Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$127

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,155

lifetime

Volume

$55.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 08-31 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

32% 89% +$9

Other

28% 82% +$105

Politics

24% 100% +$7

Tech

16% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	18	$11.3K	5,458	5,957	-499	No	+$48	03-31 09:19
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	42	$10.5K	7,021	4,366	+2,655	No	+$3	03-31 09:31
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	96	$9.1K	4,951	4,493	+457	No	+$4	04-30 23:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	175	$8.0K	4,164	4,034	+130	Yes	+$5	07-31 16:01
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	11	$3.8K	2,010	1,934	+77	No	+$2	03-30 08:39
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$2	03-26 14:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	146	$1.7K	876	862	+14	Yes	+$1	02-13 17:21
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	134	$1.6K	819	793	+26	No	+$2	02-26 07:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	44	$1.2K	683	604	+79	No	$0	08-31 02:49
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	71	$690	344	355	-11	No	+$0	06-30 09:15
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$634	690	0	+690	Yes	+$56	03-26 06:34
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	53	$485	230	260	-30	Yes	+$0	02-27 02:42
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	42	$454	228	228	+0	No	+$0	02-25 13:01
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	43	$391	226	220	+6	No	+$3	03-23 08:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	7	$365	183	183	+0	No	+$0	05-29 04:55
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	40	$281	145	145	+0	Yes	+$0	02-16 02:47
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	18	$251	126	126	+0	No	+$0	02-08 20:00
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	25	$249	130	120	+10	No	+$0	02-28 07:15
will binance be accused of insider trading	15	$219	120	105	+15	No	+$0	02-26 11:59
new stranger things episode released by february 28 564 799 718 478 643 635 547	12	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	02-24 15:01
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	18	$174	88	88	+0	No	+$0	02-23 20:59
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	12	$128	65	65	+0	No	+$0	02-27 13:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$125	250	0	+250	Yes	$0	05-18 16:00
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	12	$118	66	55	+11	No	+$0	02-27 03:15
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	10	$111	56	56	+0	No	+$0	02-23 23:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	26	$110	58	56	+2	Yes	+$0	08-18 03:41
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 18 million 565	11	$105	60	50	+10	No	+$0	02-16 03:08
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	13	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	02-17 20:48
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	12	$88	40	50	-10	Yes	$0	03-17 05:09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	7	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$0	02-25 20:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 02:49:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xcac33e…
08-31 02:49:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc47603…
08-31 02:49:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x974bef…
08-31 02:49:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5a6d5a…
08-31 02:49:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x70367e…
08-31 02:49:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x30e968…
08-31 02:10:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbfe328…
08-30 18:39:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x28ef30…
08-30 16:00:55	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcffe84…
08-30 08:55:43	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x469a74…
08-29 13:24:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x637201…
08-26 17:36:46	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb4133b…
08-26 10:20:45	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe48750…
08-24 14:42:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x8cdbd8…
08-24 08:23:13	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xade363…
08-21 18:49:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x1ff082…
08-20 14:53:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xad0b50…
08-19 16:59:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xe00438…
08-19 16:10:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	79	99¢	$79	0x57b83d…
08-19 03:29:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	79	99¢	$79	0x4d18c1…
08-19 00:27:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x26e291…
08-18 17:18:33	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3486dd…
08-18 16:32:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x63ea5b…
08-18 13:35:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x450827…
08-18 12:21:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc53866…
08-18 12:21:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xeca97d…
08-18 12:21:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x412d5d…
08-18 12:21:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x147f32…
08-18 11:13:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0b1597…
08-18 03:41:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe7e383…
08-18 03:36:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd7420d…
08-18 03:32:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xab175a…
08-18 03:23:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8de7c0…
08-18 03:21:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb8608a…
08-18 02:58:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x23ca72…
08-18 02:49:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0a19d1…
08-18 02:44:55	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xba59e9…
08-18 02:31:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2867b7…
08-18 02:26:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf581f7…
08-18 00:00:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa9f97c…
08-17 23:57:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x2c95f6…
08-17 23:38:33	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe72662…
08-17 22:25:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdd539b…
08-17 22:23:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd7c3cc…
08-17 22:02:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1638d1…
08-17 19:29:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbc1db0…
08-17 19:26:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x302d3f…
08-17 19:15:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7d17a5…
08-17 19:14:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x183a0d…
08-17 17:10:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xeeee76…
08-17 16:59:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeddd8d…
08-17 13:57:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa872ad…
08-17 13:26:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfe81eb…
08-17 13:16:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xf1855c…
08-17 13:14:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x12022f…
08-17 13:13:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4c79f2…
08-17 08:59:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3fd963…
08-17 08:14:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3210a7…
08-17 08:13:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xd1eef6…
08-17 08:13:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x01b0c0…
08-17 08:13:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xc3c133…
08-17 08:13:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x7cd80c…
08-17 08:13:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xce6765…
08-17 08:13:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xbaca0a…
08-17 08:12:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x42d803…
08-17 04:54:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xeea652…
08-17 04:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xfa7e7a…
08-17 04:51:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x393031…
08-17 04:50:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x257623…
08-17 04:50:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x43e430…
08-17 04:49:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x9b9595…
08-17 04:48:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x624df4…
08-17 03:41:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0710ca…
07-31 16:01:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2cf63e…
07-31 16:01:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x12467e…
07-31 16:01:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcd10a3…
07-31 16:01:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa22043…
07-31 16:01:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9d8139…
07-31 16:01:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x673c23…
07-31 16:01:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x45b00e…
07-31 16:01:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x407f44…
07-31 16:01:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x09553f…
07-31 16:01:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x01cc3f…
07-31 13:41:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x73b781…
07-31 07:50:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x94d2f3…
07-30 12:19:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x57a599…
07-30 07:53:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x280d6e…
07-30 07:49:41	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x4b6407…
07-30 07:45:05	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xfe80bf…
07-30 07:28:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x9dd6d6…
07-30 06:59:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x908dd1…
07-30 05:53:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5c7e46…
07-30 05:50:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1c0016…
07-30 05:31:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x9c13f3…
07-29 23:38:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x33ec04…
07-29 18:44:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xfbdf07…
07-29 18:17:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf32260…
07-29 18:08:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x03dcd8…
07-29 18:06:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf2b0a2…
07-29 17:19:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6115d2…