Inconsequential-Meteorology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.69K

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved

206

Trades

655

lifetime

Volume

$221.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$339

Open exposure

$510

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 19:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Sports

53% 38% +$1,688

Other

47% 33% -$7,297

Pop-Culture

1% 50% -$84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	—	+1,122	$527	46¢	$510	-$17	10-31 02:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	3	$5.5K	11,006	0	+11,006	Yes	-$955	06-26 23:58
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	3	$5.1K	6,581	3,445	+3,137	No	+$1,299	06-26 01:16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$5.1K	21,182	16,312	+4,870	Yes	+$3,783	07-14 10:41
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	49	$4.4K	7,256	0	+7,256	Yes	+$2,887	04-09 11:36
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	2	$4.4K	4,151	4,151	+0	Yes	-$42	06-27 17:02
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	34	$3.9K	7,658	0	+7,658	Over	-$3,876	06-30 04:36
ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	1	$3.5K	6,000	0	+6,000	Paddy Pimblett	-$3,540	07-09 23:40
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte1	3	$3.5K	5,961	0	+5,961	Yes	+$2,444	06-30 19:40
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	1	$3.4K	6,182	0	+6,182	No	+$2,782	06-28 06:58
atp quinn kopriva 2026 06 25	2	$3.3K	5,413	0	+5,413	Ethan Quinn	+$2,111	06-25 06:47
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	2	$3.1K	7,148	0	+7,148	United States	+$2,684	07-02 01:49
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	2	$3.0K	5,333	0	+5,333	Yes	-$3,040	06-30 05:47
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte1	2	$2.8K	4,292	0	+4,292	Yes	+$1,459	07-03 17:58
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread home 2pt5	2	$2.8K	3,365	2,090	+1,275	Spurs	+$591	06-11 00:32
ufc kar3 lua4 2026 06 20	1	$2.8K	5,278	0	+5,278	Luana Santos	-$2,798	06-19 04:53
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)	8	$2.8K	5,062	0	+5,062	Thunder	-$2,257	05-27 02:43
ufc mar vin9 2026 02 07	1	$2.6K	4,429	0	+4,429	Bautista	+$1,861	02-06 23:21
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	2	$2.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	DR Congo	-$2,550	06-17 03:26
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	2	$2.4K	4,500	0	+4,500	Yes	+$2,070	06-29 11:15
ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	2	$2.4K	4,927	0	+4,927	Rafael Fiziev	+$2,513	06-27 06:31
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	5	$2.4K	5,731	0	+5,731	Spain	+$2,103	07-02 20:41
UFC Fight Night: Sofia Montenegro vs. Delphine Benouaich (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	2	$2.4K	2,796	2,796	+0	Delphine Benouaich	+$28	09-05 00:10
UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	1	$2.4K	6,371	0	+6,371	Jai Herbert	+$4,013	10-10 05:36
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	6	$2.3K	5,568	0	+5,568	Joshua Van	-$2,284	09-20 03:53
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	5	$2.1K	3,935	0	+3,935	Over	+$1,790	07-06 23:26
ufc ken sha27 2026 08 22	6	$2.1K	4,760	0	+4,760	Shamil Gaziev	-$2,142	08-21 14:40
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	1	$2.1K	4,447	0	+4,447	No	-$2,134	06-27 17:28
ufc vic tre3 2026 08 15	1	$2.1K	4,247	0	+4,247	Tresean Gore	+$2,123	08-14 22:07
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	2	$2.1K	8,729	0	+8,729	Islam Makhachev	-$2,123	08-15 03:52
ufc bru13 diy 2026 08 08	2	$2.1K	5,050	0	+5,050	Diyar Nurgozhay	-$2,121	08-07 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 19:01:22	UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)	Julian Erosa	BUY	634	41¢	$260	0x002148…
10-31 15:51:49	UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)	Julian Erosa	BUY	169	41¢	$69	0x8c54ee…
10-31 15:39:12	UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)	Julian Erosa	BUY	487	41¢	$199	0xd1bb1d…
10-31 09:37:49	UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)	Julian Erosa	BUY	1,541	41¢	$632	0x445160…
10-31 06:12:27	UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)	Julian Erosa	BUY	1,025	41¢	$420	0x02da2f…
10-31 05:54:55	UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)	Julian Erosa	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc3a6f5…
10-31 05:38:55	UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)	Julian Erosa	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5a11d0…
10-31 02:31:49	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	BUY	1,122	47¢	$527	0x58124d…
10-31 02:30:27	UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Tainara Lisboa	BUY	2,200	16¢	$351	0xb5d0db…
10-24 13:30:35	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	2,636	50¢	$1,318	0xbd008e…
