Minor-Storytelling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

1,560

Trades

7,763

lifetime

Volume

$166.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 06-04 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 52% +$2,207

Politics

0% 67% +$6

Other

0% 50% +$42

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:00 UTC	29	$4.1K	2,435	2,391	+44	Down	+$622	04-04 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 11:30 UTC	27	$2.1K	1,400	1,378	+22	Up	+$672	03-15 11:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 12:15 UTC	24	$2.1K	1,333	1,315	+18	Up	+$421	03-18 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 12:10 UTC	26	$1.9K	1,119	1,110	+10	Up	+$264	03-19 12:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 10:15 UTC	90	$1.8K	4,370	0	+4,370	Down	+$50	04-03 10:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:30 UTC	30	$1.5K	1,223	1,197	+25	Down	+$384	04-02 13:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 07:30 UTC	10	$1.5K	957	942	+15	Up	+$408	03-19 07:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 01:30 UTC	21	$1.5K	4,541	0	+4,541	Up	-$1,462	03-31 01:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 11:15 UTC	7	$1.4K	1,007	995	+11	Up	+$36	03-15 11:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 07:00 UTC	92	$1.3K	2,800	0	+2,800	Up	-$1,344	04-04 07:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 11:35 UTC	56	$1.2K	1,500	750	+750	Down	+$797	03-25 11:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 01:00 UTC	2	$1.2K	898	882	+16	Up	+$166	03-31 01:04
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$1.1K	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	+$50	03-27 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 09:10 UTC	3	$1.0K	662	652	+10	Down	+$265	03-15 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:15 UTC	5	$981	1,000	991	+9	Down	+$460	03-26 08:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 12:45 UTC	18	$977	800	787	+13	Down	+$188	03-18 12:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 10:30 UTC	22	$910	960	960	+0	Up	+$295	03-28 10:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:45 UTC	10	$895	600	600	+0	Up	+$295	04-02 13:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:20 UTC	47	$870	2,823	0	+2,823	Down	-$870	03-29 10:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 06:45 UTC	25	$850	900	900	+0	Up	+$310	04-03 06:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 01:00 UTC	44	$794	1,500	0	+1,500	Down	+$706	04-04 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 00:45 UTC	51	$784	1,435	0	+1,435	Down	+$651	04-04 00:45
bitcoin above 70k on march 4	21	$748	400	400	+0	Yes	+$4	03-04 15:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 06:00 UTC	2	$742	423	420	+3	Down	+$94	03-05 06:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 14:15 UTC	2	$713	500	492	+8	Down	+$173	03-18 14:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 13:20 UTC	6	$709	529	520	+8	Up	+$157	03-15 13:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 12:30 UTC	41	$689	480	442	+38	Down	+$198	03-21 12:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 06:45 UTC	19	$686	405	402	+4	Down	+$89	03-03 06:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 08:45 UTC	2	$675	533	517	+17	Down	+$75	03-31 08:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 03:30 UTC	13	$646	667	400	+267	Down	+$114	03-20 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 00:19:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	690	0¢	$2	0x84c527…
06-02 06:09:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,314	1¢	$16	0x99c534…
06-02 06:09:39	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0xbb6f7b…
06-02 06:07:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x821568…
05-29 23:22:26	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xdb71ac…
05-27 05:26:39	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x6b8b5d…
05-26 12:29:52	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x07e69b…
05-25 13:07:05	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x047596…
05-24 00:02:36	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$159	0xae6a3e…
05-23 02:16:21	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x6aed76…
05-22 01:41:37	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x2c55f3…
05-21 01:26:19	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x10f550…
05-20 00:47:36	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x7d1591…
05-19 01:12:02	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xe31db0…
05-18 02:40:51	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x0eaa6d…
05-17 18:14:43	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0x38e5f3…
05-16 01:11:48	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xdc8b0c…
05-15 06:40:23	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x2424ba…
05-13 02:56:36	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x76b9ac…
05-12 04:43:26	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x5cb9c7…
05-11 08:56:47	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0x5c53f4…
05-10 11:06:51	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x25b1d2…
05-08 11:52:09	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x35b135…
05-03 07:13:44	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	298	0¢	$0	0xb45bc3…
05-03 06:46:34	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x022f75…
05-03 06:08:06	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x4a1ee9…
05-03 05:18:20	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xffac6a…
05-03 03:55:38	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xb055bd…
