Tremendous-Fritter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.43K

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

625

Trades

1,222

lifetime

Volume

$85.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$562

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 10:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Other

95% 48% -$8,476

Sports

2% 35% -$46

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$57

Tech

1% 75% +$23

Politics

0% 71% -$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+275	$223	82¢	$226	+$3	10-26 10:54
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	-162	-$149	99¢	$-160	-$11	08-18 14:36
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	+80	$62	84¢	$67	+$4	09-22 04:28
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+379	$50	12¢	$46	-$4	10-03 17:42
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	-48	-$51	90¢	$-43	+$8	07-23 10:22
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	-20	-$18	93¢	$-19	-$1	08-18 14:36
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Yes	-65	-$3	4¢	$-3	+$1	09-19 20:19
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+0	-$15	7¢	$0	+$15	10-05 17:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeast hit 480 million subscribers by march 31 385 949 751 549 325 327 411 863 793	13	$7.5K	3,695	4,032	-336	No	+$245	03-31 13:04
will mrbeast hit 490 million subscribers by march 31 772 164 857 377 793 556 125 855 849	8	$4.1K	2,080	2,080	+0	No	+$28	03-08 21:29
Will MrBeast hit 490 million subscribers by April 30?	2	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	No	+$36	04-09 15:16
will anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by january 31	11	$2.7K	2,686	52	+2,634	No	+$75	01-23 10:18
Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?	1	$1.9K	2,008	0	+2,008	Yes	-$1,908	05-03 14:57
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	7	$1.6K	1,416	498	+918	Yes	-$744	01-12 10:18
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	2	$1.5K	775	775	+0	Yes	+$17	06-24 08:04
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	5	$1.4K	1,665	0	+1,665	Yes	-$1,420	04-07 11:56
will mrbeast hit 470 million subscribers by january 31 634 222 492 335	4	$1.4K	422	960	-538	No	-$4	01-11 14:44
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?	5	$1.3K	705	705	+0	No	+$100	09-09 16:24
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	6	$1.3K	637	637	+0	Yes	+$4	08-28 09:52
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	7	$1.3K	1,329	0	+1,329	Yes	-$1,256	05-13 11:42
will mrbeast hit 125 billion views by march 31 882 196 242 539 666	14	$1.2K	609	609	+0	No	+$4	02-28 09:53
will mrbeast hit 117 billion views by march 31 hzzm 934	9	$1.2K	1,341	45	+1,296	No	+$163	03-18 00:06
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?	6	$1.1K	598	598	+0	No	+$41	08-02 08:38
will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 951	6	$1.1K	1,168	0	+1,168	Yes	+$48	03-02 09:31
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	6	$1.1K	668	668	+0	Yes	+$172	10-03 15:00
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be less than 160m	1	$1000	1,030	0	+1,030	No	+$30	03-31 13:10
Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	4	$904	922	0	+922	Yes	+$18	04-22 08:46
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	6	$882	2,079	0	+2,079	Yes	-$882	01-10 13:03
will mrbeast hit 462 million subscribers by january 31	2	$820	452	452	+0	Yes	+$75	01-15 09:24
Hamburger SV vs. FC Copenhagen: O/U 1.5	13	$808	597	597	+0	Over	+$385	10-04 15:53
will mrbeast hit 115 billion views by march 31	6	$788	374	654	-279	Yes	-$7	03-18 00:08
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50m views in its first 7 days	2	$787	401	401	+0	No	+$13	02-10 11:54
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	8	$782	1,471	0	+1,471	No	-$782	01-10 13:03
will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	5	$736	896	0	+896	No	+$160	03-18 00:10
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	4	$635	695	0	+695	No	+$60	08-28 09:51
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-09-19?	2	$614	325	325	+0	Yes	+$35	09-19 11:13
will mrbeast hit 120 billion views by march 31 767 279 366 974	4	$518	65	465	-400	No	-$5	03-05 14:43
will final fantasy vii rebirth win outstanding visual style at the 2025 steam awards	2	$497	548	0	+548	No	+$51	01-02 11:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 10:54:41	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xa250f3…
10-22 08:31:47	European Open (Doubles): Frantzen/Galloway vs Collignon/Goffin	Frantzen/Galloway	BUY	59	80¢	$47	0x26e0a9…
10-22 08:31:02	Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x82e1e5…
10-21 12:15:11	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	236	82¢	$194	0x9ff4e4…
