Disloyal-Cacao — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$263

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

41.0%

Resolved

178

Trades

581

lifetime

Volume

$9.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-23 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 60% -$271

Other

48% 67% +$7

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No		+8	$7	92¢	$8	+$0	10-04 12:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GTA VI released before June 2026?	13	$4.4K	2,254	2,234	+20	No	-$2	04-12 09:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 13:00 UTC	10	$515	378	367	+12	Up	+$120	04-08 13:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 13:00 UTC	9	$318	168	277	-109	Up	+$40	04-07 13:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 13:00 UTC	17	$260	200	194	+6	Up	+$62	04-14 13:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 13:00 UTC	34	$248	235	232	+3	Up	+$9	04-15 13:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 13:00 UTC	9	$245	558	0	+558	Down	-$245	04-09 13:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$216	400	400	+0	Yes	+$4	04-11 14:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 13:15 UTC	12	$155	200	197	+3	Down	-$57	04-09 13:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 13:00 UTC	12	$130	125	121	+3	Up	+$4	04-13 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 13:00 UTC	6	$124	100	96	+4	Up	+$26	04-16 13:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:00 UTC	2	$115	100	97	+3	Up	+$14	04-22 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 13:00 UTC	3	$98	80	79	+1	Up	+$16	03-17 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	6	$90	51	51	+0	Down	+$10	10-07 11:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 13:00 UTC	3	$72	174	0	+174	Down	-$72	04-23 13:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 13:00 UTC	5	$70	50	50	+0	Up	+$15	04-06 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	5	$69	50	50	+0	Up	+$18	05-05 13:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 09:30 UTC	6	$68	41	41	+0	Up	+$12	03-13 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 14:45 UTC	6	$68	42	41	+0	Up	+$8	03-17 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:00 UTC	4	$67	39	39	+0	Down	+$7	09-30 07:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 13:00 UTC	3	$64	130	0	+130	Down	-$64	04-10 13:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 13:00 UTC	7	$53	39	39	+1	Up	+$13	03-16 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 13:00 UTC	5	$50	50	49	+1	Up	+$18	04-01 13:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 13:00 UTC	6	$49	70	31	+39	Down	+$3	03-19 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$46	112	0	+112	Down	-$46	05-06 13:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 12:45 UTC	4	$45	60	59	+1	Down	-$16	03-17 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:10 UTC	4	$44	36	36	+0	Down	+$24	09-30 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 09:00 UTC	3	$42	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	09-22 09:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:05 UTC	3	$41	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	09-30 09:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 13:00 UTC	4	$41	30	29	+1	Up	+$9	03-31 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	5	$40	170	0	+170	Down	-$40	05-07 13:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 10:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa11f82…
10-23 10:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe429da…
10-23 10:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0xf0b479…
10-23 10:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x14d1cf…
10-23 10:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x7b641e…
10-23 10:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x692b1f…
10-23 10:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x93d4c9…
10-23 10:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0xcbfc4f…
10-23 10:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2cc8c1…
10-23 10:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	47¢	$4	0x43e38c…
10-23 10:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xdc2f9a…
10-23 10:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x72c664…
10-23 10:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x709c86…
10-23 10:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xf9311b…
10-23 10:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x87b7bd…
10-23 10:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x23820a…
10-23 10:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x2802e0…
10-23 09:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xf34396…
10-23 09:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xba5fc2…
10-23 09:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x668ed0…
10-09 03:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x158023…
10-09 03:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe49526…
10-07 11:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0xc60c39…
10-07 11:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x2eb9b9…
10-07 11:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb1b0db…
10-07 11:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x70a824…
10-07 11:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x7e3b04…
10-07 11:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x2abd59…
10-07 10:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x849e93…
10-07 10:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x173904…
10-07 10:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xba86e9…
10-07 10:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xeef923…
10-06 07:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x5f8705…
10-06 07:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5c37d8…
10-06 07:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x36a2ea…
10-04 12:21:53	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x84f973…
09-30 09:08:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x71482e…
09-30 09:08:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x02daff…
09-30 09:07:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb6e170…
09-30 07:19:47	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2d8c8d…
09-30 07:14:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xf15251…
09-30 07:14:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:10 UTC	Down	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0x4b599d…
09-30 07:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:10 UTC	Down	SELL	14	91¢	$12	0xed5ddd…
09-30 07:14:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa842da…
09-30 07:08:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x0bba22…
09-30 07:08:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xed79d8…
09-30 07:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0x9e0e6b…
09-30 07:03:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfe6ba7…
09-30 07:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x33b85e…
09-30 07:02:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x87fce0…
09-30 06:58:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb2ddf8…
09-30 06:58:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x7f82b0…
09-30 06:58:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x857cf1…
09-30 06:58:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xee1717…
09-30 06:56:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xac1c18…
09-29 01:42:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:40 UTC	Up	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x0acdb2…
09-29 01:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa87ea1…
09-22 14:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc0b514…
09-22 14:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x8fbc72…
09-22 14:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x161a69…
09-22 14:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xe28dac…
09-22 14:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x022b36…
09-22 14:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xbc9c91…
09-22 14:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x971692…
09-22 14:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8783bd…
09-22 14:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5c4659…
09-22 13:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x17af0f…
09-22 13:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x780522…
09-22 13:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xe01ef6…
09-22 13:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x019f4e…
09-22 10:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xd2879a…
09-22 10:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfd521a…
09-22 10:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7f4609…
09-22 10:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x57b177…
09-22 10:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3fff10…
09-22 10:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x71ca33…
09-22 10:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x625db1…
09-22 10:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x32f173…
09-22 10:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0bce8f…
09-22 10:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9008be…
09-22 10:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xbf6913…
09-22 10:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x39d192…
09-22 10:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb21ce5…
09-22 09:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xeac644…
09-22 09:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9ccd11…
09-22 09:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xef7e55…
09-22 09:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc16a69…
09-22 09:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x836cc5…
09-22 09:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcd548e…
09-22 09:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xb86655…
09-22 09:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7e60d3…
09-22 09:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x517220…
09-22 09:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x1a49be…
09-22 09:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xf3756b…
09-22 09:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6febff…
09-22 09:02:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x9e8912…
09-22 09:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$11	0x598c1e…
09-22 09:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x24ac2f…
09-22 08:43:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x823e31…
09-22 08:42:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x265851…