Crazy-Ratio — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$875

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-21 09:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

80% 0% $-29

Crypto

19% 32% $-27

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$300	1,167	0	+1,167	open	—	04-26 07:37
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$152	122	122	+0	open	—	05-02 03:03
Magic vs. Pistons	1	$150	556	0	+556	open	—	05-03 19:27
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	1	$50	78	0	+78	open	—	05-01 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$27	19	19	+0	Down	+$11	05-12 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$24	16	16	+0	Down	+$8	05-12 09:45
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$23	69	0	+69	Cavaliers	$-23	05-09 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$18	31	31	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 12:57
Rockets vs. Lakers	1	$17	131	0	+131	open	—	04-30 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$15	24	0	+24	Down	$-15	05-12 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$12	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-19 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$11	45	45	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$8	15	0	+15	Down	$-8	05-12 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Up	$-5	05-12 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-12 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	+$4	05-12 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$4	150	0	+150	Down	$-4	05-12 15:25
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$4	19	0	+19	Knicks	$-4	05-06 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$3	25	0	+25	Down	$-3	05-12 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$3	65	0	+65	Down	$-3	05-12 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$3	28	0	+28	Up	$-3	05-12 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$2	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 11:32
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 18c	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-24 11:33
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	750	0	+750	open	—	05-21 06:25
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	730	0	+730	open	—	05-21 06:25
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	667	0	+667	open	—	05-21 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$2	200	0	+200	Up	$-2	05-12 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$2	40	0	+40	Up	$-2	05-13 09:36
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$2	18	0	+18	Thunder	$-2	05-12 05:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 09:12:12	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x37352e…
05-21 06:25:31	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5e1ee3…
05-21 06:25:20	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2a91ed…
05-21 06:25:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x08bb26…
05-20 09:34:32	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x9dc078…
05-20 09:34:25	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xf0abe8…
05-20 09:34:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0xa8f8f0…
05-19 11:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xd2f5e0…
05-19 10:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x9308c8…
05-19 10:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xc49681…
05-13 09:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x6e58b5…
05-12 15:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0xa5349e…
05-12 15:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe4d340…
05-12 15:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x389c5a…
05-12 14:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x78a7b3…
05-12 14:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x7cf564…
05-12 13:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x15cf25…
05-12 12:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	31	34¢	$10	0xd8032f…
05-12 12:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0xaa8b63…
05-12 11:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xeb0e6a…
05-12 11:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2ca307…
05-12 11:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x8bf6d0…
05-12 10:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x5d2f1c…
05-12 10:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0xa45be8…
05-12 10:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe5e641…
05-12 10:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xed886b…
05-12 09:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x33ecce…
05-12 09:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x5abfb8…
05-12 09:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x6a4b39…
05-12 09:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x40565d…
05-12 09:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xfae52f…
05-12 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5f9746…
05-12 09:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x3fa4d6…
05-12 09:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7ecd58…
05-12 08:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x849a1a…
05-12 06:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xb64131…
05-12 06:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x1bb0b0…
05-12 06:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x2cd2c1…
05-12 05:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0xd7b7c1…
05-12 05:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe17aa2…
05-12 05:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb04864…
05-12 05:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe363fc…
05-12 05:18:43	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x8838d1…
05-09 19:58:38	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	44	29¢	$13	0xf1f473…
05-09 18:59:06	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xfc39dd…
05-06 22:54:51	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xa2eef2…
05-03 19:27:06	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	556	27¢	$150	0xa194e9…
05-02 03:03:42	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	122	84¢	$102	0x4cb1ce…
05-01 20:11:50	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xebab6f…
05-01 20:11:32	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xff9c29…
04-30 04:19:44	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	131	13¢	$17	0x79b476…
04-26 07:37:14	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x7353dc…
04-24 11:33:44	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa977d3…
04-23 05:17:22	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29c	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x16e46c…
04-22 05:31:06	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	767	26¢	$200	0xb85076…