10-09 09:31:30	Persik Kediri vs. Madura United: Persik Kediri O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	385	76¢	$292	0x194aaa…
10-09 09:29:46	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xb31ae0…
10-09 09:05:21	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xb627b9…
10-09 09:04:12	Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	75	59¢	$44	0x9f250f…
10-09 09:03:46	Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	286	100¢	$286	0x222d74…
10-09 08:52:37	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jenson Brooksby	Jenson Brooksby	SELL	26	23¢	$6	0xe358a0…
10-09 08:52:37	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jenson Brooksby	Jenson Brooksby	SELL	150	23¢	$34	0x276f01…
10-09 08:25:19	atp fokina brooksb 2026 10 09	Jenson Brooksby	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x642bbd…
10-09 08:23:36	Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	286	68¢	$195	0xb0c0d1…
10-09 08:21:51	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jenson Brooksby	Jenson Brooksby	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x266e1e…
10-09 08:13:51	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu	Alexander Zverev	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x138cd3…
10-09 07:53:58	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu	Alexander Zverev	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x8759c6…
10-09 07:53:31	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	31	95¢	$30	0x9a56c7…
10-09 07:51:25	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu	Alexander Zverev	BUY	86	90¢	$77	0x762f92…
10-09 07:51:03	Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?	No	SELL	82	94¢	$78	0xae0cae…
10-09 07:40:46	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu	Alexander Zverev	BUY	111	93¢	$103	0xf2f93e…
10-09 03:08:09	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x825193…
10-08 22:43:36	mex2 ado cor 2026 10 08 btts	Yes	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x5859d2…
10-08 22:39:26	Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x5f1f0c…
10-08 22:39:11	Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9a4ead…
10-08 22:27:08	Atlético Nacional vs. CD Tolima: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xa50986…
10-08 22:25:45	Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC vs. CF Correcaminos UAT: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf3d4b8…
10-08 22:14:03	Exact Score: CA Grau 0 - 1 CD Los Chankas?	Yes	BUY	164	6¢	$10	0x7793df…
10-08 22:13:24	Independiente Valle Del Cauca vs. Tigres FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	259	100¢	$259	0x875555…
10-08 20:04:53	Independiente Valle Del Cauca vs. Tigres FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	259	89¢	$231	0x0a4eb2…
10-08 20:04:23	Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-08-10?	Yes	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0xf81378…
10-08 19:36:57	CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x32abd9…
10-08 19:09:26	FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0xe380aa…
10-08 19:09:03	FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x00d901…
10-08 19:08:36	FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0xd772c3…
10-08 18:56:57	Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-08-10?	Yes	BUY	147	73¢	$108	0xba6f03…
10-08 18:55:17	FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x0b63cd…
10-08 18:53:26	FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	167	69¢	$115	0x1fc0f2…
10-08 18:52:11	FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0x390551…
10-08 18:49:29	FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	227	72¢	$163	0xd69237…
10-08 18:48:32	FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	168	99¢	$166	0xbb9147…
10-08 17:48:14	FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	168	92¢	$154	0x115d76…
10-08 17:45:53	FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	157	99¢	$155	0x990477…
10-08 17:43:14	FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	157	92¢	$144	0xbf7aac…
10-08 17:40:53	Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	71	5¢	$4	0x12a2a4…
10-07 19:09:28	Braga: Mackenzie McDonald vs Ryan Nijboer	Mackenzie McDonald	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x0f2978…
10-07 11:00:27	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x245f82…
10-07 09:35:45	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x34c4b8…
10-07 09:35:14	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xc46890…
10-07 09:34:54	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc3d878…
10-07 09:34:26	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x893e5c…
