Damaged-Commuter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

534

Trades

1,246

lifetime

Volume

$319.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$256

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 23:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 143 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 76% -$14,087

Politics

10% 68% -$5,152

Other

9% 73% -$1,777

Sports

1% 76% -$127

Tech

0% 0% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes		+84	$20	22¢	$18	-$2	10-27 23:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 96k on january 15	20	$12.0K	10,353	8,625	+1,728	Yes	-$3,201	01-15 16:14
bitcoin above 88k on january 21	13	$11.8K	12,677	0	+12,677	No	-$1,146	01-21 16:58
bitcoin above 92k on january 19	2	$11.6K	13,380	0	+13,380	Yes	+$1,814	01-19 14:37
bitcoin above 90k on january 20	2	$10.9K	13,293	0	+13,293	Yes	+$2,416	01-20 08:16
bitcoin above 94k on january 15	2	$9.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$150	01-15 13:26
bitcoin above 86k on january 29	17	$9.4K	9,341	9,341	+0	No	-$8,692	01-29 15:42
bitcoin above 88k on january 4	13	$8.8K	9,882	0	+9,882	Yes	+$1,126	01-03 08:08
bitcoin above 94k on january 20	3	$8.7K	8,442	8,442	+0	No	-$4,110	01-19 14:20
bitcoin above 90k on january 25	3	$7.3K	7,692	0	+7,692	No	+$385	01-25 08:19
bitcoin above 88k on january 2	8	$7.1K	8,013	0	+8,013	Yes	+$916	01-02 09:19
bitcoin above 92k on january 6	11	$7.1K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$903	01-05 22:47
bitcoin above 90k on january 23	8	$7.0K	7,379	7,379	+0	Yes	-$4,809	01-23 16:47
bitcoin above 90k on january 24	36	$6.8K	7,307	0	+7,307	No	+$465	01-24 13:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$6.5K	6,101	6,101	+0	Yes	-$4,728	02-28 07:14
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	5	$6.5K	5,002	4,243	+759	Yes	-$2,207	04-09 15:54
bitcoin above 88k on january 9	10	$6.3K	7,354	0	+7,354	Yes	+$1,010	01-09 09:59
bitcoin above 88k on january 22	24	$6.1K	6,854	0	+6,854	Yes	+$743	01-22 10:20
bitcoin above 90k on january 26	16	$6.1K	6,207	0	+6,207	No	+$143	01-26 12:30
bitcoin above 88k on january 27	6	$5.8K	5,813	0	+5,813	Yes	+$58	01-27 16:47
bitcoin above 92k on january 5	34	$5.2K	7,589	0	+7,589	Yes	+$2,342	01-05 08:38
bitcoin above 88k on january 8	2	$5.1K	6,119	0	+6,119	Yes	+$1,040	01-08 14:30
bitcoin above 94k on january 14	8	$5.0K	5,763	0	+5,763	Yes	+$792	01-14 10:57
bitcoin above 88k on january 23	73	$4.8K	3,000	2,998	+2	Yes	-$329	01-22 17:05
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$4.6K	4,590	0	+4,590	No	+$14	02-22 01:30
bitcoin above 90k on january 8	12	$4.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	-$2,320	01-08 14:27
bitcoin above 90k on january 14	17	$4.3K	4,999	0	+4,999	Yes	+$663	01-13 07:08
bitcoin above 86k on january 23	9	$4.3K	4,566	0	+4,566	Yes	+$248	01-22 17:03
bitcoin above 88k on january 5	13	$4.0K	4,822	0	+4,822	Yes	+$820	01-03 20:11
bitcoin above 92k on january 7	19	$4.0K	4,181	4,181	+0	No	-$2,798	01-07 15:22
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$3.9K	2,766	2,766	+0	Yes	-$102	06-09 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:17:14	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0x48e8a5…
10-19 08:57:42	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0xaf344e…
10-17 20:13:36	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xaddd57…
10-01 08:06:14	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x00574f…
09-17 14:45:10	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	88	46¢	$40	0x799e97…
07-19 21:31:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x13d62e…
07-18 22:29:15	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x8d4dc4…
07-12 22:21:43	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Chicago White Sox	SELL	38	46¢	$18	0x1c2f15…
07-11 17:16:53	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	91	58¢	$53	0xf9a7b9…
07-11 17:16:08	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0xfddf75…
07-10 21:06:37	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xfb262c…
07-10 21:05:56	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x321d87…
07-09 22:35:29	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	84	59¢	$50	0x4c71ed…
07-07 13:48:14	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x5d39d9…
07-06 10:31:10	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xa45d27…
07-06 10:30:53	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x2cc3d9…
07-06 10:30:37	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x6c0f78…
07-06 10:30:10	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xea3232…
07-05 14:27:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x75a82a…
07-05 14:27:08	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0edc1d…
07-05 00:09:53	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xc22015…
07-04 10:58:29	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	54	84¢	$45	0x6b0727…
07-04 10:58:08	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x93708c…
07-02 22:55:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x67b75c…
07-02 22:55:19	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xdb4542…
07-02 11:28:31	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1096af…
07-02 11:28:07	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x01600e…
07-02 11:27:46	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x4d7047…
07-02 11:27:20	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xdff7ea…
07-02 11:26:59	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x1a8dba…
07-02 11:24:25	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x05c0ba…
07-02 11:23:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x27e383…