10-17 11:56:15	UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	1,109	47¢	$521	0xfbe238…
10-17 11:55:14	UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Cody Chovancek (Bantamweight, Prelims)	SuYoung You	BUY	1,110	47¢	$522	0x4cbe0a…
10-17 11:54:53	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Jasmine Jasudavicius	BUY	2,087	25¢	$522	0x2a02c1…
10-10 06:33:07	UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)	Niko Price	BUY	1,218	43¢	$524	0x3d9294…
10-10 05:50:43	UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Malcolm Wellmaker (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Otari Tanzilovi	BUY	998	35¢	$349	0x1510c7…
10-10 05:36:06	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Jai Herbert	BUY	6,371	37¢	$2,357	0x68d4d8…
10-03 22:12:01	UFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)	Andrey Pulyaev	BUY	1,928	18¢	$347	0xe5182e…
10-03 21:17:23	UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Alden Coria	BUY	1,210	43¢	$520	0x25aedd…
10-02 09:42:11	UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Marvin Vettori	BUY	3,084	45¢	$1,388	0xf45f80…
09-30 00:05:27	ufc zausab adadio 2026 09 29	Adama Diop	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0xd5764e…
09-30 00:04:57	ufc zausab adadio 2026 09 29	Adama Diop	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0x392dde…
09-30 00:04:50	ufc zausab adadio 2026 09 29	Adama Diop	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x91c33d…
09-30 00:04:44	ufc zausab adadio 2026 09 29	Adama Diop	BUY	313	64¢	$200	0xee174e…
09-30 00:04:35	ufc zausab adadio 2026 09 29	Adama Diop	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x68287d…
09-30 00:04:24	ufc zausab adadio 2026 09 29	Adama Diop	BUY	67	64¢	$43	0xd974b0…
09-30 00:04:21	ufc zausab adadio 2026 09 29	Adama Diop	BUY	69	63¢	$43	0xfe26a3…
09-27 01:54:59	ufc rao rau2 2026 09 26	Raoni Barcelos	BUY	1,955	42¢	$821	0x379a27…
09-27 00:10:02	ufc sed luiher 2026 09 26	Sedriques Dumas	BUY	1,135	31¢	$352	0x802ed8…
09-26 21:30:53	ufc rao rau2 2026 09 26	Raoni Barcelos	BUY	3,000	43¢	$1,290	0xce2366…
09-26 21:29:51	ufc sed luiher 2026 09 26	Sedriques Dumas	BUY	1,100	32¢	$352	0x5c547c…
09-26 02:54:45	ufc sed luiher 2026 09 26	Sedriques Dumas	BUY	1,134	31¢	$352	0x85f011…
09-22 22:57:08	Dana White's Contender Series: Damian Piwowarczyk vs. Emilio Quissua (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Emilio Quissua	BUY	1,581	45¢	$711	0x0f9c1f…
09-22 21:19:45	Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Piero Guaylupo	BUY	2,846	50¢	$1,423	0x410f54…
09-21 22:46:39	Jaxson Dart: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	1,907	28¢	$534	0xf69400…
09-21 22:41:48	Spread: Rams (-6.5)	Giants	BUY	1,453	49¢	$712	0x274e43…
09-21 03:44:05	Colts vs. Chiefs	Colts	BUY	803	29¢	$233	0xe9acbc…
09-20 03:53:45	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	1,419	35¢	$500	0x4dceaa…
09-20 01:40:25	UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	834	41¢	$341	0xab5fa9…
09-20 01:39:33	UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	1,250	40¢	$500	0x63fb14…
09-20 00:30:15	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	704	36¢	$250	0xf150c4…
09-20 00:29:25	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	693	36¢	$250	0xd99ffc…
09-20 00:28:13	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	142	50¢	$71	0xe326ce…
09-20 00:28:13	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	51	50¢	$25	0xc5e2e8…
09-20 00:28:13	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0xc12495…
09-20 00:28:13	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0x97af69…
09-20 00:28:13	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	88	50¢	$44	0x7ccd6d…
09-20 00:28:13	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x65d14f…
09-20 00:28:13	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x5c9eb4…
09-20 00:28:13	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x31db1e…
09-20 00:28:12	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6fd4b5…
09-20 00:28:12	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x4a7bf4…
09-20 00:28:12	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3cf31c…
09-20 00:28:12	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x3af79f…
09-20 00:28:12	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	262	49¢	$128	0x161bc1…
09-20 00:28:12	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	107	50¢	$54	0x14e1aa…
09-19 04:53:16	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	514	43¢	$221	0x6ed5a7…
09-19 04:32:18	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x29de62…
09-19 04:29:34	UFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Brunno Ferreira	BUY	1,446	37¢	$535	0xa706de…
09-19 04:19:42	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x599b3e…
09-19 04:17:06	UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	1,672	32¢	$535	0x5713b1…
