Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$48

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

513 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$130

$1.61K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$109

14 positions

First seen

2026-07-14

last 10-31 18:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

81% 57% +$26

Politics

14% 52% -$14

Sports

2% 38% -$4

Crypto

2% 43% -$4

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+14	$11	100¢	$14	+$2	10-24 00:49
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	+16	$10	74¢	$12	+$2	10-17 06:34
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	+17	$10	70¢	$12	+$2	10-20 09:05
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+13	$10	74¢	$10	$0	10-19 19:38
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+12	$9	75¢	$9	$0	10-31 17:25
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$9	78¢	$9	$0	10-31 16:47
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	No	+9	$7	94¢	$8	+$1	07-25 20:54
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	+29	$9	26¢	$8	-$2	10-17 06:35
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	+27	$9	26¢	$7	-$2	10-29 04:02
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	+8	$5	85¢	$7	+$2	07-20 09:39
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	+8	$6	71¢	$6	$0	10-31 17:29
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+8	$5	70¢	$5	+$1	10-20 12:22
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+11	$2	12¢	$1	-$1	07-27 23:11
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	07-21 08:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp droguet blockx 2026 07 13	6	$46	89	89	+0	Titouan Droguet	+$19	07-14 20:32
cs2 hero mglz 2026 07 24 game2	4	$39	32	16	+16	TheMongolz	+$10	07-24 13:56
dota2 glyph playti 2026 08 03	4	$34	19	19	+0	PlayTime	+$4	08-03 09:06
Will Trump say "Depression" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	1	$32	37	0	+37	Yes	+$5	10-10 18:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	11	$25	16	16	+0	No	+$3	10-28 14:19
will wti dip to 80 in october 2026	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	10-28 13:40
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	10	$21	21	12	+9	India	+$9	10-22 10:57
wta timofee annli 2026 07 13	2	$20	10	10	+0	Ann Li	+$0	07-14 20:26
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	7	$19	11	11	+0	Yes	+$3	07-27 16:27
cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01 game1	4	$18	10	10	+0	Spirit	+$1	08-01 11:15
crint zwe2 ind4 2026 07 26	5	$17	169	30	+139	India	-$13	07-26 11:31
crict20lpl kan jaf 2026 07 26	6	$17	32	0	+32	Jaffna Kings	+$15	07-26 09:54
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	3	$17	23	23	+0	open	—	07-27 05:47
cs2 ast10 mouz 2026 08 01	4	$17	13	13	+0	MOUZ	+$1	08-01 16:20
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	4	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	07-27 05:41
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	10	$16	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	07-30 11:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	25	$16	10	8	+2	No	+$1	10-30 08:04
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	4	$15	16	4	+12	Yes	+$4	07-29 14:05
cs2 lavked btf 2026 07 26	4	$15	15	7	+7	Lavked	+$7	07-26 20:19
cs2 mgc 3dmax 2026 07 24	4	$15	11	5	+5	3DMAX	+$2	07-24 12:10
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	2	$14	16	8	+8	open	—	10-20 12:22
lol dnf bro2 2026 07 28 game1	3	$14	9	9	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$3	07-28 11:32
val gx th1 2026 07 31 game2	3	$14	8	8	+1	Team Heretics	+$2	07-31 21:17
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5	2	$14	9	9	+0	Under	-$1	10-17 14:48
Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	2	$13	13	11	+2	No	-$9	10-16 21:33
crichundred wel mi 2026 07 25	4	$13	28	0	+28	Welsh Fire	+$16	07-25 19:01
Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?	2	$12	32	0	+32	Yes	-$2	07-19 13:34
crichundred sun sou 2026 07 25	2	$12	16	0	+16	Sunrisers Leeds	+$4	07-25 15:15
crint lka3 pak3 2026 07 25	3	$12	25	0	+25	Sri Lanka	+$14	07-25 09:49
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	1	$12	19	0	+19	Yes	+$7	10-10 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 18:34:06	Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xd6145c…
10-31 18:33:43	Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x77c911…
10-31 18:09:28	Will Perugia Calcio Spa win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x8cc1bb…
10-31 18:03:55	Will Perugia Calcio Spa win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x68d98f…
10-31 17:29:55	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xb3b83b…
10-31 17:25:10	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xf27452…
10-31 16:49:34	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0xcd71bf…
10-31 16:47:42	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x9db86f…
10-30 23:02:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x58f80b…
10-30 22:31:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xd8c2c6…
10-30 17:25:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xaab49a…
10-30 17:22:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xbcb56b…
10-30 17:15:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xacf760…
10-30 17:08:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x454aef…
10-30 17:02:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xb1aa5e…
10-30 16:58:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x251ea1…
10-30 16:58:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc4e5d5…
10-30 16:58:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xb2ad36…
10-30 16:58:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x7b5ad4…
10-30 16:58:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x966ba9…
10-30 16:57:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x522a9f…
10-30 16:54:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x845964…
