Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$345

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.8%

Resolved

561

Trades

629

lifetime

Volume

$2.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-08

last 10-13 12:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

98% 15% -$332

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 0% -$12

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	17	$444	863	207	+656	Yes	+$20	10-09 20:14
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	6	$260	300	178	+122	Yes	-$31	10-12 15:59
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	6	$147	220	50	+170	Yes	-$13	10-09 19:38
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	5	$92	140	50	+90	No	+$27	10-09 19:53
Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane?	5	$81	110	100	+10	Yes	+$9	10-08 09:30
Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?	2	$78	50	50	+0	No	-$4	10-08 01:09
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	4	$67	100	60	+40	Yes	-$23	10-09 16:50
Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	3	$63	78	22	+55	Yes	-$8	10-12 15:59
Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	3	$58	100	1	+99	open	—	10-09 12:23
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	3	$58	75	50	+25	Yes	+$3	10-09 16:37
Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	2	$55	50	45	+5	No	-$1	10-08 16:24
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?	4	$51	74	50	+24	Yes	-$38	10-09 09:16
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	2	$48	50	50	+0	Yes	-$3	10-08 13:32
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	2	$45	50	50	+0	Yes	-$4	10-08 14:02
Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	4	$40	50	50	+0	open	—	10-08 07:59
Will PPI YoY be 5.7% in September?	5	$37	78	10	+68	No	-$5	10-09 16:45
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	3	$34	65	0	+65	Yes	-$19	10-09 14:00
Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	3	$33	90	0	+90	No	-$28	10-08 10:23
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	2	$18	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	10-09 07:44
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?	1	$12	30	0	+30	Yes	-$12	10-08 11:36
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	2	$9	14	14	+0	open	—	10-12 15:59
Will Isaias make landfall in Mississippi as a hurricane?	3	$8	33	0	+33	No	-$2	10-09 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 13?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	10-12 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	1	$2	20	0	+20	No	-$2	10-13 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	10-13 12:10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on October 14?	1	$2	20	0	+20	No	-$2	10-13 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 14?	1	$2	25	0	+25	No	-$2	10-13 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	+$8	10-13 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 12?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	10-11 12:10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 14?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	10-13 12:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 12:10:50	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or below on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc6f9ad…
10-13 12:10:50	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x6de79e…
10-13 12:10:50	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x3ce00a…
10-13 12:10:50	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x31de70…
10-13 12:10:50	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$1	0x20e61e…
10-13 12:10:49	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xb2d253…
10-13 12:10:49	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xaccf8f…
10-13 12:10:49	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x4c7c0f…
10-13 12:10:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x345f5a…
10-13 12:10:49	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 47°F or below on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3119d0…
10-13 12:10:49	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x07f8b7…
10-13 12:10:47	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xeb39b2…
10-13 12:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xe1f267…
10-13 12:10:47	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be 51°F or below on October 14?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xbe1d39…
10-13 12:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x2ec918…
10-13 12:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x298710…
10-13 12:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x24d5f4…
10-13 12:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x23969c…
10-13 12:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xceda26…
10-13 12:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc83840…
10-13 12:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x9691a6…
10-13 12:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6dc44c…
10-13 12:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x559409…
10-13 12:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x3f11bb…
10-13 12:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x19b664…
10-13 12:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x18471e…
10-13 12:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x00f28f…
10-13 12:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xd09659…
10-13 12:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xb47373…
10-13 12:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x78a525…
10-13 12:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x6c5e36…
10-13 12:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x61ddf7…
10-13 12:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1a27f3…
10-13 12:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x074713…
10-13 12:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xd0b8a6…
10-13 12:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xc2d820…
10-13 12:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x8b2e7e…
10-13 12:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x860984…
10-13 12:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x788a83…
10-13 12:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x28475c…
10-13 12:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xf27180…
10-13 12:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xda7484…
10-13 12:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc7fad6…
10-13 12:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xc01f76…
10-13 12:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xbd8678…
10-13 12:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x909b57…
10-13 12:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x7ecb9e…
10-13 12:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x4dd5fe…
10-13 12:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x3399aa…
10-13 12:10:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe1fea5…
10-13 12:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xda5864…
10-13 12:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xcd8268…
10-13 12:10:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4d9a98…
10-13 12:10:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x495400…
10-13 12:10:40	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x083007…
10-13 12:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xeca1bf…
10-13 12:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xe2f9ca…
10-13 12:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xd750ba…
10-13 12:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xa9933d…
10-13 12:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x4b6dd4…
10-13 12:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x2ca606…
10-13 12:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2bccc0…
10-13 12:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0f46f4…
10-13 12:10:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on October 14?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfde376…
10-13 12:10:37	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe1b2a2…
10-13 12:10:37	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xde26aa…
10-13 12:10:37	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x956cd7…
10-13 12:10:37	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x27fd38…
10-13 12:10:37	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be 43°F or below on October 14?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x27b0e1…
10-13 12:10:37	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x12ec7d…
10-13 12:10:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xf40a08…
10-13 12:10:35	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xd7de37…
10-13 12:10:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xcbe5fb…
10-13 12:10:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xabed7b…
10-13 12:10:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3b1822…
10-13 12:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 14°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa74e79…
10-13 12:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xa6602e…
10-13 12:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6c5d32…
10-13 12:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x5e8796…
10-13 12:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x5d4e8f…
10-13 12:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x3b0ab9…
10-13 12:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x29f308…
10-13 12:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x165bbc…
10-13 12:10:32	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xdf5c98…
10-13 12:10:32	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xcf14c8…
10-13 12:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x9e50bb…
10-13 12:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x45edb6…
10-13 12:10:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x43bdc8…
10-13 12:10:32	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x3c6a6c…
10-13 12:10:32	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 12°C or below on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x2ad4ba…
10-13 12:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0e4b60…
10-13 12:10:32	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 8°C or below on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x0dadc5…
10-13 12:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xfdc735…
10-13 12:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xcabb50…
10-13 12:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xbec093…
10-13 12:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x9e76d8…
10-13 12:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x8c033c…
10-13 12:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7cb439…
10-13 12:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5f36aa…
10-13 12:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0386b3…