Circular-Baboon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$98

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

Trades

853

lifetime

Volume

$8.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-27 19:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 41% $-98

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	8	$424	515	515	+0	open	—	05-16 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET	14	$284	313	313	+0	open	—	05-16 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	5	$227	155	155	+0	open	—	05-15 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$206	265	265	+0	open	—	05-16 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$202	251	251	+0	open	—	05-16 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$202	327	322	+5	open	—	05-16 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	8	$170	237	130	+107	open	—	05-15 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	10	$162	307	167	+139	open	—	05-15 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	10	$158	139	139	+0	open	—	05-15 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$140	245	245	+0	open	—	05-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	6	$134	121	121	+0	open	—	05-19 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	5	$130	153	107	+45	open	—	05-16 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	5	$122	121	121	+0	open	—	05-17 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$116	94	94	+0	open	—	05-16 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$112	128	128	+0	open	—	05-16 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$111	102	102	+0	open	—	05-16 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$109	72	188	-116	open	—	05-15 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$109	134	134	+0	open	—	05-27 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$108	183	183	+0	open	—	05-16 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$108	149	149	+0	open	—	05-16 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$103	58	58	+0	open	—	05-15 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	5	$102	133	118	+15	open	—	05-17 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$99	115	106	+9	open	—	05-16 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	4	$95	93	93	+0	open	—	05-15 21:08
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	6	$95	125	124	+0	open	—	05-27 18:39
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	8	$94	173	173	+0	open	—	05-27 18:53
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	8	$87	337	137	+200	open	—	05-16 22:51
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	6	$84	140	140	+0	open	—	05-27 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	5	$83	177	72	+105	open	—	05-27 18:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$82	70	70	+0	open	—	05-19 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 19:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0xf9a2d5…
05-27 19:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf38e5e…
05-27 19:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x18d3a3…
05-27 19:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7cc224…
05-27 19:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xc5ddde…
05-27 19:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x26d80c…
05-27 19:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xe4ab1c…
05-27 19:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe4a8d9…
05-27 19:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x71c908…
05-27 19:11:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xa518d0…
05-27 19:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8674ba…
05-27 19:08:10	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	79	5¢	$4	0x105a97…
05-27 19:03:42	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x72a463…
05-27 19:01:52	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xc3a0be…
05-27 19:00:50	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x37f801…
05-27 19:00:43	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	54	46¢	$25	0x569912…
05-27 19:00:38	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0xf79cc6…
05-27 18:53:47	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	108	11¢	$12	0x4c44d7…
05-27 18:52:40	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xed174c…
05-27 18:51:32	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x33aacb…
05-27 18:50:22	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x141c8a…
05-27 18:48:06	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x3b8e26…
05-27 18:47:06	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	64	40¢	$26	0x779a48…
05-27 18:46:10	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfcc4a0…
05-27 18:45:32	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0xaecf4a…
05-27 18:39:17	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x244ee6…
05-27 18:36:40	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0xa91e7b…
05-27 18:36:40	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2859f8…
05-27 18:36:40	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x02fdf8…
05-27 18:34:42	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	75	36¢	$27	0x5e9794…
05-27 18:34:30	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	75	34¢	$25	0x6c8a24…
05-27 18:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x931447…
05-27 18:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xecd523…
05-27 18:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xd10101…
05-27 18:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	72	43¢	$31	0xfc4a96…
05-27 18:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0xa5b7c0…
05-27 18:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	74	44¢	$32	0x595a64…
05-27 18:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x4be633…
05-27 18:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	60	44¢	$27	0xf4330b…
05-27 18:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x99feae…
05-27 17:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	44	29¢	$13	0x99f726…
05-27 17:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	27¢	$12	0x19c547…
05-27 17:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	33	43¢	$14	0x471f81…
05-27 17:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	37¢	$12	0xddc60b…
05-27 17:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x9743c5…
05-27 17:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xd2613e…
05-27 17:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4e85f2…
05-27 17:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0x6bd02b…
05-27 17:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x529d91…
05-27 17:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x4ff650…
05-27 17:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x689a79…
05-27 17:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0xaa230b…
05-27 17:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x99a1c8…
05-27 17:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	27	47¢	$13	0xa0bba8…
05-27 17:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0xdf57b6…
05-27 17:27:06	XRP Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x5e437f…
05-27 17:24:11	XRP Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xe43e30…
05-27 17:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x613322…
05-27 17:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xde6837…
05-27 17:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x118b22…
05-27 17:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8085ac…
05-27 17:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xed5ce0…
05-27 16:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc19a63…
05-27 16:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xe62dbf…
05-27 16:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x40ce57…
05-27 16:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xe94713…
05-27 16:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x973cc4…
05-27 16:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3d955c…
05-20 23:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa3e81e…
05-20 23:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8d9adf…
05-20 23:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x915372…
05-20 23:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x05c0c1…
05-20 23:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xbb762f…
05-20 23:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9f2c8c…
05-20 23:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xcfecc1…
05-20 23:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xed1662…
05-20 23:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd2d2f7…
05-20 22:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x9ec9b7…
05-20 22:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1265d8…
05-20 22:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x81c68d…
05-20 22:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x8db28d…
05-20 22:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xaa92ab…
05-20 22:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x77e45f…
05-20 22:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8d56a9…
05-20 22:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0e148d…
05-20 22:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x49304d…
05-20 22:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb08c3e…
05-20 22:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa6c65b…
05-20 22:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0c77d2…
05-20 22:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xc828a2…
05-20 22:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1bcd37…
05-20 22:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe035ca…
05-20 22:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xbaae2f…
05-20 22:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9ae020…
05-20 22:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7680f5…
05-20 22:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xba1a07…
05-20 22:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3915fa…
05-20 17:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x806dc2…
05-20 17:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd550f3…
05-20 17:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x37fae4…