Tremendous-Fritter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$85

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

Trades

492

lifetime

Volume

$50.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$87

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-16 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

96% 67% +$80

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Politics

0% 100% +$5

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	No		+65	$63	99¢	$65	+$2	06-25 08:42
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No		-45	$-21	50¢	$-22	$-2	06-16 13:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeast hit 480 million subscribers by march 31 385 949 751 549 325 327 411 863 793	13	$7.5K	3,695	4,032	-336	open	—	03-31 13:04
will mrbeast hit 490 million subscribers by march 31 772 164 857 377 793 556 125 855 849	8	$4.1K	2,080	2,080	+0	open	—	03-08 21:29
Will MrBeast hit 490 million subscribers by April 30?	2	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	open	—	04-09 15:16
will anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by january 31	11	$2.7K	2,686	52	+2,634	open	—	01-23 10:18
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	7	$1.6K	1,416	498	+918	open	—	01-12 10:18
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	5	$1.4K	1,665	0	+1,665	open	—	04-07 11:56
will mrbeast hit 470 million subscribers by january 31 634 222 492 335	4	$1.4K	422	960	-538	open	—	01-11 14:44
will mrbeast hit 125 billion views by march 31 882 196 242 539 666	14	$1.2K	609	609	+0	open	—	02-28 09:53
will mrbeast hit 117 billion views by march 31 hzzm 934	9	$1.2K	1,341	45	+1,296	open	—	03-18 00:06
will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 951	6	$1.1K	1,168	0	+1,168	open	—	03-02 09:31
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be less than 160m	1	$1000	1,030	0	+1,030	open	—	03-31 13:10
Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	4	$904	922	0	+922	open	—	04-22 08:46
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	6	$882	2,079	0	+2,079	open	—	01-10 13:03
will mrbeast hit 462 million subscribers by january 31	2	$820	452	452	+0	open	—	01-15 09:24
will mrbeast hit 115 billion views by march 31	6	$788	374	654	-279	open	—	03-18 00:08
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50m views in its first 7 days	2	$787	401	401	+0	open	—	02-10 11:54
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	8	$782	1,471	0	+1,471	open	—	01-10 13:03
will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	5	$736	896	0	+896	open	—	03-18 00:10
will mrbeast hit 120 billion views by march 31 767 279 366 974	4	$518	65	465	-400	open	—	03-05 14:43
will final fantasy vii rebirth win outstanding visual style at the 2025 steam awards	2	$497	548	0	+548	open	—	01-02 11:11
will mom be said at the oscars	4	$482	514	0	+514	open	—	03-10 09:02
will mrbeast hit 119 billion views by march 31 988 776	4	$439	222	222	+0	open	—	03-06 20:11
will bridgerton season 4 be the top global netflix show this week february 3 2026	1	$435	445	0	+445	open	—	01-29 10:33
will wuthering heights score at least 65 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 881	1	$433	445	0	+445	open	—	02-10 11:57
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	2	$431	235	235	+0	open	—	01-18 12:42
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	2	$430	230	230	+0	open	—	01-05 23:55
will people we meet on vacation be the 2 us netflix movie this week january 20 2026	1	$427	464	0	+464	open	—	01-16 18:35
will mrbeast hit 109 billion views by january 31	2	$404	404	7	+397	open	—	01-21 10:59
will mrbeast hit 118 billion views by march 31 749 928	4	$400	202	202	+0	open	—	03-17 16:15
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	4	$400	339	222	+117	open	—	03-01 16:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 08:31:22	ice agent charged in maine incident by august 31 20260714234138963	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3aa2bb…
07-16 08:12:49	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x1d63ca…
07-15 10:00:53	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	98	65¢	$64	0xb5b27f…
07-15 10:00:01	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x6c8544…
07-12 17:12:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xf7d962…
07-12 17:11:11	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xeddca9…
07-12 16:13:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x410fbd…
07-12 16:12:10	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x80b68d…
07-08 20:05:59	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x1b53ea…
07-08 20:03:02	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	No	SELL	133	77¢	$102	0x99f988…
07-03 09:55:56	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xa8de96…
07-02 07:55:37	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x9c492e…
07-02 07:47:29	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x879261…
07-01 23:26:10	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x50dd2f…
07-01 14:12:11	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x50f03c…
07-01 14:11:37	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x23af53…
07-01 14:11:07	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x2c5564…
06-29 23:17:37	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x94d9dc…
06-29 23:17:17	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x42777f…
06-29 14:29:25	will mrbeast hit 515 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858517	No	BUY	115	77¢	$89	0xcc39d7…
06-29 12:08:25	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	No	BUY	65	48¢	$31	0xc5c7ed…
06-29 12:07:49	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	No	BUY	70	48¢	$34	0x04c23b…
06-29 12:07:23	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xadcc84…
06-29 12:07:04	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	No	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0x3b2bbe…
06-29 12:06:23	will mrbeast hit 515 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858517	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xcd6087…
06-29 12:06:04	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	No	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xc08cc8…
06-29 11:59:55	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xf8003a…
06-29 11:59:38	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by august 31	Yes	SELL	86	95¢	$82	0x259406…
06-26 08:40:26	will the announcers say foul 7 times during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259123	Yes	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0xa72dab…
06-26 08:40:01	will the announcers say messi 20 times during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914419	No	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0x8bb661…
06-26 08:39:10	will the announcers say foul 7 times during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700883	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xb2ef39…
06-26 08:38:14	will the announcers say corner 10 times during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250616	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x124181…