05-01 07:29:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0xb50b46…
04-30 13:27:52	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	179	1¢	$2	0x250229…
04-30 05:00:50	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xecbf45…
04-30 04:41:26	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0x0084c1…
04-30 02:40:38	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	921	1¢	$6	0x500537…
04-30 02:40:30	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x74315f…
04-30 02:40:30	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x4571ee…
04-30 02:40:04	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	596	0¢	$1	0x16d3cb…
04-30 02:40:00	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x8f2657…
04-30 02:39:52	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x6574d1…
04-30 02:39:52	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x0a0fcc…
04-30 02:39:50	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0xa53bf2…
04-30 02:39:50	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8a7516…
04-30 02:39:50	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x5bf2ea…
04-30 02:39:50	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x16f108…
04-30 02:31:46	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xbe9d45…
04-30 00:59:26	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x29f6a0…
04-30 00:20:34	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	347	1¢	$2	0xd63343…
04-30 00:08:54	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x2cac42…
04-30 00:00:22	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x539b38…
04-29 22:34:46	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xec25e2…
04-29 22:31:28	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa5d4b0…
04-29 22:24:32	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x7daa11…
04-29 22:21:44	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0xce385a…
04-29 22:20:50	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xb18d7d…
04-29 22:18:08	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x2eaf62…
04-29 22:13:36	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	277	1¢	$2	0x4bf6b1…
04-29 22:13:26	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xa8542b…
04-29 22:06:02	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0xecfbd4…
04-29 21:01:42	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xc335d5…
04-29 20:17:02	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf42267…
04-29 20:12:56	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa59b05…
04-29 18:13:46	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0xca1f69…
04-29 17:51:26	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa46452…
04-29 17:40:46	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xd69b05…
04-29 16:48:28	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	533	2¢	$8	0x79a857…
04-29 16:41:46	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	467	2¢	$7	0x1df6a5…
04-29 16:41:24	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	666	2¢	$10	0xb486e9…
04-29 16:24:00	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf19c58…
04-29 15:49:38	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0f1ad5…
04-29 15:46:40	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfcbb7d…
04-29 15:46:40	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xf2a7ca…
04-29 15:46:40	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xbd4d99…
04-29 15:46:40	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb61c4c…
04-29 15:46:40	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x96e72f…
04-29 15:46:40	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8fd4d1…
04-29 15:46:40	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x869ecd…
04-29 15:46:40	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x73a7c1…
04-29 15:46:40	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x675bf3…
04-29 15:46:40	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x4efc82…
04-29 15:46:40	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x4cec44…
04-29 15:46:40	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4c26d8…
04-29 15:45:42	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	210	0¢	$0	0xd1879a…
04-29 15:41:30	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xff95a3…
04-29 15:41:30	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x9057f2…
04-29 15:41:00	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe2286e…
04-29 15:41:00	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x8dc695…
04-29 15:41:00	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x82c19c…
04-29 15:41:00	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x223c7f…
04-29 15:11:44	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcc49fb…
04-29 15:03:22	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xce5d0b…
04-29 15:02:08	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xfd6e3c…
04-29 15:02:08	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x031667…
04-29 14:47:20	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x825819…
04-29 14:43:48	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf681f7…
04-29 14:27:50	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x72cf81…
04-29 14:22:32	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc41ea3…
04-29 05:53:14	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	78	96¢	$75	0x136e39…
04-28 05:38:14	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0xfae65c…
04-27 09:09:42	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	64	66¢	$42	0x22f444…
04-27 07:19:30	Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x99c1e3…
04-27 07:05:48	Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	39	94¢	$36	0x78c838…