Thin-Chastity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

435

Trades

507

lifetime

Volume

$3.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-16

last 05-22 11:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

77% 67% +$133

Politics

13% 70% -$46

Sports

6% 56% -$92

Pop-Culture

2% 57% -$31

Crypto

2% 71% +$2

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	05-21 01:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	2	$80	87	+87	No	+$7	05-22 04:04
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$72	81	+81	No	+$9	05-22 06:03
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	2	$58	58	+58	No	+$0	05-22 03:37
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$54	100	+100	Yes	-$54	05-20 22:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 17?	2	$51	54	+54	Yes	+$3	05-17 19:32
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$50	74	+74	No	+$24	05-22 09:03
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$47	71	+71	Yes	-$47	05-22 02:34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	4	$46	107	+107	Yes	+$29	05-18 01:01
Will Morgan Rogers win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	2	$44	44	+44	No	+$0	05-21 09:18
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$41	49	+49	Yes	-$41	05-21 03:03
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$40	76	+76	Yes	-$40	05-21 00:02
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	1	$38	42	+42	No	-$38	05-21 04:25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 17?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-17 18:54
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-20 22:15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-17 16:19
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$32	33	+33	No	+$1	05-21 04:04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 21?	1	$32	32	+32	No	+$0	05-21 13:46
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?	1	$28	46	+46	Yes	+$18	05-17 00:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 22?	2	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	05-21 17:20
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$28	33	+33	Yes	-$28	05-21 02:35
Will Garrett Mason win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	1	$26	29	+29	No	+$3	05-17 03:43
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	1	$26	34	+34	No	+$8	05-17 01:53
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-21 06:54
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	05-21 21:03
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	05-21 02:54
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-06-12?	1	$22	25	+25	No	+$3	05-21 11:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 18?	2	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	05-18 01:59
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	1	$21	21	+21	No	+$0	05-17 02:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 18?	2	$20	38	+38	No	+$8	05-18 00:59
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	2	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	05-21 14:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 11:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x71f669…
05-22 11:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x0ad875…
05-22 11:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa6ccd9…
05-22 10:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xc043d0…
05-22 10:55:42	Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 0 Atalanta BC?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x9c00e1…
05-22 10:40:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 24?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x94f0fc…
05-22 10:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xdcb03d…
05-22 10:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd4c3c1…
05-22 10:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4f74d9…
05-22 10:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xa4b350…
05-22 09:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 23?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x1115d4…
05-22 09:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7d5486…
05-22 09:21:16	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.5% and 1.8%?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x105e8d…
05-22 09:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xffac5a…
05-22 09:03:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xa9766b…
05-22 09:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x936cf9…
05-22 08:41:13	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xaa4256…
05-22 08:26:01	Will MOUZ win CS Asia Championships 2026?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x731277…
05-22 08:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x58aa4f…
05-22 07:58:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xc6cf25…
05-22 07:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x94abb7…
05-22 07:26:21	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf2f8ec…
05-22 07:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xc190f1…
05-22 07:15:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf83cf8…
05-22 07:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4fc3fa…
05-22 07:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc925ac…
05-22 06:58:54	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0xc433ae…
05-22 06:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xe24e44…
05-22 06:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$1	0xf61e9d…
05-22 06:46:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	49	69¢	$34	0x7a3dec…
05-22 06:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xadce23…
05-22 06:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd5eb17…
05-22 06:03:03	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8a711a…
05-22 05:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xef7fc3…
05-22 05:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x7917ae…
05-22 05:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x77973c…
05-22 05:06:49	Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf9bcf0…
05-22 05:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe54590…
05-22 04:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17134b…
05-22 04:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1afdc0…
05-22 04:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7b0147…
05-22 04:04:32	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0xa25194…
05-22 04:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xe1dfd3…
05-22 03:57:41	Will Chung Il-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb2d5be…
05-22 03:37:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x32152b…
05-22 03:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 23?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xa277d7…
05-22 03:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8541f6…
05-22 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5b809c…
05-22 02:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa7cd90…
05-22 02:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5d8cea…
05-22 02:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x30187b…
05-22 02:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x81be11…
05-22 02:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc14d3c…
05-22 02:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x705913…
05-22 02:34:18	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0xf09e25…
05-22 02:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x557104…
05-22 02:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0984c8…
05-22 01:53:09	Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2b1e1b…
05-22 01:44:25	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x0181de…
05-22 01:29:00	Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9cf8f…
05-22 01:29:00	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb45f18…
05-22 01:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x70af1c…
05-22 01:19:41	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0231b2…
05-22 01:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x68bb14…
05-22 01:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x504419…
05-22 00:40:42	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xe13c80…
05-22 00:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x3142b5…
05-22 00:31:58	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xff4232…
05-22 00:30:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa752bd…
05-22 00:30:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0x5cd1c6…
05-22 00:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8758a1…
05-22 00:19:05	Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x340d5d…
05-22 00:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x608650…
05-22 00:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x794e41…
05-22 00:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5a4955…
05-22 00:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x81d7f1…
05-22 00:01:44	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x3f55e2…
05-21 23:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6c07b2…
05-21 23:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61cbad…
05-21 23:19:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x31927d…
05-21 23:14:36	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0xee1230…
05-21 23:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xdb0235…
05-21 22:57:35	Will MrBeast's next video get 66 million or more views on day 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb0dfaa…
05-21 22:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf51f08…
05-21 22:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd899f2…
05-21 22:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5bda7d…
05-21 22:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 47°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xae48e7…
05-21 22:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x433ed8…
05-21 22:01:21	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xb449b5…
05-21 21:55:31	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x74ea3c…
05-21 21:53:08	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x8123e5…
05-21 21:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xadddc7…
05-21 21:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 22?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xfb2ce0…
05-21 21:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x945bc2…
05-21 21:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 22?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xc47d3e…
05-21 21:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or below on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x8d98f6…
05-21 21:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9985d4…
05-21 21:19:53	Will PARIVISION win DreamLeague Season 29?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x095e63…
05-21 21:09:11	Will Tundra Esports win DreamLeague Season 29?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xd763e5…
05-21 21:03:54	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x929079…