10-30 14:09:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x9d0c51…
10-30 13:05:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x671912…
10-30 09:44:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x927b4a…
10-30 08:04:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb458b3…
10-29 19:55:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x24eb07…
10-29 15:41:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4c4c8d…
10-29 14:10:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x743650…
10-29 14:04:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x4cea8a…
10-29 13:55:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xd7eccd…
10-29 13:51:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xaf8c53…
10-29 11:51:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x570378…
10-29 09:36:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x519906…
10-29 09:28:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x4f3e6a…
10-29 09:13:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x79824b…
10-29 04:02:16	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xd1771e…
10-28 20:57:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x0dc1d7…
10-28 20:09:31	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x8b1490…
10-28 20:05:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x96dbc0…
10-28 16:55:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x0f3a5d…
10-28 16:06:22	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x87e149…
10-28 15:38:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x5831fb…
10-28 15:27:01	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x4d15a8…
10-28 14:51:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbc4ca1…
10-28 14:19:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x77eb6a…
10-28 14:19:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x10e853…
10-28 14:18:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4f8046…
10-28 13:40:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb160cc…
10-28 08:26:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xb8c1d5…
10-28 06:55:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xee5656…
10-28 01:12:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x642f6c…
10-28 00:49:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb6ed43…
10-27 20:30:32	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3ac584…
10-27 16:33:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x857c31…
10-27 16:17:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x5b96e2…
10-27 15:31:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xb61771…
10-27 14:50:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xe5bec3…
10-27 14:36:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x8c09b5…
10-27 11:50:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x009fd9…
10-27 09:09:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xdb8ec7…
10-27 02:47:33	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x2eeda0…
10-27 01:09:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2a9a06…
10-26 08:46:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x20180d…
10-26 07:21:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x27a094…
10-26 06:15:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xde126d…
10-26 06:13:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x737bde…
10-26 06:12:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf3d9ea…
10-26 01:16:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xb9a44a…
10-26 01:16:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xe73c10…
10-26 01:16:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xf8d5f7…
10-26 01:15:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x7dda1f…
10-26 01:15:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xeb8029…
10-25 13:53:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xf5e493…
10-24 20:27:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x8d618d…
10-24 13:42:56	FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xffa6c9…
10-24 13:42:24	FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc7abd3…
10-24 10:41:14	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x11a292…
10-24 00:50:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x70b2ec…
10-24 00:49:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0x51c814…
10-23 09:23:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x583072…
10-23 05:43:02	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x4e0f60…
10-23 02:45:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0x07c690…
10-22 21:17:50	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	BUY	16	41¢	$6	0xc08c81…
10-22 16:14:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x0f9bbb…
10-22 11:13:23	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x1821a7…
10-22 11:11:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x78ebfd…
10-22 10:57:47	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x764d5c…
10-22 10:57:24	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x8d9ad0…
10-22 10:56:53	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x5c2f9d…
10-22 10:56:45	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xd9c8e4…
10-22 10:53:51	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xe1f6c9…
10-22 10:52:39	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x9f0ada…
10-22 10:52:30	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	1	81¢	$0	0x5f7cac…
10-22 10:52:23	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	1	83¢	$0	0x5ef62c…
10-22 10:52:14	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x4d4761…
10-22 10:31:39	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0xa07b89…
10-22 07:06:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x3fa4dd…
10-22 06:53:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xb6d5bc…
10-22 06:14:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x74a92d…