Whimsical-Rail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

29.9%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

$48

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-04 06:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

46% 50% +$0

Other

34% 0% $-0

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+51	$49	96¢	$48	$-1	06-02 08:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$1.2K	617	617	+0	open	—	03-29 12:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$753	391	391	+0	open	—	04-07 08:54
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$720	383	383	+0	open	—	04-16 00:12
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$597	316	316	+0	Yes	$-0	03-17 01:03
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$590	304	304	+0	open	—	03-18 16:05
will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	4	$568	296	296	+0	open	—	03-17 19:34
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	4	$486	251	251	+0	open	—	03-12 17:44
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	5	$422	226	226	-0	open	—	04-08 00:25
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	5	$406	207	207	+0	open	—	04-20 10:35
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$394	201	201	+0	open	—	04-14 06:42
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$389	202	202	+0	No	+$0	04-27 18:38
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	3	$330	170	170	+0	open	—	03-04 03:23
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$315	163	163	+0	No	$-0	03-08 04:01
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$303	158	158	+0	open	—	03-04 12:38
will iran strike israel on march 6	3	$301	161	161	+0	open	—	03-09 20:55
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	5	$300	159	159	+0	open	—	03-16 03:01
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$300	154	154	+0	open	—	03-10 16:30
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$298	152	152	+0	open	—	03-18 20:46
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$293	150	150	+0	open	—	03-21 22:35
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$290	148	148	+0	open	—	03-25 04:55
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$285	146	146	+0	open	—	03-24 18:18
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$285	155	155	+0	open	—	03-29 10:01
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	3	$281	144	144	+0	open	—	03-30 00:47
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$279	146	146	+0	open	—	03-30 09:37
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$276	142	142	+0	open	—	03-28 11:16
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$273	139	139	+0	open	—	03-22 18:33
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$258	138	137	+0	open	—	04-27 02:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$252	129	129	+0	open	—	04-24 17:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	2	$250	134	133	+0	open	—	04-27 11:07
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$220	119	119	+0	open	—	04-11 22:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 06:19:03	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0xead1f9…
06-03 23:18:57	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x1a1efa…
06-03 22:44:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	58	92¢	$53	0x54c9d6…
06-03 16:43:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	58	93¢	$54	0xfb91ba…
06-02 08:02:48	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x2fab12…
05-23 05:46:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x6d23de…
05-23 01:46:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0xc670cd…
05-19 14:51:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0x6b6b17…
05-19 10:38:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0xaca91e…
04-27 18:38:32	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0x6c056a…
04-27 11:34:40	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0x4a6a33…
04-27 11:07:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	SELL	133	93¢	$124	0xe937bf…
04-27 03:59:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	134	94¢	$125	0x526e51…
04-27 02:14:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	137	91¢	$125	0xdfd49f…
04-25 01:51:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	138	96¢	$132	0x6f0903…
04-24 17:08:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	129	98¢	$126	0xb50a6d…
04-24 10:54:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	129	97¢	$126	0xdb0447…
04-21 15:35:48	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0x00b45d…
04-21 09:00:50	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0xbd1ca1…
04-20 10:35:12	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xadd5ec…
04-20 01:50:20	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xcb4058…
04-16 00:12:22	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0xb2ef74…
04-15 17:02:28	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x1a287a…
04-14 23:25:18	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$42	0x74745a…
04-14 12:19:09	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x616e97…
04-14 06:42:49	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x1f233f…
04-14 02:09:15	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x4974bc…
04-12 20:08:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x2be878…
04-12 11:57:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x8f6208…
04-12 05:45:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$55	0xb7bab4…
04-11 22:36:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xafcbbe…
04-11 22:31:31	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	60	91¢	$54	0x96c8c8…
04-11 17:26:19	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x555992…