07-02 11:23:04	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x6c63cf…
06-30 22:06:40	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xf3a5b9…
06-30 19:31:28	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x2250d4…
06-29 07:07:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x904f75…
06-27 12:50:47	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x18def1…
06-27 12:50:34	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x6ad23f…
06-27 12:50:16	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x83fae0…
06-26 08:57:19	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x0cce14…
06-26 08:07:07	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xff6cb6…
06-26 08:06:35	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x30a6d8…
06-25 18:07:04	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x052630…
06-25 06:56:41	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x4ab708…
06-25 06:56:20	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x9a6419…
06-25 06:55:08	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xb03aff…
06-25 06:54:41	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xe436ce…
06-24 18:48:04	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x653b7a…
06-24 18:47:50	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x68a388…
06-24 18:47:40	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xa4a890…
06-22 20:41:17	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xb25908…
06-22 20:40:40	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x06c935…
06-22 20:40:19	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xbdb610…
06-22 20:39:59	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x89fca5…
06-22 18:42:26	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0x1f083e…
06-21 21:41:46	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x87505f…
06-21 21:41:10	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xf35cff…
06-21 21:40:47	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xfc527d…
06-21 21:40:38	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb6e3e5…
06-21 21:39:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x4a7317…
06-21 21:39:46	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x013644…
06-21 21:39:35	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xe978c4…
06-21 13:39:59	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3d3ec7…
06-20 23:25:59	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x4b9b8c…
06-20 23:25:08	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xcda7bf…
06-20 23:23:56	Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xaa690c…
06-19 07:11:40	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xd9f36b…
06-18 14:49:59	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x7cc9c1…
06-18 14:49:17	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9,020	1¢	$63	0xba6020…
06-18 12:10:52	Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xac7a28…
06-18 10:16:49	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x018bec…
06-18 10:16:23	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x290df4…
06-18 07:01:04	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x685260…
06-17 22:30:13	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x16ce6d…
06-16 22:55:34	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb8317e…
06-16 20:43:41	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xe19e39…
06-15 22:16:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x256247…
06-15 17:14:21	atp izquier assche 2026 06 15	Luca Van Assche	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x63422c…
06-15 09:49:10	wta parry seidel 2026 06 13	Ella Seidel	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x47f360…
06-15 07:23:03	wta parry seidel 2026 06 13	Ella Seidel	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc5a610…
06-14 21:52:46	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x7bddae…
06-14 21:52:06	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	104	6¢	$6	0x6f6dce…
06-14 12:57:54	wta golubic kenin 2026 06 14	Sofia Kenin	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xe8ced1…
06-14 12:56:48	wta lamens galfi 2026 06 14	Suzan Lamens	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x1d7dd1…
06-14 00:07:34	mlb phi mil 2026 06 13	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xf7c665…
06-14 00:07:00	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Chicago White Sox	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xff62ca…
06-12 20:44:54	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xb73257…
06-12 20:44:28	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0x853e90…
06-12 19:30:12	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe87c2b…
06-12 16:37:03	Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez	Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x8e30bf…
06-11 19:19:12	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x9d6606…
06-11 19:13:52	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x90a5f5…
06-11 19:12:57	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x89b082…
06-11 19:12:46	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x5bac4a…
06-11 19:12:27	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x603464…
06-11 19:12:12	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xd9a340…
06-11 19:11:55	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x8fb4f1…
06-11 19:11:40	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x34dd8e…
06-11 19:09:31	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xea3c2d…
06-11 11:14:43	wta cirstea raducan 2026 06 10	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x9a394a…