Shallow-Confirmation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.7%

Resolved

Trades

343

lifetime

Volume

$1.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-12 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 18% $-2

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776468600	11	$50	46	44	+2	open	—	04-17 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	8	$35	76	76	+0	Down	$-6	05-12 14:50
sol updown 15m 1776501000	6	$30	31	30	+1	open	—	04-18 08:35
eth updown 15m 1776469500	8	$30	33	32	+1	open	—	04-17 23:54
btc updown 15m 1776490200	6	$28	31	30	+1	open	—	04-18 05:44
xrp updown 15m 1776468600	6	$22	30	28	+2	open	—	04-17 23:38
sol updown 15m 1776504600	5	$22	40	18	+22	open	—	04-18 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$20	21	21	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 13:40
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	6	$20	21	21	+0	Up	$-2	05-11 16:48
btc updown 15m 1776445200	7	$19	39	14	+25	open	—	04-17 17:08
btc updown 15m 1776438000	5	$19	29	20	+9	open	—	04-17 15:14
btc updown 15m 1776454200	5	$19	29	18	+11	open	—	04-17 19:39
sol updown 15m 1776468600	6	$17	17	16	+1	open	—	04-17 23:37
xrp updown 15m 1776508200	4	$16	16	15	+1	open	—	04-18 10:35
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	6	$16	15	15	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	5	$16	26	26	+0	Down	$-4	05-11 16:48
xrp updown 15m 1776501000	4	$15	19	17	+2	open	—	04-18 08:32
sol updown 15m 1776512700	6	$15	18	17	+1	open	—	04-18 11:49
btc updown 15m 1776446100	4	$15	16	15	+1	open	—	04-17 17:20
sol updown 15m 1776446100	4	$14	16	15	+1	open	—	04-17 17:21
xrp updown 15m 1776631500	3	$14	15	14	+1	open	—	04-19 20:59
xrp updown 5m 1776295800	4	$14	16	15	+1	open	—	04-15 23:33
sol updown 15m 1776292200	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 22:39
sol updown 15m 1776288600	3	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 21:45
btc updown 15m 1776496500	3	$13	22	10	+12	open	—	04-18 07:24
btc updown 15m 1776483900	3	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	04-18 03:53
btc updown 15m 1776452400	4	$12	14	13	+1	open	—	04-17 19:05
btc updown 15m 1776447900	3	$12	16	8	+8	open	—	04-17 17:58
eth updown 15m 1776446100	3	$12	25	7	+18	open	—	04-17 17:24
sol updown 15m 1776289500	4	$11	20	7	+14	open	—	04-15 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 14:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	37	7¢	$3	0xaf9174…
05-12 14:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0x09ff63…
05-12 14:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xfa6aa5…
05-12 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xccff36…
05-12 14:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0xfc5d35…
05-12 14:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0xee3892…
05-12 14:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x3b8852…
05-12 14:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x9b8b4e…
05-12 14:22:39	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x1a8f7d…
05-12 14:17:41	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x0a6759…
05-12 14:17:31	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x349597…
05-12 14:17:31	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x179480…
05-12 14:17:05	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfeeea2…
05-12 14:17:05	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9faf01…
05-12 13:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x905587…
05-12 13:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8d5cf5…
05-12 13:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x555b09…
05-12 13:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd87f65…
05-11 18:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x984f76…
05-11 17:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x2a185f…
05-11 17:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x086490…
05-11 17:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x14b1ce…
05-11 16:48:33	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x3174bf…
05-11 16:48:21	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x221f60…
05-11 16:48:02	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x19554e…
05-11 16:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0xaf7515…
05-11 16:48:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x96b2a6…
05-11 16:47:55	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0xaf8133…
05-11 16:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xbcf792…
05-11 16:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x91a40a…
05-11 16:47:48	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xa36a45…
05-11 16:47:41	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x98212e…
05-11 16:47:13	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x393bb1…
05-11 16:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xfef1db…
05-11 16:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x78dc00…
05-11 16:46:57	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3ced8d…
05-11 15:54:34	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x6e96e5…
05-11 15:51:06	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0xa196c1…
05-11 15:50:06	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc047cb…
05-11 15:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x8767b6…
05-11 15:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x6be716…
05-11 15:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x0e930a…
05-11 15:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3cbafb…
04-30 22:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xab1f6b…
04-20 14:19:22	sol updown 15m 1776694500	Down	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xce7bc6…
