

5,569

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 11-09 13:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 49% -$163

Other

1% 43% -$9

Sports

0% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	—	+15	$5	99¢	$15	+$9	11-09 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	—	+7	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-09 15:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 10:55 UTC	4	$73	106	106	+0	Down	+$21	06-08 10:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 13:30 UTC	6	$49	57	8	+49	Down	+$3	03-14 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 11:30 UTC	5	$44	56	56	+0	Down	-$1	03-18 11:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 07:00 UTC	7	$40	38	35	+3	Up	+$6	03-18 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 11:00 UTC	7	$37	41	26	+14	Up	+$7	03-18 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	6	$34	36	36	+0	Up	+$10	06-03 07:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 12:30 UTC	6	$34	32	24	+8	Up	+$5	03-17 12:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 08:45 UTC	7	$33	36	29	+7	Down	-$2	03-23 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:45 UTC	4	$33	29	28	+0	Down	+$5	03-17 11:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 15:15 UTC	6	$32	31	19	+13	Down	+$5	03-17 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 12:45 UTC	5	$32	30	29	+0	Up	+$1	03-22 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 06:45 UTC	6	$30	31	30	+0	Down	-$8	03-18 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 13:45 UTC	4	$26	37	31	+6	Up	-$8	03-21 13:59
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	2	$26	47	0	+47	Bilibili Gaming	+$21	11-08 23:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 09:00 UTC	10	$26	23	23	+0	Down	+$7	03-24 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 14:00 UTC	7	$24	41	6	+36	Down	-$22	03-20 14:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:30 UTC	5	$24	34	23	+11	Up	-$10	03-17 11:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:25 UTC	4	$23	17	17	+0	Up	+$10	06-04 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 16:00 UTC	6	$23	26	15	+12	Down	+$2	03-19 16:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 06:00 UTC	4	$21	28	14	+14	Up	+$15	03-27 06:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 08:00 UTC	7	$21	45	43	+2	Up	+$3	03-18 08:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 09:30 UTC	6	$21	35	22	+13	Up	+$1	03-20 09:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 14:30 UTC	3	$21	35	35	+0	Up	+$1	03-25 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	6	$21	31	10	+21	Down	+$19	11-08 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 12:45 UTC	5	$20	30	10	+20	Down	+$6	03-20 12:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 23:30 UTC	4	$20	19	16	+2	Down	+$3	03-25 23:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 03:10 UTC	1	$20	29	0	+29	Down	+$9	06-12 03:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:25 UTC	1	$20	35	0	+35	Up	-$20	06-12 04:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 14:15 UTC	3	$20	58	0	+58	Up	-$20	03-20 14:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 10:15 UTC	2	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	03-23 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 15:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xd2e260…
11-09 15:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xcf334b…
11-09 15:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0xb5811a…
11-09 15:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7a0468…
11-09 15:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x78d87e…
11-09 15:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x284244…
11-09 15:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2bdb61…
11-09 15:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcbf59d…
11-09 14:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0fa657…
11-09 14:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x581edc…
11-09 14:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xcabe77…
11-09 13:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb7faf2…
11-09 13:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xce6730…
11-09 13:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xadb39b…
11-09 13:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfd3cb4…
11-09 13:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x791bf9…
11-09 13:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9593d4…
11-09 12:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6d14bc…
11-09 12:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x589469…
11-09 12:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbb8a43…
11-09 12:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa287da…
11-09 12:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3391c5…
11-09 12:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x70833e…
11-09 12:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4ac075…
11-09 12:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb36202…
11-09 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2a155d…
11-09 12:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc1a84a…
11-09 11:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xef14e9…
11-09 11:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x914b0e…
11-09 11:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x540168…
11-09 11:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9db8c7…
11-09 10:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcb4851…
11-09 09:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x979d19…
11-09 09:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x5c8afa…
11-09 09:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1122ef…
11-09 08:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x99bf89…
11-09 08:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x022b9a…
11-09 08:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7c9dce…
11-09 08:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x26b684…
11-09 08:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcfb04f…
11-09 08:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x889eb8…
11-09 08:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x06b048…
11-09 08:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7ee162…
11-09 08:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5c7804…
11-09 07:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf8bfc5…
11-09 07:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe5d188…
11-09 07:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x51931d…
11-09 07:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe5f2b6…
11-09 07:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xd89916…
11-09 07:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9dbbbd…
11-09 07:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x94ed7f…
11-09 07:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8c7c4d…
11-09 07:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1675ab…
11-09 07:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xa63c16…
11-09 07:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8816dc…
11-09 06:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x3361c5…
11-09 06:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x02dbb1…
11-09 06:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdc4e37…
11-09 06:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdc2240…
11-09 06:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4fbd3a…
11-09 06:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x13c696…
11-09 06:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x283d0c…
11-09 06:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x848711…
11-09 06:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9c7413…
11-09 06:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x0045f5…
11-09 06:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaa3dc2…
11-09 06:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x94c87d…
11-09 06:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x16f04a…
11-09 06:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x83cc20…
11-09 06:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5235b4…
11-09 05:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa8e336…
11-09 04:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb7b4a8…
11-09 04:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7ef2c1…
11-09 04:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x221ac7…
11-09 04:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf9dc55…
11-09 03:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x44e0ac…
11-09 03:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x8223c1…
11-09 03:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xd20c17…
11-09 03:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x0aab4d…
11-09 03:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0819ea…
11-09 03:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8223c2…
11-09 03:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf37b84…
11-09 01:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x62404f…
11-09 00:41:03	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x417c16…
11-09 00:15:28	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdcdb83…
11-09 00:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xd8484e…
11-08 23:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xf8922a…
11-08 23:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe7bdc3…
11-08 23:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x076f24…
11-08 23:41:45	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xee7f82…
11-08 23:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd2dba3…
11-08 23:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc220d6…
11-08 23:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb23e9a…
11-08 23:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa9d4f8…
11-08 23:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x7e1536…
11-08 23:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x6bc4b8…
11-08 23:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xf5ead4…
11-08 18:06:15	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x17c69d…
11-08 18:05:57	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xaa56e1…
11-08 17:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xa7265f…