04-11 17:00:19	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	59	93¢	$55	0x3f65e2…
04-11 06:12:23	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0xd769e5…
04-11 05:08:31	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xf1166d…
04-10 20:17:05	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x83a6db…
04-09 01:16:35	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x35d689…
04-08 19:10:33	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x632939…
04-08 17:23:57	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0xf1a6f4…
04-08 09:46:53	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0x9d1d02…
04-08 00:25:49	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	58	94¢	$55	0x8d0fbc…
04-07 18:27:37	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0x5fce6a…
04-07 08:54:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x653f31…
04-01 00:48:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xa43ccf…
03-30 17:07:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0xcb2a2e…
03-30 10:20:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xa020a9…
03-30 09:37:46	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	146	96¢	$140	0x94d062…
03-30 01:54:42	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	146	96¢	$139	0x595e62…
03-30 00:47:28	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	144	97¢	$140	0x2d4b16…
03-29 16:10:24	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x68b1a6…
03-29 16:09:36	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0xe9dffb…
03-29 12:58:48	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	140	95¢	$134	0x408988…
03-29 12:04:56	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0x25fdf1…
03-29 10:01:28	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	155	92¢	$142	0xcada14…
03-29 05:58:06	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	145	92¢	$133	0x33ea0b…
03-29 05:50:48	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xd1a9e8…
03-29 05:06:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	133	97¢	$129	0xe1a38a…
03-28 21:58:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	133	97¢	$129	0x09cb7c…
03-28 11:16:15	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	142	97¢	$137	0xbab0ea…
03-28 04:22:03	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	142	98¢	$138	0x70ce67…
03-26 11:31:11	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	144	96¢	$138	0x699f13…
03-26 07:30:39	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	144	96¢	$138	0x7dcda6…
03-25 04:55:49	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	148	98¢	$146	0x7c0f97…
03-24 20:09:59	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	148	97¢	$144	0x6f5985…
03-24 18:18:27	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	146	97¢	$142	0x67d8b2…
03-24 11:35:25	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	146	98¢	$143	0xa568a3…
03-22 18:33:21	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	139	98¢	$137	0x10ca7d…
03-22 08:52:05	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	139	98¢	$137	0xcf4610…
03-21 22:35:17	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	150	98¢	$146	0xd68df3…
03-21 15:23:15	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$146	0x91b271…
03-21 13:23:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	141	95¢	$134	0xfbabc4…
03-21 07:19:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	141	96¢	$135	0x96f036…
03-19 10:25:33	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	151	95¢	$143	0xc2f640…
03-19 04:02:51	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	151	95¢	$144	0xd6fde3…
03-18 20:46:29	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	152	98¢	$149	0x912a13…
03-18 16:39:13	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	152	98¢	$149	0x81ffa2…
03-18 16:05:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	156	97¢	$152	0xeb1a76…
03-18 08:48:47	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	156	97¢	$152	0x249dc4…
03-18 08:33:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	148	97¢	$143	0xc2d218…
03-18 03:09:37	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	148	97¢	$143	0xe7be8c…
03-17 19:34:33	will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	No	SELL	146	95¢	$139	0x5696aa…
03-17 12:32:53	will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	No	BUY	146	96¢	$141	0xab0c82…
03-17 01:03:33	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	163	95¢	$154	0x2be730…
03-16 17:08:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xb8b4d3…
03-16 17:00:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x610ba5…
03-16 16:55:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0xe1691a…
03-16 16:54:05	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xa80af4…
03-16 16:53:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x334135…
03-16 16:52:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7a2072…
03-16 16:51:15	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x765352…
03-16 03:01:23	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	SELL	159	94¢	$149	0x6e3805…
03-15 20:51:35	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	132	95¢	$126	0xa1ed81…
03-15 20:42:15	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xc73ded…
03-15 20:03:47	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xde4125…
03-15 19:47:03	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x110ff0…
03-15 19:00:27	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	160	98¢	$157	0x800ceb…
03-15 12:45:01	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xcc1e70…
03-15 12:24:47	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xe8e304…
03-14 16:01:01	will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	No	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0xc13e90…