04-20 14:19:22	xrp updown 15m 1776694500	Down	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x9134af…
04-20 14:17:58	xrp updown 15m 1776694500	Down	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x3fd191…
04-20 14:17:56	sol updown 15m 1776694500	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x275f2a…
04-20 04:35:04	xrp updown 15m 1776659400	Down	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x64e7a2…
04-20 04:33:48	xrp updown 15m 1776659400	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9e559e…
04-20 04:20:14	eth updown 15m 1776658500	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x9a5c80…
04-20 04:18:20	eth updown 15m 1776658500	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x14b9c2…
04-20 03:09:24	btc updown 5m 1776654300	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x9fe798…
04-20 03:07:44	bnb updown 15m 1776654000	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xdcf5a2…
04-20 03:03:50	bnb updown 15m 1776654000	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x1e7f86…
04-20 02:49:32	sol updown 15m 1776653100	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xaa6db7…
04-20 02:47:50	sol updown 15m 1776653100	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe37f2a…
04-20 02:19:50	sol updown 15m 1776651300	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0xbb8c9c…
04-20 02:19:48	btc updown 5m 1776651300	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x8a00f5…
04-20 02:16:32	btc updown 15m 1776651300	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x474ea8…
04-20 02:16:30	eth updown 15m 1776651300	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x8bf257…
04-20 02:04:12	xrp updown 15m 1776650400	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x361f4a…
04-20 02:04:10	xrp updown 15m 1776650400	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x852b8c…
04-20 02:03:40	eth updown 15m 1776650400	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xcdb609…
04-20 01:10:26	btc updown 15m 1776646800	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x0cdb02…
04-20 01:08:08	btc updown 15m 1776646800	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x3db452…
04-20 01:07:04	btc updown 15m 1776646800	Up	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0xd89037…
04-20 00:42:26	eth updown 15m 1776645000	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x1da0cc…
04-20 00:38:00	eth updown 15m 1776645000	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x469b4d…
04-20 00:37:46	eth updown 15m 1776645000	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc022d2…
04-20 00:36:32	btc updown 15m 1776645000	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xd39a8f…
04-20 00:36:00	sol updown 15m 1776645000	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x278f01…
04-20 00:34:22	sol updown 15m 1776645000	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfadfa0…
04-19 22:58:14	btc updown 15m 1776638700	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x2507c3…
04-19 22:53:10	sol updown 15m 1776638700	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x8d0573…
04-19 22:52:24	eth updown 15m 1776638700	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xe66f97…
04-19 22:52:24	btc updown 15m 1776638700	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0x7e2714…
04-19 22:50:32	sol updown 15m 1776638700	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x62eea7…
04-19 22:49:08	btc updown 15m 1776638700	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x9a1b08…
04-19 22:48:46	eth updown 15m 1776638700	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x6dc093…
04-19 22:19:34	btc updown 5m 1776636900	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd4362c…
04-19 22:18:24	xrp updown 15m 1776636900	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x728cfc…
04-19 22:17:54	btc updown 15m 1776636900	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x9d606f…
04-19 22:17:50	xrp updown 15m 1776636900	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x48f652…
04-19 22:17:42	btc updown 15m 1776636900	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x71bde4…
04-19 22:17:28	btc updown 15m 1776636900	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x637224…
04-19 20:59:50	xrp updown 15m 1776631500	Down	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x4d6cc4…
04-19 20:48:08	sol updown 15m 1776631500	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x0a0909…
04-19 20:47:40	sol updown 15m 1776631500	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x145907…
04-19 20:47:34	xrp updown 15m 1776631500	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x93bab1…
04-19 20:47:24	sol updown 15m 1776631500	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xcc902a…
04-19 20:47:08	xrp updown 15m 1776631500	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x52a148…
04-19 20:47:04	btc updown 15m 1776631500	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x7499f7…
04-19 20:40:58	eth updown 15m 1776630600	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x15821e…
04-19 20:33:22	eth updown 15m 1776630600	Down	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x9862cf…
04-19 19:19:16	btc updown 15m 1776626100	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x6ad62c…
04-19 19:18:20	btc updown 15m 1776626100	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x75e435…
04-19 18:18:48	eth updown 15m 1776622500	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xe5aca1…
04-19 18:18:28	eth updown 15m 1776622500	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc1858e…
04-18 12:02:06	sol updown 15m 1776513600	Down	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x2ab78d…