Rosy-Cockroach — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-25 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% — —

Crypto

38% 100% +$0

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	05-25 08:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	05-10 03:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	05-05 09:24
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 380 399	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-01 06:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 13	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-13 08:09
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	1	$94	95	+95	open	—	03-17 09:25
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$94	95	+95	open	—	02-15 08:13
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 20 39	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	02-11 08:09
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 220 239	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	02-04 01:58
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	01-31 09:08
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-27 08:46
bitcoin above 78k on january 28	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	01-27 06:55
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 340 359	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	01-22 09:28
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	03-23 11:10
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	1	$92	94	+94	open	—	01-18 06:20
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 220 239	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	01-09 02:50
bitcoin above 74k on march 8	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	03-08 02:10
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	04-23 07:43
bitcoin above 82k on april 18	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	04-17 08:06
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	04-12 09:35
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 420 439	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	04-07 03:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$66	67	+67	open	—	05-15 11:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$27	27	+27	open	—	05-15 11:06
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-07 03:55
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-23 11:09
Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-07 03:55
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-07 03:55
Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	1	$1	390	+390	open	—	05-15 11:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 08:11:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x58dfd3…
05-15 11:12:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0xdb29fc…
05-15 11:08:02	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	390	0¢	$1	0xb720eb…
05-15 11:06:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7a4567…
05-10 03:20:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x4576ec…
05-05 09:24:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xb7c803…
04-23 07:43:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xd28e6b…
04-17 08:06:16	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x076765…
04-12 09:35:23	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xb3a653…
04-07 03:55:37	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 420 439	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd88915…
04-07 03:55:25	Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x49b4d2…
04-07 03:55:17	Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ee982…
04-07 03:55:11	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x77b8db…
04-01 06:26:13	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 380 399	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xf2ddb6…
03-27 08:46:49	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x493184…
03-23 11:10:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xe39bbb…
03-23 11:09:55	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ca69f…
03-17 09:25:09	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0xc7f781…
03-13 08:09:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 13	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x37ee0b…
03-08 02:10:21	bitcoin above 74k on march 8	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xc31b3b…
02-15 08:13:49	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0xd74186…
02-11 08:09:23	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 20 39	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xe7e28a…
02-04 01:58:02	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 220 239	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x036591…
01-31 09:08:56	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xe6e826…
01-27 06:55:17	bitcoin above 78k on january 28	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x53b085…
01-22 09:28:52	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 340 359	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x044bbf…
01-18 06:20:14	will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0x92709d…
01-09 02:50:16	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 220 239	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x4cd81d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	20	$47.9K	921	05-24 23:19
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	20	$1.59K	1,410	04-21 05:04
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	15	$15.5K	1,241	05-11 22:15
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	15	$12.1K	290	05-13 18:58
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	14	$56.3K	3,259	04-09 19:50
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	12	$169.9K	2,750	04-27 16:15
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	12	$17.2K	795	04-26 09:45
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	12	$907	409	05-14 13:01