10-06 23:05:38	Mexico vs. Chile: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	164	75¢	$123	0x25bb6d…
10-06 22:55:18	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xaa8586…
10-06 22:54:09	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xfbe845…
10-06 22:48:17	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xd097c7…
10-05 17:40:04	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	5¢	$4	0x9e0361…
10-05 15:16:13	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xd0b96e…
10-05 03:24:25	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	510	5¢	$24	0xbb5e59…
10-04 23:17:13	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x4f618a…
10-04 23:01:20	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	375	4¢	$15	0xbd15f0…
10-04 19:58:34	Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0x18003f…
10-04 19:27:41	Greece vs. Germany: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	198	87¢	$172	0x0c6492…
10-04 19:19:52	Netherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0xc9408d…
10-04 19:00:10	Netherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	176	97¢	$171	0x1ce659…
10-04 16:19:56	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xbc9046…
10-04 16:17:19	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xded342…
10-04 16:11:37	Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Celta Fortuna end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x1d0318…
10-04 16:09:05	Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	18	64¢	$12	0xf46460…
10-04 16:09:05	Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x8b6a3f…
10-04 16:09:04	Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xfee286…
10-04 16:08:43	Malta vs. Andorra: Malta O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x848759…
10-04 16:07:11	Manchester City WFC vs. Arsenal WFC: Manchester City WFC O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0xdd1d50…
10-04 16:07:11	Manchester City WFC vs. Arsenal WFC: Manchester City WFC O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x06e46c…
10-04 16:02:43	Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xbbff03…
10-04 15:59:55	Wales vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xbf1f66…
10-04 15:59:35	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xeb46e7…
10-04 15:59:11	Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x2e41a6…
10-04 15:58:40	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	230	9¢	$21	0x39ab5f…
10-04 15:58:13	Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xb9d0d0…
10-04 15:57:46	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	140	7¢	$10	0x662200…
10-04 15:55:50	Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-2.5)	Real Sporting de Gijón	BUY	120	43¢	$52	0x154235…
10-04 15:53:47	clf hsv fcc 2026 10 04 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	597	100¢	$597	0x071b04…
10-04 14:50:32	Hamburger SV vs. FC Copenhagen: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	44	26¢	$11	0x031918…
10-04 14:47:14	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	197	4¢	$8	0x9b561a…
10-04 14:44:29	Hamburger SV vs. FC Copenhagen: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	157	33¢	$52	0xd15b68…
10-04 14:44:02	Hamburger SV vs. FC Copenhagen: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x3d88ee…
10-04 14:43:41	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	64	95¢	$61	0x2993e7…
10-04 14:43:13	Hamburger SV vs. FC Copenhagen: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	101	34¢	$34	0x573a26…
10-04 14:42:41	clf hsv fcc 2026 10 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xe1bf6d…
10-04 14:42:23	clf hsv fcc 2026 10 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0x121b7b…
10-04 14:41:53	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	87	95¢	$82	0xc7b04e…
10-04 14:41:10	clf hsv fcc 2026 10 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x58ed43…
10-04 14:40:35	clf hsv fcc 2026 10 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	110	37¢	$41	0xb6be49…
10-04 14:39:41	clf hsv fcc 2026 10 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xd5f5f0…
10-04 14:39:34	clf hsv fcc 2026 10 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x6a5f55…
10-04 14:39:34	clf hsv fcc 2026 10 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x03d346…
10-04 14:39:32	clf hsv fcc 2026 10 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5b4d0f…
10-04 14:37:56	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	4¢	$6	0x0c1b38…
10-04 14:36:55	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	461	4¢	$18	0xa1e761…
10-04 14:34:37	Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8fb99a…
10-04 14:34:28	Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x48f18a…