Unequaled-Fledgling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

594

Trades

1,651

lifetime

Volume

$368.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$223

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-24 16:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 40% -$32,341

Other

3% 36% -$4,838

Sports

0% 100% +$130

Tech

0% 0% -$830

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 16	8	$16.8K	16,852	16,806	+46	Yes	+$12,899	03-17 01:36
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-07 17:00 UTC	8	$16.0K	11,544	11,544	+0	Down	+$7,088	01-07 21:01
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	5	$11.4K	17,857	17,857	+0	Yes	-$73	01-07 21:01
ethereum above 3200 on january 7	4	$9.5K	7,981	7,981	+0	No	+$3,628	01-07 15:13
bitcoin above 92k on january 7	2	$8.3K	11,188	11,188	+0	No	+$3,084	01-07 09:31
bitcoin up or down march 10 10am et	3	$8.1K	10,436	10,320	+116	Up	+$1,852	03-10 14:26
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-09 16:00 UTC	4	$5.2K	5,791	5,791	+0	Up	+$2,008	03-09 19:41
bitcoin above 68k on march 9	3	$5.1K	3,939	3,939	+0	Yes	+$2,080	03-09 14:35
will bitcoin dip to 73k on march 17	6	$5.0K	21,435	0	+21,435	No	-$5,000	03-17 19:14
bitcoin up or down on january 26	5	$4.9K	6,936	6,936	+0	Down	+$1,354	01-26 07:09
will bitcoin dip to 72k on march 17	5	$4.8K	20,560	0	+20,560	No	-$4,804	03-17 19:16
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	2	$4.6K	5,668	5,668	+0	No	+$1,509	02-03 20:39
will bitcoin reach 72k on march 10	6	$4.5K	11,899	7,550	+4,349	No	-$2,172	03-10 17:30
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 9am et	4	$4.4K	3,468	3,416	+52	Down	+$1,468	03-17 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	17	$4.3K	5,616	2,488	+3,128	Down	-$1,330	10-08 01:23
bitcoin above 92k on january 6	7	$3.9K	14,287	2,420	+11,867	Yes	-$2,288	01-05 18:04
bitcoin up or down march 9 4pm et	3	$3.4K	4,685	3,602	+1,082	Down	+$648	03-09 20:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-09 13:00 UTC	4	$3.3K	2,535	2,535	+0	Up	+$1,365	02-09 16:31
bitcoin above 90k on january 27	3	$3.2K	19,189	0	+19,189	No	-$3,166	01-26 16:05
bitcoin up or down february 1 12pm et	2	$3.1K	2,072	2,072	+0	Up	+$1,081	02-01 18:02
bitcoin up or down january 28 3pm et	4	$3.0K	2,525	2,060	+465	Down	+$1,505	01-28 20:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	5	$2.8K	7,053	7,053	+0	No	+$349	05-26 14:40
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 4am et	2	$2.6K	3,762	3,719	+44	Down	+$331	03-17 08:28
bitcoin up or down january 29 3am et	6	$2.6K	2,983	2,983	+0	Down	+$712	01-29 08:34
bitcoin up or down february 2 9am et	2	$2.5K	2,427	2,427	+0	Down	+$1,500	02-02 14:41
will bitcoin reach 70k on march 9	2	$2.5K	7,350	0	+7,350	Yes	+$4,870	03-09 21:03
bitcoin above 66k on february 19	2	$2.4K	1,595	1,595	+0	Yes	+$753	02-19 18:20
bitcoin above 70k on march 10	4	$2.4K	4,440	4,440	+0	Yes	+$490	03-10 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12PM ET	6	$2.2K	2,066	2,066	+0	Up	+$144	05-26 16:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	7	$2.1K	17,096	606	+16,490	Yes	-$933	05-26 16:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 16:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x2c1867…
10-24 16:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcceb37…
10-19 14:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0xc27f31…
10-19 14:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x53bbef…
10-19 14:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x53a54e…
10-18 21:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x76414e…
10-18 21:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xf864aa…
10-18 21:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	126	36¢	$45	0xd3e522…
10-18 21:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x9ef2ac…
10-18 21:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4cfe44…
10-18 21:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	138	36¢	$49	0x219068…
10-18 21:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	212	42¢	$90	0x196173…
10-18 21:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	224	46¢	$103	0xbaf898…
10-18 19:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	137	66¢	$90	0x528f75…
10-18 18:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	232	41¢	$95	0x98f416…
10-18 17:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x3a3558…
10-18 17:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	53	54¢	$29	0x7da67d…
10-18 02:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	378	27¢	$102	0x0e80c2…
10-18 01:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	205	39¢	$80	0x6e66fc…
10-18 01:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	503	47¢	$236	0xbafa19…
10-17 14:29:24	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4df3a0…
10-17 14:14:56	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	321	39¢	$125	0xaf1ed5…
10-17 14:14:12	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	107	38¢	$41	0x3f2946…
10-17 14:13:11	bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	369	49¢	$180	0xfdf477…
10-17 14:06:29	bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	369	45¢	$168	0x29411c…
10-17 12:10:51	wta swiatek chwalin 2026 10 17	Iga Swiatek	SELL	332	67¢	$223	0x263a02…
10-17 11:51:15	wta swiatek chwalin 2026 10 17	Iga Swiatek	BUY	332	84¢	$279	0x3c9045…
10-17 11:46:00	wta zidanse samson 2026 10 17	Tamara Zidansek	SELL	241	36¢	$87	0x4b6ba5…
10-17 11:38:12	wta zidanse samson 2026 10 17	Tamara Zidansek	BUY	241	46¢	$111	0x49a4d3…
10-17 11:30:59	bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	368	85¢	$313	0x51d47a…
10-17 11:07:36	bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	368	36¢	$132	0x0e8b39…
10-17 10:59:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	153	92¢	$140	0x0f6df5…
10-17 10:44:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	153	52¢	$80	0xd3f3db…
