Realized P&L (30d)
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
65.9%
Resolved (30d)
147
Trades (30d)
268
268 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$560
$560 lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$16
5 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-01 02:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
88% 53% -$14
Sports
8% 42% -$7
Politics
4% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +17 $7 44¢ $7 +$0 11-01 01:38
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +7 $5 74¢ $5 $0 10-31 22:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +2 $2 75¢ $2 $0 11-01 01:38
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 $0 10-31 22:58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +3 $1 32¢ $1 $0 11-01 01:37