Grateful-Referendum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$169

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

572

lifetime

Volume

$5.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-12 19:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 37% $-166

Other

1% 50% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$295	206	199	+8	open	—	04-25 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$220	304	0	+304	open	—	04-25 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	5	$126	333	144	+189	open	—	04-27 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$121	304	304	+0	open	—	04-30 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$117	68	66	+1	open	—	04-25 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$110	143	143	+0	Down	+$90	05-05 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$110	85	81	+4	open	—	04-25 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$108	761	80	+681	open	—	04-30 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$89	119	114	+5	Down	+$45	05-12 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$78	54	52	+2	open	—	04-25 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$76	550	0	+550	open	—	04-25 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$70	151	0	+151	open	—	04-25 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$66	47	46	+2	open	—	04-25 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$66	49	48	+2	open	—	04-25 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$62	130	0	+130	open	—	04-25 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$57	65	65	+0	Up	+$14	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$57	412	0	+412	Down	$-57	05-10 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$56	355	26	+329	open	—	04-25 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	7	$56	71	71	+0	Down	+$22	05-05 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$55	110	0	+110	open	—	04-25 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	7	$51	180	44	+137	Down	$-7	05-11 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$50	81	0	+81	open	—	04-25 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	7	$49	244	29	+216	open	—	04-30 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$48	280	280	+0	Down	+$22	05-12 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	8	$47	492	33	+459	Up	$-9	05-12 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$47	356	56	+300	Down	+$9	05-05 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$47	46	37	+9	open	—	04-27 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$46	65	0	+65	open	—	04-25 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$43	603	20	+583	open	—	04-30 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	9	$43	563	21	+541	open	—	04-30 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 19:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x40f7c6…
05-12 19:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xdb68a7…
05-12 19:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xbbc03d…
05-12 19:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc94605…
05-12 19:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd3b160…
05-12 19:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa8cd66…
05-12 19:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc27cbd…
05-12 19:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x464716…
05-12 19:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf636d8…
05-12 19:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xa5a06e…
05-12 19:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xbda1c6…
05-12 19:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xdd070f…
05-12 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x949744…
05-12 19:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x2eb2a6…
05-12 19:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf312e4…
05-12 19:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x6a0644…
05-12 19:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfe2eab…
05-12 19:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xa8a755…
05-12 19:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x635449…
05-12 19:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb2be1e…
05-12 18:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4286c1…
05-12 18:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x09f1be…
05-12 18:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7cf913…
05-12 18:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xde17a2…
05-12 18:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x2b5765…
05-12 15:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa93b0b…
05-12 15:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0xbb3db0…
05-12 15:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x5a0a38…
05-12 15:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3fb11b…
05-12 15:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8b3a34…
05-12 15:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf56ecd…
05-12 15:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x2550ed…
05-12 15:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb19787…
05-12 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x0d3879…
05-12 15:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x69d58a…
05-12 15:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd3041f…
05-12 15:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfd136f…
05-12 15:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x17024a…
05-12 15:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xd2c3e5…
05-12 15:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9aadf3…
05-12 15:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	33	58¢	$19	0x2120e1…
05-12 15:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb8ac54…
05-12 15:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x428b07…
05-12 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x244631…
05-12 14:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xffb250…
05-12 14:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x866b80…
05-12 14:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x4bbfd1…
05-12 14:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaeb2bc…
05-12 14:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x4bd740…
05-12 14:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9ffc88…
05-12 14:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xf09016…
05-12 14:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfbf8d6…
05-12 14:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd066d0…
05-12 14:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	24	61¢	$14	0x645c59…
05-12 14:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x84959f…
05-12 14:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd7a05e…
05-12 14:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb1c5f8…
05-12 14:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6f79cb…
05-12 14:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xfd3774…
05-12 12:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc8c499…
05-12 12:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8970d8…
05-12 12:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xabec64…
05-12 12:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x9c3bb3…
05-12 12:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xffae18…
05-12 12:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xda00dd…
05-12 12:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	280	12¢	$35	0x3f3c2c…
05-12 12:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x67ac4a…
05-12 12:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x72242f…
05-12 12:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdc1a7b…
05-12 12:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0xb11292…
05-12 12:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0xb17d4d…
05-12 12:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x917548…
05-12 12:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	99	56¢	$55	0xd01ed4…
05-12 12:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x88dc8d…
05-12 12:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf1079e…
05-12 12:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x373792…
05-12 11:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1d181e…
05-12 11:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x785183…
05-12 11:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1b166a…
05-12 11:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa194ab…
05-12 11:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xdfb04d…
05-12 11:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x951024…
05-12 11:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x278bb8…
05-12 11:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x19e9c5…
05-12 11:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc6ade4…
05-12 11:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x8accce…
05-12 11:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x139a06…
05-12 11:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x786234…
05-12 11:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x800b7d…
05-12 11:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0x956c9e…
05-12 11:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd7ca13…
05-12 11:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x610e3b…
05-12 11:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x80ba7f…
05-12 11:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x88ef63…
05-12 11:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4cc5ea…
05-12 11:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xc7b7a7…
05-12 11:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x248763…
05-11 22:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2c9e1c…
05-11 22:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbd32d3…
05-11 22:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0539a3…