09-19 04:10:18	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	121	43¢	$52	0x422029…
09-19 03:53:09	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	3,502	43¢	$1,506	0xf8df4a…
09-19 03:50:36	UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Ozzy Diaz	BUY	7,508	19¢	$1,427	0x8fcd97…
09-17 20:45:48	Spread: Bills (-5.5)	Bills	BUY	1,421	50¢	$710	0x06ee61…
09-17 20:45:33	Spread: Bills (-5.5)	Bills	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5dcb14…
09-15 23:31:43	Dana White's Contender Series: Antonio Monteiro vs. Tyshawn Williams (Featherweight, Main Card)	Tyshawn Williams	BUY	230	66¢	$152	0xa59246…
09-15 23:27:31	Dana White's Contender Series: Antonio Monteiro vs. Tyshawn Williams (Featherweight, Main Card)	Antonio Monteiro	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xa59491…
09-15 22:43:15	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)	Zevan Hunt	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x21a2d9…
09-15 22:33:28	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)	Zevan Hunt	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x16b00b…
09-15 22:27:28	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)	Zevan Hunt	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x81a912…
09-15 22:24:48	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)	Zevan Hunt	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0x571401…
09-15 22:04:45	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)	Zevan Hunt	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0xaf728b…
09-15 21:54:31	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)	Zevan Hunt	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xdfa00d…
09-15 21:19:45	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)	Zevan Hunt	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x908e08…
09-15 21:12:16	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)	Zevan Hunt	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x84601d…
09-15 21:12:12	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)	Zevan Hunt	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xcd46ac…
09-15 21:05:12	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)	Zevan Hunt	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x59214f…
09-15 21:04:39	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)	Zevan Hunt	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc56a49…
09-15 20:50:04	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)	Zevan Hunt	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x70da82…
09-15 19:57:46	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tai Tuivasa	BUY	2,354	15¢	$353	0xcae3a9…
09-15 17:24:34	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tai Tuivasa	BUY	1,395	16¢	$223	0x8f29da…
09-15 11:24:45	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tai Tuivasa	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0xb56115…
09-15 11:19:10	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tai Tuivasa	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xc9d205…
09-15 10:43:03	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tai Tuivasa	BUY	476	16¢	$76	0x674cfb…
09-15 09:42:36	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tai Tuivasa	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xddcfe0…
09-15 08:36:37	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tai Tuivasa	BUY	2,050	16¢	$328	0x7168d9…
09-14 22:51:49	Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)	Chiefs	BUY	700	51¢	$357	0x4ab67a…
09-14 21:36:45	Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$62	0x106c44…
09-14 21:36:30	Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x4aa8dd…
09-14 21:36:18	Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x2f1539…
09-14 21:35:34	Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0x275996…
09-14 21:33:31	Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x52088c…
09-12 21:01:30	Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)	Marwan Rahiki	BUY	2,690	40¢	$1,076	0xbd1952…
09-12 18:16:46	Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)	Marwan Rahiki	BUY	2,011	40¢	$804	0xf8655f…
09-05 19:44:00	UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)	Trevor Peek	BUY	2,343	23¢	$539	0x12f9fc…
09-05 05:24:30	UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims)	Pavel Andrusca	BUY	499	28¢	$140	0xfa366c…
09-05 04:51:39	UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims)	Pavel Andrusca	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x45718d…
09-05 04:33:49	UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims)	Pavel Andrusca	BUY	1,441	28¢	$403	0xee8db7…
09-05 02:52:42	ufc pun dan59 2026 09 05	Punahele Soriano	BUY	280	32¢	$90	0xd41b3d…
09-05 01:08:15	ufc pun dan59 2026 09 05	Punahele Soriano	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xfb8a25…