Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

882

Trades

981

lifetime

Volume

$4.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-19

last 10-12 13:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 55% +$87

Other

4% 18% -$52

Politics

1% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	+98	$5	5¢	$5	+$0	10-11 07:44
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	+88	$5	1¢	$1	-$4	10-11 07:45
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+116	$1	1¢	$1	$0	10-10 18:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$29	24	24	+0	Up	+$19	10-11 15:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	4	$25	969	969	+0	Yes	-$5	10-09 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	5	$24	20	20	+0	Up	+$16	10-10 15:20
Solana Up or Down - September 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$18	17	9	+8	Down	$0	09-22 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$15	5,101	0	+5,101	Down	-$15	10-07 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 10?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	10-10 17:23
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 11?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	10-11 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	2	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	10-11 07:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 14:35 UTC	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$5	09-21 14:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 16:30 UTC	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	09-21 16:41
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$13	380	0	+380	Up	-$13	10-11 15:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 03:20 UTC	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	09-22 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 03:20 UTC	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	09-22 03:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:30 UTC	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	09-22 04:34
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$6	09-23 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:05 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	09-21 11:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:55 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	09-20 00:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:50 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	09-19 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	-$10	10-12 02:25
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	-$10	10-01 10:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Up	-$10	10-01 16:19
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Up	-$10	10-01 12:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:55 UTC	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	-$10	09-30 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$5	09-30 19:19
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	-$10	10-01 12:39
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Up	-$2	10-09 04:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$6	09-30 00:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:15 UTC	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	-$10	10-01 09:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:15 UTC	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$7	09-30 01:19
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Down	-$10	10-01 12:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 13:20:05	Will Brigid Kosgei win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon?	Yes	BUY	202	0¢	$1	0x7c7d93…
10-12 13:19:08	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 13m?	Yes	BUY	678	0¢	$1	0x880677…
10-12 13:18:41	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	339	0¢	$1	0x307800…
10-12 12:46:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xcf291e…
10-12 12:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x96166a…
10-12 02:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xb588c2…
10-12 02:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x3510d7…
10-12 02:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x17961c…
10-12 02:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x9f9a15…
10-12 02:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x90f67c…
10-12 02:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb6fb81…
10-11 17:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xd19dc0…
10-11 17:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x455d34…
10-11 17:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xbb4821…
10-11 17:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x7e8b28…
10-11 17:32:54	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xb33692…
10-11 17:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x56f31e…
10-11 17:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x336125…
10-11 17:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xf970e2…
10-11 17:22:06	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf80c36…
10-11 17:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x558276…
10-11 17:02:06	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x350717…
10-11 17:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x321324…
10-11 16:54:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2a1682…
10-11 16:50:42	Virginia Fonseca and Vinícius Júnior confirm breakup in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x97a3d0…
10-11 16:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xc719c7…
10-11 16:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xedfb1f…
10-11 16:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x3d73da…
10-11 16:08:04	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc6ac5b…
10-11 16:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfc6c45…
10-11 15:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x2164b6…
10-11 15:27:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xfa6578…
10-11 15:23:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa19f4b…
10-11 15:21:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x055e53…
10-11 15:19:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x88fd51…
10-11 15:17:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc742c7…
10-11 15:13:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb6b625…
10-11 15:09:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x66e250…
10-11 15:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x0f4dce…
10-11 15:07:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x09e395…
10-11 15:06:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7417d0…
10-11 15:03:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x29a621…
10-11 12:44:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe7c9c1…
10-11 12:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x94e523…
10-11 11:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xf20096…
10-11 11:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x9a938c…
10-11 10:54:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xab00a9…
10-11 10:28:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0x89f052…
10-11 10:28:29	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x01f170…
10-11 10:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x403f22…
10-11 07:45:58	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x87c663…
10-11 07:44:40	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0xb15b01…
10-11 07:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x2120ed…
10-11 07:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x865afe…
10-11 06:39:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xc83717…
10-11 06:14:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x865959…
10-11 06:04:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe62059…
10-11 04:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x080658…
10-11 03:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x032a60…
10-11 02:04:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x0704c0…
10-11 02:02:39	Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in September?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x6d754a…
10-11 01:48:23	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be at least 200m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x996fa9…
10-11 01:43:15	Will Radim Bzura be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?	Yes	BUY	248	0¢	$1	0x0f10f9…
10-11 01:39:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x43a085…
10-11 00:34:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xc57416…
10-10 22:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xbba9b3…
10-10 21:59:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1c0e48…
10-10 21:54:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9b15c5…
10-10 21:09:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0xa32460…
10-10 18:51:57	Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0xab23b2…
10-10 18:46:34	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x92515c…
10-10 18:45:31	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another country by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1582a1…
10-10 18:42:37	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xc4ef0c…
10-10 18:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x45093f…
10-10 18:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6edd9a…
10-10 18:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x98d1dc…
10-10 18:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x98d9b4…
10-10 18:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x168d00…
10-10 18:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2a8f84…
10-10 18:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x98b5dc…
10-10 17:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x73a614…
10-10 17:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x51d468…
10-10 17:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x9400f0…
10-10 17:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2d0db7…
10-10 17:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x379978…
10-10 17:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x111eba…
10-10 17:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x091c00…
10-10 17:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2b0fb2…
10-10 17:09:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb27382…
10-10 16:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xfd8889…
10-10 15:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd5876a…
10-10 15:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xec93f1…
10-10 15:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb21440…
10-10 15:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xf81707…
10-10 15:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf2ab3b…
10-10 15:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x7d1e82…
10-10 15:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x718d50…
10-10 15:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x6a8eed…
10-10 15:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x5ca2f2…
10-10 15:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xea58e1…