06-26 08:37:46	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x95660e…
06-26 08:33:02	will the announcers say messi during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259143	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x86ce63…
06-26 08:32:55	will the announcers say ronaldo during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259145	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6b2559…
06-26 08:32:28	will the announcers say corner 10 times during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259122	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xa0ce99…
06-26 08:32:17	will the announcers say corner 10 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523342	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xff75ec…
06-25 08:42:11	Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x7660c9…
06-25 08:42:04	Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xf5f4d5…
06-24 22:13:38	will the invite score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x3349ec…
06-24 22:10:40	will supergirl score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	15	88¢	$14	0x8f8ebc…
06-24 08:06:08	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x89e5a9…
06-24 08:05:20	will supergirl score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x36599c…
06-24 08:05:11	will supergirl score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xad148b…
06-20 07:28:25	will the death of robin hood score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x004fb3…
06-19 08:11:04	will the death of robin hood score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x4fa8ee…
06-18 05:41:56	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by august 31	Yes	BUY	72	95¢	$69	0x818661…
06-17 11:17:19	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by august 31	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xfbf0d4…
06-16 16:42:43	will the death of robin hood score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8369d1…
06-16 16:42:43	will the death of robin hood score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x599eb3…
06-16 16:42:41	will the death of robin hood score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0xb8a00c…
06-16 16:42:41	will the death of robin hood score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x35df05…
06-16 13:47:11	will the death of robin hood score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x268dda…
06-16 13:46:38	will the invite score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x24d2ec…
06-16 13:43:11	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	SELL	45	46¢	$21	0x864dc2…
06-16 13:34:47	will supergirl score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x71caaf…
05-21 14:48:44	Will "Passenger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xd6bd71…
05-21 14:47:23	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0x347ada…
05-21 14:46:25	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xb1b954…
05-21 14:46:25	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	99	53¢	$52	0x000652…
05-16 18:12:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xe902f4…
05-13 11:48:49	Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x5ad00e…
05-13 11:47:46	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x4af16f…
05-13 11:44:45	Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by June 30?	Yes	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x473c82…
05-13 11:43:37	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	BUY	193	97¢	$187	0x39ccc6…
05-13 11:36:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x74a6c1…
05-05 13:20:44	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguet	Patrick Kypson	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xcaf0be…
05-05 13:20:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguet	Patrick Kypson	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x8cac60…
05-05 09:38:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Gabriela Ruse vs Sinja Kraus	Gabriela Ruse	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x4edeac…
05-04 11:06:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xe2982d…
05-04 11:06:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x3c285f…
05-04 09:44:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Mackenzie McDonald	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xf1ac92…
05-03 17:36:32	Will "Animal Farm" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xfe279c…
05-03 15:09:28	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x39cf94…
05-03 15:05:56	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0x849b04…
05-03 15:03:16	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xbc762b…
05-03 15:00:20	Will "Animal Farm" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2b6f71…
05-03 14:56:48	Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by June 30?	Yes	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x2f2f37…
04-22 08:46:34	Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	831	99¢	$820	0x6eeb4f…
04-09 15:16:27	Will MrBeast hit 490 million subscribers by April 30?	No	BUY	1,898	99¢	$1,875	0xbcf6ca…
04-08 23:55:29	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	No	BUY	24	73¢	$18	0xa96032…
04-07 15:53:35	wta volynet vekic 2026 04 07	Katie Volynets	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x84d1b4…
04-07 15:50:17	Will MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xf40274…
04-07 15:50:05	Will MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0x1de2e2…
04-07 15:48:11	Will Ye be dropped as Wireless Headliner?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7d3bfe…
04-07 12:25:17	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x4d3cdb…
04-07 12:24:55	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be greater than 90m	Yes	BUY	41	19¢	$8	0xab6832…
04-07 12:18:53	will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	72	88¢	$63	0xe28241…
04-07 12:14:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x73dc8d…
04-07 12:09:29	Will Ye be dropped as Wireless Headliner?	Yes	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x40c6f8…
04-07 11:59:41	Will MrBeast hit 118 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	258	99¢	$255	0xe3c943…
04-07 11:59:35	Will MrBeast hit 118 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	114	99¢	$112	0x5cd6bb…
04-07 11:59:23	Will MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x3d338a…
04-07 11:58:57	Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x872b5a…
04-07 11:58:51	Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	66	92¢	$61	0x3cb19a…
04-07 11:58:45	Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$9	0x9455ba…
04-07 11:56:49	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	BUY	596	84¢	$500	0x9972d8…
04-01 14:28:51	will the drama opening weekend box office be greater than 10m	Yes	BUY	220	91¢	$201	0x0eda79…
04-01 14:21:37	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x79c851…
04-01 14:20:19	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	BUY	251	80¢	$200	0xc23291…