Shadowy-Tuneup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

289

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$3.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-30 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-13 06:13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-11 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-10 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 09:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:29
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:24
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 07:02
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:09
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:30
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 06:04
highest temperature in istanbul on april 2 2026 19corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 17:44
highest temperature in tokyo on april 2 2026 16c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 13:09
highest temperature in denver on april 1 2026 54 55f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 01:32
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:07
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:29
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c6e7c…
10-29 17:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4292a2…
10-29 09:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd1980…
10-28 07:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3eaf2e…
10-27 08:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b484a…
10-26 09:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd61d14…
10-24 11:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc1f1b…
10-22 10:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fa014…
10-20 07:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4ef88…
10-19 09:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x894301…
10-18 09:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf63721…
10-17 14:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x415d8b…
10-16 09:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4ff5c…
10-15 09:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd51aab…
10-14 09:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26291c…
10-13 14:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42e87a…
10-13 09:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x166226…
10-12 09:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x296a48…
10-11 08:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf29ede…
10-08 09:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55d1e3…
10-07 15:20:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe9da9…
10-06 08:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32ebd2…
10-04 15:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x984adc…
10-03 08:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc66fb5…
10-02 11:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf43494…
10-01 08:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ffe7d…
09-30 12:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x154669…
09-29 14:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7056c7…
09-28 09:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1084e…
09-27 08:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x033ae8…
09-25 12:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54f3d1…
09-24 08:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cb75b…
09-23 07:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0943e9…
09-22 08:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8bc25c…
09-21 09:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0789c6…
09-20 05:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x920fa8…
09-19 08:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9afacb…
09-18 06:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5072a6…
09-17 04:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c8550…
09-16 08:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7de22…
09-15 09:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e0384…
09-14 08:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x545574…
09-12 16:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9074d…
09-11 07:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f02c2…
09-10 08:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb4c22…
09-09 09:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x261ed4…
09-08 15:37:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaae340…
09-08 06:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf40f03…
09-07 08:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7daf18…
09-06 17:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc253ef…
09-06 09:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c5431…
09-05 01:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cdb62…
09-03 09:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc85ed…
09-02 07:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ee397…
08-30 08:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea4d0c…
08-29 08:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3eddf6…
08-28 08:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8c137…
08-27 08:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe46030…
08-26 08:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd43604…
08-25 09:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x875a1d…
08-24 09:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd0149…
08-23 14:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x756380…
08-22 08:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e893a…
08-21 07:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67a87b…
08-20 08:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf24d80…
08-19 11:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa1b7f…
08-18 08:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e5f22…
08-17 07:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcafb5f…
08-16 11:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2760e…
08-15 09:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9b121…
08-14 06:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x796d28…
08-13 07:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4dbb0e…
08-12 07:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x640d69…
08-11 06:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9b230…
08-10 07:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9882ef…
08-09 01:24:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d21a8…
08-08 07:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2ea42…
08-07 01:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x576439…
08-06 06:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacfc67…
08-05 07:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a15f6…
08-04 08:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf61c3a…
08-03 07:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc8c17…
08-02 01:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x906e47…
08-01 07:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37fb95…
07-31 09:17:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1e1a6…
07-30 06:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdaf5f9…
07-29 07:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x816154…
07-28 06:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4d5f0…
07-27 08:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeadcdc…
07-26 07:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84b2d6…
07-25 08:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89629c…
07-24 10:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bac4d…
07-23 08:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0eef38…
07-22 01:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbeca6…
07-21 09:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e3439…
07-21 00:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8dd8dc…
07-20 07:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36be03…
07-18 23:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a8813…
07-18 00:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33b544…
07-17 07:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c9a8a…