Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$131

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$220

Open exposure

$130

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-24 03:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

41% 92% +$48

Politics

40% 100% +$52

Tech

13% 100% +$14

Sports

4% 100% +$14

Crypto

3% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes		+130	$126	100¢	$130	+$4	10-22 23:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	2	$914	464	464	+0	Yes	+$11	10-21 16:02
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 15 2026 20260722225036939	1	$450	452	0	+452	No	+$2	08-15 05:11
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	4	$450	450	0	+450	Yes	+$0	08-03 01:05
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	2	$432	216	216	+0	Yes	+$0	07-17 16:53
over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	1	$431	448	0	+448	Yes	+$18	07-24 16:17
over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	1	$429	432	0	+432	No	+$3	07-17 16:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	1	$427	427	0	+427	No	+$0	06-20 03:02
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	2	$426	214	214	+0	Yes	$0	07-17 16:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$426	427	0	+427	No	+$0	07-05 14:00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$409	410	0	+410	Yes	+$1	05-25 04:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$401	409	0	+409	No	+$8	05-21 02:21
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	1	$398	401	0	+401	No	+$3	05-13 03:46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$396	398	0	+398	No	+$2	04-30 02:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$395	396	0	+396	Yes	+$1	04-29 15:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	1	$337	351	0	+351	Yes	+$14	10-24 03:26
lamine yamal 20260609173616772	1	$323	323	0	+323	No	+$0	06-15 15:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$308	309	0	+309	Yes	+$1	04-06 09:24
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$274	275	0	+275	Yes	+$1	03-18 08:17
iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	1	$213	216	0	+216	Yes	+$3	07-15 05:58
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$209	210	0	+210	Yes	+$0	06-08 08:40
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	1	$205	216	0	+216	No	+$11	06-05 05:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$205	209	0	+209	No	+$5	06-05 06:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$194	200	0	+200	No	+$6	04-22 08:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$194	195	0	+195	No	+$1	04-22 08:39
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	2	$193	195	0	+195	No	+$2	04-14 11:05
israel military action against fordow nuclear facility by april 15	1	$193	193	0	+193	No	+$0	04-14 09:02
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$180	200	0	+200	Yes	+$20	01-06 14:11
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$0	01-30 00:20
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	1	$136	138	0	+138	No	+$2	01-30 00:19
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	2	$126	130	0	+130	open	—	10-22 23:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 03:26:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	351	96¢	$337	0xfd1c7b…
10-22 23:37:32	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0x8c38d5…
10-22 23:37:26	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x85c8c0…
10-21 16:02:14	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	464	100¢	$462	0xe20c96…
08-28 06:39:24	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	464	97¢	$451	0x78b820…
08-15 05:11:39	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 15 2026 20260722225036939	No	BUY	452	100¢	$450	0x8849b4…
08-03 01:05:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xcaeaa3…
08-03 00:48:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfd5735…
08-03 00:19:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x33e435…
08-03 00:16:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x6a3971…
07-24 16:17:48	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	448	96¢	$431	0xd61231…
07-17 16:53:52	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	No	BUY	432	99¢	$429	0xbefa4b…
07-17 16:53:24	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0xdb44d1…
07-17 16:53:13	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	214	100¢	$213	0xcf461b…
07-17 13:23:51	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x16cd5b…
07-15 05:58:05	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	216	99¢	$213	0x658689…
07-15 05:07:19	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	214	100¢	$213	0xdf076d…
07-05 14:00:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	427	100¢	$426	0x939b17…
06-20 03:02:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	427	100¢	$427	0x7c55d2…
06-15 15:25:21	lamine yamal 20260609173616772	No	BUY	323	100¢	$323	0x064a8a…
06-15 15:24:51	dani olmo 20260609173616763	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x48649a…
06-08 08:40:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x876748…
06-05 06:00:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	209	98¢	$205	0x9b5415…
06-05 05:59:51	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	216	95¢	$205	0x7fd53d…
05-25 04:44:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	410	100¢	$409	0x0637b3…
05-21 02:21:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	388	98¢	$380	0xd14cd8…
05-21 02:19:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x72b8a9…
05-13 03:46:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	BUY	401	99¢	$398	0xbbb526…
04-30 02:38:50	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	398	100¢	$396	0x7bf751…
04-29 15:48:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	396	100¢	$395	0xd45039…
04-22 08:41:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xd106b4…
04-22 08:39:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0x63e257…
04-14 11:05:17	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	127	99¢	$125	0xd0312a…
04-14 10:53:57	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0x6c5b7e…
04-14 09:02:37	israel military action against fordow nuclear facility by april 15	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x7ee4f0…
04-06 09:24:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	309	100¢	$308	0xd12dae…
03-26 07:47:21	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0x94c32c…
03-26 07:29:19	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	59	98¢	$57	0x727299…
03-26 07:14:05	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xb89f69…
03-26 07:06:23	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	78	94¢	$74	0xad29ff…
03-26 07:05:15	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	76	97¢	$74	0x7f1fde…
03-26 07:04:31	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0xd816db…
03-18 08:17:27	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0xd3270c…
01-30 00:20:06	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xd0d9d5…
01-30 00:19:52	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	No	BUY	138	98¢	$136	0x3545f3…
01-06 14:11:47	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	71	99¢	$71	0x8ff4d5…
01-06 14:11:33	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x531250…