Dangerous-Thumb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

217

Trades

1,759

lifetime

Volume

$5.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 05-10 15:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 43% +$40

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 589 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	7	$244	160	160	+0	open	—	05-03 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	10	$175	190	185	+4	Down	+$91	05-06 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	27	$139	290	137	+153	Up	$-7	05-06 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	11	$135	148	125	+23	Down	+$27	05-06 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	16	$116	135	135	+0	Up	+$46	05-06 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	21	$98	165	69	+96	Down	$-18	05-06 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	7	$88	126	86	+40	Up	+$42	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	7	$85	86	86	+0	Down	+$49	05-06 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	8	$82	76	42	+34	open	—	05-04 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	12	$77	59	59	+0	open	—	05-04 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	7	$69	55	50	+5	open	—	05-04 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	7	$68	61	60	+1	Down	+$12	05-06 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	8	$66	94	87	+7	Down	+$24	05-05 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$66	42	42	+0	Up	+$16	05-05 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$66	47	47	+0	open	—	05-04 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$58	55	48	+7	open	—	05-04 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	8	$57	65	54	+12	Up	+$3	05-06 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	6	$57	115	62	+52	Up	+$13	05-06 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	6	$55	73	61	+12	Up	+$17	05-06 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	11	$54	55	48	+7	Down	$-8	05-06 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	11	$51	60	51	+9	Up	+$10	05-06 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$50	35	35	+0	Up	+$18	05-05 21:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	1	$50	129	0	+129	open	—	04-05 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	6	$49	122	37	+84	Down	$-3	05-06 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$48	56	40	+17	Down	+$11	05-07 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	20	$47	209	0	+209	Up	$-47	05-06 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	8	$47	101	42	+59	Up	+$1	05-06 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	19	$47	65	32	+33	open	—	05-04 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$44	78	23	+56	Up	$-4	05-05 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$44	52	31	+21	Down	+$8	05-05 20:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 15:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0x9aac51…
05-10 15:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x03b235…
05-10 15:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x83a5ee…
05-10 15:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x23e261…
05-10 15:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x62f4f3…
05-10 14:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x85b7d8…
05-10 14:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x96940c…
05-10 14:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x323cb2…
05-10 14:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x33b620…
05-10 14:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf2e4f1…
05-10 14:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbeaf64…
05-10 14:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1fc9d3…
05-10 14:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x13c824…
05-10 14:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8129ce…
05-10 14:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x30e42b…
05-10 14:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x54e5ef…
05-10 14:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x00ce0a…
05-10 14:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe19923…
05-10 14:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x60d7f1…
05-10 14:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x79cade…
05-10 14:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x785eca…
05-10 14:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc254a9…
05-10 14:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd13bd5…
05-10 14:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xafcb3e…
05-10 14:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x2335d1…
05-10 14:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9d9caf…
05-10 14:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x49af17…
05-10 14:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd16263…
05-10 14:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc5103d…
05-10 14:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7671ec…
05-10 14:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1fa9d6…
05-10 14:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	46	34¢	$16	0x597d5e…
05-10 14:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb4f419…
05-10 14:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x433f9f…
05-10 14:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb03ccc…
05-10 14:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x78114e…
05-10 14:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe2df49…
05-10 14:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8c536d…
05-10 14:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x684e69…
05-10 14:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x542d4c…
05-10 14:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd1e498…
05-10 14:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd46933…
05-10 14:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x470de5…
05-10 14:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2e6314…
05-10 14:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x90d451…
05-10 14:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0xc5e1c3…
05-10 14:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaede44…
05-10 14:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x94351d…
05-10 14:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7dcc73…
05-10 14:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3d84db…
05-10 14:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeeb13c…
05-10 14:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe1ff77…
05-10 14:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x156ec9…
05-10 13:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6dcc05…
05-10 13:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x38c2d9…
05-10 13:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x057261…
05-10 13:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	37¢	$9	0xeb7e66…
05-10 13:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x8a1cc4…
05-10 13:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xea0d4a…
05-10 13:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7f6274…
05-10 13:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4595eb…
05-10 13:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcc0869…
05-10 13:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7fbe84…
05-10 13:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x84e377…
05-10 13:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x1633ce…
05-10 13:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x147b8c…
05-10 13:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	28	35¢	$10	0x92c7f3…
05-10 13:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa5586a…
05-10 13:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2b6ebe…
05-10 13:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb78748…
05-10 13:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd1461c…
05-10 13:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x883b5a…
05-10 13:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x70d555…
05-10 13:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5f3b84…
05-10 13:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd0f3ef…
05-10 13:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0xe47a3f…
05-10 13:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7be264…
05-10 13:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5d2f1f…
05-10 13:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd133f2…
05-10 13:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x56e63f…
05-10 13:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x15b37e…
05-10 13:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7faa12…
05-10 13:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x06a422…
05-10 13:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x93a547…
05-10 13:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4b7795…
05-10 13:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x878cd4…
05-10 13:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x15efe0…
05-10 13:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x455302…
05-10 13:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	36	32¢	$12	0x0a6cf9…
05-10 13:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xc71661…
05-10 13:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe27454…
05-10 13:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x623ca0…
05-10 13:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x5c1f0a…
05-10 13:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4f8511…
05-10 13:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfc3560…
05-10 13:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xbd4b45…
05-10 13:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x899714…
05-10 13:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xa59864…
05-10 13:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa76988…
05-10 13:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x549897…