High-Yarmulke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.25K

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

1,082

Trades

4,988

lifetime

Volume

$36.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$114

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 211 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 54% +$7,202

Other

4% 73% +$30

Politics

1% 100% +$3

Sports

1% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 1777 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes		+140	$109	82¢	$114	+$5	10-20 21:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 20 3pm et	2	$1.2K	1,189	1,189	+0	Up	+$1,168	01-20 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 22:15 UTC	26	$1.0K	520	520	+0	Down	+$10	02-14 22:20
spx up or down on april 10 2026	7	$798	450	450	+0	Down	+$35	04-10 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	5	$606	323	323	+0	Down	-$24	05-01 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	4	$596	376	376	+0	Down	+$149	06-02 22:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 19:45 UTC	20	$432	389	386	+3	Down	+$27	02-12 19:54
spy up or down on april 16 2026	5	$428	227	227	+0	Up	+$26	04-16 20:31
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$403	303	303	+0	No	+$3	03-18 12:42
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$400	417	0	+417	No	+$17	07-14 20:23
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	133	$366	720	0	+720	Down	-$8	09-04 00:57
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	122	$336	670	0	+670	Up	+$2	09-03 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	6	$293	217	208	+8	Up	+$101	04-26 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	7	$289	247	247	+0	Up	+$77	05-10 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9PM ET	5	$282	209	203	+6	Down	+$23	04-26 01:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:15 UTC	10	$274	200	200	+0	Down	+$74	02-04 19:29
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	96	$270	782	0	+782	Down	-$9	09-04 00:15
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	99	$269	531	0	+531	Down	+$8	09-03 23:13
bitcoin up or down january 11 6am et	2	$264	245	245	+0	Up	+$225	01-11 12:36
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	93	$258	780	0	+780	Up	-$4	09-04 01:30
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	93	$258	3,307	0	+3,307	Up	-$3	09-04 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5PM ET	3	$241	420	0	+420	Up	-$76	05-11 21:59
bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 11am et	3	$231	303	101	+202	Up	-$3	06-13 15:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:15 UTC	4	$231	227	224	+3	Up	+$27	02-12 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 13:00 UTC	8	$229	219	100	+119	Up	+$26	03-12 13:14
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	82	$225	437	0	+437	Up	-$11	09-03 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET	2	$212	167	167	+0	Down	+$121	05-22 00:41
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	75	$203	681	0	+681	Up	-$6	09-04 00:30
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	72	$203	3,373	0	+3,373	Down	-$1	09-03 22:30
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	70	$203	655	0	+655	Up	-$12	09-03 23:00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	69	$201	382	0	+382	Down	+$0	09-04 01:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	95	47¢	$45	0xb4ac89…
10-27 22:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xcccf8a…
10-27 03:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	95	47¢	$45	0x048b9a…
10-26 15:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x784c50…
10-25 17:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0xad3718…
10-25 00:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xa7c7b1…
10-24 06:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xd858cd…
10-23 16:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xae827b…
10-21 15:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xf35d3c…
10-20 21:12:53	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	78¢	$48	0x72bd34…
10-20 21:12:53	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	78¢	$61	0x595e99…
10-20 02:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x1b8573…
10-18 18:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x31bfb6…
10-16 13:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x257983…
10-14 23:58:36	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0x4eccf9…
10-14 21:58:58	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xa89501…
10-14 11:58:42	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xcddb6b…
10-13 12:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x25daeb…
10-11 20:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	165	30¢	$50	0xb3e524…
10-10 21:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	51	56¢	$28	0x8b041a…
10-08 18:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x5debdd…
10-08 18:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xba8079…
10-08 18:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x6ee64e…
10-08 18:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xf4e80b…
10-08 13:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x31e640…
10-08 13:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x355dfb…
10-08 13:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xff07cb…
10-07 16:10:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x165857…
10-07 16:09:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x98bc78…
10-06 13:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x904523…
10-06 13:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x21f073…
10-06 13:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x95293b…
10-06 13:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xefaaf0…
10-06 12:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x81245d…
10-06 12:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x74a0f8…
10-06 11:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc3caaf…
10-06 11:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xe438fc…
10-06 11:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x6a75d9…
10-06 10:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa2c92b…
10-06 10:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xa0755d…
10-06 08:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xee3f12…
10-06 08:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xd026ff…
10-06 05:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x8a952f…
10-06 05:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb6066b…
10-06 05:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x8d7501…
10-06 05:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x6d172f…
10-06 03:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x48ca78…
10-06 03:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x971368…
10-06 03:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x71b5ac…
10-06 03:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x427570…
10-06 00:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x614e01…
10-06 00:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8fd65d…
09-28 18:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x968e50…
09-28 18:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x610735…
09-28 16:55:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd56430…
09-28 16:55:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4881ba…
09-28 16:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xff5767…
09-28 16:55:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x31609c…
09-28 16:12:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb908ac…
09-28 16:12:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x04167a…
09-28 16:12:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xa4d249…
09-28 16:12:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x490e63…
09-28 16:12:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0365bc…
09-28 16:12:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcfdb39…
09-28 16:10:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x16bae1…
09-28 16:10:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x124998…
09-28 16:10:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb6b7fa…
09-28 16:10:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x22e434…
09-28 16:02:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x00850d…
09-28 16:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb7a29e…
09-28 16:01:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3e2e8b…
09-28 16:01:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2ed605…
09-28 16:00:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x63798e…
09-28 16:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc1d5fe…
09-28 15:35:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x227d62…
09-28 15:35:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x188fa1…
09-28 14:05:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe1f066…
09-28 14:05:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x92d915…
09-28 14:05:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb1f997…
09-28 14:05:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x816600…
09-28 13:38:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	61	89¢	$54	0x114f44…
09-28 13:37:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xca1e93…
09-27 20:36:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x434a29…
09-27 20:36:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8d9425…
09-27 20:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xaf9b68…
09-27 20:35:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xabe7aa…
09-27 20:26:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfb9ce2…
09-27 20:26:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x464fc9…
09-27 16:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x93c6f8…
09-27 16:30:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$3	0xd173f2…
09-27 15:35:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2d910d…
09-27 15:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xb8a570…
09-27 15:07:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa9f57f…
09-27 15:07:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x174cca…
09-27 15:07:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7ba375…
09-27 15:06:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdae669…
09-26 18:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 18:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x39fe6b…
09-26 18:46:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xa37e27…
09-26 15:27:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x890a98…
09-26 15:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x8a5628…