10-17 10:43:18	atp pavlovi simakin 2026 10 17	Luka Pavlovic	SELL	202	42¢	$85	0xb8e4ad…
10-17 10:26:44	atp pavlovi simakin 2026 10 17	Luka Pavlovic	BUY	202	41¢	$83	0xc64e79…
10-17 00:25:18	atp doubles ariacar migurib 2026 10 16	Miguel/Ribeiro	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x44b6d8…
10-17 00:20:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xbf16c6…
10-17 00:17:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	85	8¢	$7	0x58c652…
10-16 20:36:53	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd11ef8…
10-16 20:36:26	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	346	41¢	$141	0x2e0909…
10-16 20:32:18	Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Francisco Comesana	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0xdbe6a2…
10-16 20:03:38	Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Francisco Comesana	BUY	148	63¢	$93	0x7fe5cd…
10-16 20:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	308	48¢	$147	0x94f2ae…
10-16 19:56:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x388af0…
10-16 19:52:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0x164c2a…
10-16 19:52:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x3a1a70…
10-16 19:51:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x667ced…
10-16 19:47:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	59	37¢	$22	0x9d77f4…
10-16 19:46:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	231	43¢	$100	0xc8cdf4…
10-16 17:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	363	93¢	$338	0x78100f…
10-16 17:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	363	49¢	$178	0x12522d…
10-16 16:51:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	354	43¢	$151	0x8d0c8e…
10-16 16:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	774	31¢	$244	0x219bd6…
10-16 16:30:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	354	35¢	$125	0x204685…
10-16 16:21:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	201	35¢	$70	0x9d3d40…
10-16 16:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	333	18¢	$60	0xf386e2…
10-16 16:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	441	28¢	$125	0x968961…
10-16 16:02:52	Olbia: Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi	Michael Mmoh	SELL	357	30¢	$107	0x3772be…
10-16 15:20:27	Olbia: Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi	Michael Mmoh	BUY	357	35¢	$125	0xa342f5…
10-16 15:17:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	SELL	529	80¢	$424	0x0ad01a…
10-16 15:16:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xffdbb9…
10-16 14:40:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x706431…
10-16 14:40:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	516	20¢	$103	0x0ddf5e…
10-16 14:39:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x83c3bc…
10-16 13:02:33	Mallorca: Francesca Curmi vs Elizara Yaneva	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	224	48¢	$107	0x9a5af3…
10-15 00:06:54	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x1027f6…
10-15 00:06:28	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	339	70¢	$238	0xadd609…
10-15 00:04:27	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0xcdfdf3…
10-14 23:16:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	168	41¢	$70	0xcd8c1d…
10-14 23:14:04	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	245	48¢	$117	0x44e755…
10-13 20:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	189	48¢	$91	0xef9ed1…
10-13 19:56:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	516	19¢	$99	0x51c360…
10-13 19:53:16	atp perrica donnet 2026 10 13	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	SELL	424	48¢	$204	0x24636c…
10-13 19:23:07	atp perrica donnet 2026 10 13	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	424	43¢	$182	0xd9ea57…
10-13 18:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	379	35¢	$132	0xd102d6…
10-13 17:57:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x094966…
10-13 17:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	547	24¢	$133	0x351762…
10-13 17:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	332	100¢	$332	0x6147b4…
10-13 16:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	332	45¢	$150	0xb07e78…
10-13 15:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	284	57¢	$162	0x67ea61…
10-13 15:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf625b6…
10-13 15:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	282	50¢	$140	0x823208…
10-13 00:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2c5ab5…
10-13 00:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	594	34¢	$200	0x564427…
10-13 00:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	28¢	$12	0x1c289e…
10-12 23:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	223	53¢	$119	0x97e0f4…
10-12 23:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	167	44¢	$73	0x834458…
10-12 23:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	137	20¢	$27	0xf19828…
10-12 12:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	287	34¢	$98	0xc53095…
10-12 12:08:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	SELL	396	77¢	$305	0x2cccd5…
10-12 11:42:50	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	346	26¢	$90	0xefe300…
10-12 11:41:47	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x0935b0…
10-12 00:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	142	93¢	$132	0xc4be69…
10-12 00:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	262	83¢	$217	0xb75ea0…
10-12 00:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	142	66¢	$93	0xdae08c…
10-12 00:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	262	37¢	$97	0x3668ef…
10-12 00:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4,700	1¢	$47	0xb9e402…
10-12 00:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x9fe011…
10-12 00:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x43042b…
10-11 23:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	66	72¢	$48	0xb7aa0c…