Nice-Determination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

287

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$3.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 17:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Other

99% 100% -$3

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-31 17:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-30 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 29?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-29 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 28?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-28 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-27 12:22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-26 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 25?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-25 09:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 22?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-22 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 20?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-20 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-19 10:19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 18?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-18 15:32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 17?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-17 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 16?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-16 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-15 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 14?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-14 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-13 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-12 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-11 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-08 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 7?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-07 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-05 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-03 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 2?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-02 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-01 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-30 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	09-28 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-27 11:13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-26 05:58
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 24?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	09-24 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 23?	1	$16	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-23 10:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x36cb2c…
10-30 16:30:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x11ff5d…
10-29 10:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd3f03a…
10-28 08:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb4ba72…
10-27 12:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x679bb5…
10-26 10:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf4df60…
10-25 09:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2f2500…
10-22 10:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5421f9…
10-20 08:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x50ebfc…
10-19 10:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x58557c…
10-18 15:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc67d7f…
10-17 16:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9a7b88…
10-16 16:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd194bf…
10-15 14:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb25b14…
10-14 13:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 14?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf17a2c…
10-13 11:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5d6b8f…
10-12 12:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe9ff75…
10-11 09:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcb390f…
10-08 12:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd2b4de…
10-07 07:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x318763…
10-05 09:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf90052…
10-03 10:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb0e4fb…
10-02 14:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xab9f43…
10-01 13:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x19c996…
09-30 07:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x858b4a…
09-28 14:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6fc460…
09-27 11:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa9324f…
09-26 05:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x89dda8…
09-24 09:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0c9214…
09-23 10:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x618df6…
09-22 09:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x177c5b…
09-21 14:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xef1647…
09-20 06:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x332cdf…
09-19 11:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5502ef…
09-18 09:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x427623…
09-17 04:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xae0a81…
09-16 09:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcb7101…
09-15 14:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf2b0bf…
09-13 08:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeb19c0…
09-11 09:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xecbb05…
09-10 09:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x43d1bd…
09-09 08:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x37f5c7…
09-08 13:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2aeea1…
09-07 09:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x21a4f4…
09-06 12:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x075d50…
09-05 09:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xff3d99…
09-04 03:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcd5ab7…
09-02 08:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7ecc8e…
08-30 14:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9cec3d…
08-29 10:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x795d06…
08-28 10:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xec886c…
08-27 09:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x550e99…
08-26 08:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc7d1eb…
08-25 09:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd93e6a…
08-24 15:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x078375…
08-24 01:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4eae93…
08-22 10:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x32e7d8…
08-21 09:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaeb014…
08-20 12:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x658150…
08-18 09:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x99e691…
08-17 09:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x185f84…
08-16 14:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcd9fd2…
08-14 07:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8bfcc3…
08-13 09:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x577148…
08-12 09:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6204c5…
08-11 07:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x224beb…
08-10 09:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb56a52…
08-09 07:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4ac308…
08-08 08:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x95955a…
08-07 10:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb6f683…
08-06 08:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x46a0b0…
08-05 08:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1604d4…
08-04 09:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb704f0…
08-03 08:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc7b12c…
08-02 06:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe2ecc7…
08-01 07:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 1?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x5c88fc…
07-30 08:43:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x38e15e…
07-29 07:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbe668b…
07-28 08:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeacbe2…
07-27 10:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6121ce…
07-26 08:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4871f5…
07-25 09:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x492932…
07-24 14:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x600bfc…
07-23 08:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x75c87e…
07-22 02:17:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcf859a…
07-21 06:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcd5f7b…
07-20 12:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x58135f…
07-19 05:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 19?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe32ea8…
07-18 07:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x59c5da…
07-17 07:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x442d55…
07-15 22:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf5355a…
07-15 10:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfccfdb…
07-14 09:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf7c62f…
07-13 09:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8e1abb…
07-12 07:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5055ba…
07-11 10:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 11?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd6d5bc…
07-10 16:31:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x71ee13…
07-09 09:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeeee83…
07-08 10:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x884843…
07-07 08:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeb6267…