Creative-Rye — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$420

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

300

Trades

365

lifetime

Volume

$36.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 09-18 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 95% -$221

Other

41% 92% -$190

Politics

10% 20% -$10

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 76k on march 22	2	$4.0K	2,004	2,004	+0	No	+$2	03-22 10:34
bitcoin above 76k on march 21	2	$4.0K	2,002	2,002	+0	No	+$0	03-21 14:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	6	$3.4K	2,378	2,378	+0	Yes	-$10	03-22 18:26
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$2.0K	2,004	0	+2,004	Yes	+$4	03-20 07:09
bitcoin above 72k on march 22	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	No	+$0	03-22 11:25
bitcoin above 72k on march 23	2	$1.8K	1,012	1,012	+0	No	-$235	03-23 11:29
ethereum above 2200 on march 22	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	03-22 14:10
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$992	997	0	+997	No	+$5	03-22 18:27
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	4	$426	213	213	+0	No	$0	05-29 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 13?	1	$276	276	0	+276	No	+$0	06-12 06:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on June 3?	2	$254	255	0	+255	No	+$1	06-02 00:33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on July 6?	2	$232	233	0	+233	No	+$1	07-06 02:33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on July 3?	2	$225	115	115	+0	No	-$3	07-02 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 5?	2	$201	201	0	+201	No	+$0	08-04 16:29
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	05-22 04:24
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	1	$200	215	0	+215	No	-$200	06-15 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 24?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-23 08:54
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-16 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on July 10?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	07-09 03:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 4?	1	$190	190	0	+190	No	+$0	07-04 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on July 2?	1	$188	189	0	+189	No	+$1	07-01 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 19?	1	$175	175	0	+175	No	+$0	08-18 01:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 24?	1	$165	165	0	+165	No	+$0	08-23 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 4?	2	$160	80	80	+0	No	$0	08-03 14:16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 2?	1	$157	157	0	+157	No	+$0	09-01 04:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 4?	1	$150	151	0	+151	No	+$1	08-03 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 8?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	06-08 04:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on September 15?	1	$142	142	0	+142	No	+$0	09-14 02:14
bitcoin above 84k on august 31 2026	1	$138	138	0	+138	No	+$0	08-31 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on May 31?	2	$132	132	0	+132	No	+$0	05-30 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 14:16:36	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xeeab38…
09-18 14:16:23	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xb9f824…
09-18 14:16:09	Will Muse be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x263449…
09-17 17:52:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0xe70526…
09-17 17:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on September 18?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x04f21d…
09-17 01:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3d50c…
09-17 01:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb6042c…
09-16 02:11:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xa25831…
09-15 17:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x6ccaf4…
09-15 17:02:55	Will Vinted be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8c9f3f…
09-15 17:02:40	Will Muse be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xb586aa…
09-15 17:01:52	Will "Westside Whimsy - Jhené Aiko" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xad65cd…
09-15 17:01:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xaa3293…
09-15 03:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on September 16?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x54b733…
09-14 17:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 15?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x995e93…
09-14 02:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x4ad9a3…
09-14 02:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8f550b…
09-14 02:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x00834e…
09-13 02:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0x6c3103…
09-13 02:32:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x86263e…
09-13 02:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x58d8fc…
09-12 04:30:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 12?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xc94b9a…
09-12 04:29:37	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5d909e…
09-12 04:24:09	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf80770…
09-12 04:21:45	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x055003…
09-12 04:20:54	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b949b…
09-12 04:20:31	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xc48226…
09-11 17:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6d6d88…
09-11 17:03:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc92df3…
09-11 03:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa6a85a…
09-09 17:15:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x685977…
09-09 17:14:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc1e2d9…
09-09 17:13:07	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x656800…
09-09 17:12:49	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4bd3f9…
09-09 17:11:57	Will ESPN Fantasy Sports & More be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6cee08…
09-09 17:11:42	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x8dac1b…
09-09 17:10:52	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf82eb4…
09-09 17:07:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x70bb48…
09-09 17:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x1a1caa…
09-09 17:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on September 10?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd813d6…
09-08 17:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on September 9?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0xbc9e90…
09-08 17:12:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb69542…
09-08 17:11:04	Will "Don't Look Down - Rod Wave" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e1681…
09-08 17:10:43	Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xfff5a1…
09-07 17:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x58fc39…
09-07 17:17:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x09c379…
09-07 17:15:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8586ef…
09-07 17:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa7042c…
09-07 17:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x250750…
09-07 17:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 9?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x621649…
09-06 16:49:27	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2cf8bc…
09-06 16:48:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xe6810f…
09-06 16:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x78938e…
09-06 16:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 7?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf1bc1e…
09-06 16:44:40	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x31fc4d…
09-06 16:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 7?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x69cf36…
09-06 02:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdf31f4…
09-06 02:15:12	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2967c2…
09-06 02:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xfc2b90…
09-06 02:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b60ab…
09-05 03:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x38aa1e…
09-05 03:01:43	bitcoin above 74k on september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x47cf4b…
09-05 03:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x958a10…
09-05 03:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x5179dc…
09-05 03:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7749a2…
09-05 02:58:21	Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf7e806…
09-05 02:57:36	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb8ae4f…
09-05 02:57:06	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf9e1d2…
09-04 02:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 4?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x255427…
09-04 02:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xc9abd3…
09-03 02:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on September 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa61bb3…
09-03 02:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xa38493…
09-02 08:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x0f3b50…
09-01 04:58:49	bitcoin above 74k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x630437…
09-01 04:58:12	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5965ec…
09-01 04:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x049cf2…
09-01 04:54:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x67fbaf…
09-01 04:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3f575e…
09-01 04:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 2?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0xb3152e…
08-31 03:32:46	bitcoin above 84k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xff5d9d…
08-31 03:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 31?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xe78cfe…
08-30 03:30:30	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x700e6a…
08-30 03:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0f9d23…
08-30 03:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x95ea31…
08-30 03:26:30	Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x35dd48…
08-30 03:23:46	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xaa3e7a…
08-30 03:22:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfae881…
08-30 03:18:33	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3eb925…
08-30 03:15:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x90ce38…
08-30 03:14:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x9281a8…
08-29 03:23:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x98cf5b…
08-29 03:19:22	Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x599a35…
08-29 03:18:31	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x04268d…
08-29 03:18:12	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe15fac…
08-29 03:17:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xdf9aaa…
08-29 03:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x977337…
08-29 03:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on August 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a12cb…
08-28 07:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfecb5e…
08-28 07:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 29?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x8aad70…
08-27 05:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x20b082…