Hasty-Laughter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$4.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-17 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 100% +$1

Politics

21% 100% +$4

Other

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	5	$141	146	+146	open	—	06-07 02:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	1	$130	130	+130	open	—	05-17 02:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	1	$130	130	+130	open	—	05-02 02:59
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	1	$112	112	+112	open	—	03-23 13:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$111	128	+128	open	—	05-28 15:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	1	$110	110	+110	Yes	+$0	05-06 01:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-05 02:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$90	93	+93	open	—	05-22 02:53
bitcoin above 60k on july 8 2026	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	07-08 15:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$86	86	+86	Yes	+$0	05-10 02:30
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	06-30 08:25
bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	06-22 08:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	1	$73	73	+73	open	—	05-24 01:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$72	83	+83	open	—	06-13 15:29
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$71	71	+71	open	—	03-17 07:18
bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	1	$70	70	+70	open	—	06-09 07:49
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	1	$70	70	+70	open	—	01-06 03:35
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$66	66	+66	open	—	03-20 10:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	1	$66	66	+66	Yes	+$0	05-09 02:14
bitcoin above 86k on january 7	1	$62	62	+62	open	—	01-07 01:53
bitcoin above 98k on january 20	1	$61	61	+61	open	—	01-20 02:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$60	62	+62	open	—	05-27 02:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	05-11 02:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	05-13 02:37
bitcoin above 66k on march 19	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	03-19 04:11
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	04-21 02:00
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	04-20 02:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$54	60	+60	open	—	04-26 02:47
bitcoin above 60k on march 31	1	$53	53	+53	open	—	03-31 03:58
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$53	53	+53	open	—	03-30 03:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 08:27:07	will bitcoin reach 71k on july 18	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x461a8f…
07-17 02:30:39	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbbd037…
07-17 02:30:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xcc5d21…
07-15 08:15:50	bitcoin above 68k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6516c6…
07-15 08:14:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x36c0e7…
07-14 04:49:04	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x02b65d…
07-08 15:09:20	bitcoin above 60k on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb64437…
06-30 08:25:22	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3347b5…
06-28 08:31:26	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcf9660…
06-22 08:06:07	bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xdb0d43…
06-13 15:29:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0xb34371…
06-09 07:49:03	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd0e93c…
06-09 07:48:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xf2308f…
06-07 02:49:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x9c76cd…
06-07 02:49:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xb3fe37…
06-04 02:42:45	bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5f6354…
06-04 02:40:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0xd72de5…
06-01 02:10:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x23cc34…
06-01 02:10:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x7035b9…
06-01 02:09:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xc8e983…
05-28 15:59:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	91¢	$69	0x5286e5…
05-27 02:53:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x67249c…
05-27 02:53:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xbe41b6…
05-26 02:34:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x400c2b…
05-26 02:34:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xeccb08…
05-26 02:34:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x76c7ac…
05-24 01:47:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x22f41a…
05-24 01:46:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x2fccba…
05-22 02:53:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xac3bf1…
05-22 02:53:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x409218…
05-21 08:12:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x1e5aec…
05-20 02:03:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x06f513…
05-19 03:09:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdbdf58…
05-19 03:07:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x8ee2c2…
05-17 02:14:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x17e29d…
05-17 02:13:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x917cbb…
05-14 03:01:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x82c58d…
05-14 02:54:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb74694…
05-13 02:37:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x50134f…
05-13 02:35:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf2a312…
05-11 02:36:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7f54e9…
05-11 02:36:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x033f46…
05-10 02:30:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x9e9123…
05-10 02:29:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x235a0b…
05-09 02:14:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x1315e2…
05-09 02:14:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x2df99e…
05-06 01:55:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xb1474f…
05-06 01:54:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8cc19a…
05-05 02:10:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x391a5c…
05-05 02:09:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x5e1585…
05-02 02:59:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xb169c6…
05-02 02:58:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0e9be7…
05-01 02:22:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5ecd71…
04-30 14:37:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x124ca9…
04-26 02:47:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	91¢	$44	0xb1213c…
04-25 02:42:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x89cbd3…
04-25 02:42:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x4017cb…
04-21 02:00:58	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x6cb00f…
04-20 02:28:30	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xcbb1a6…
04-18 08:45:14	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x255952…
04-18 08:45:02	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x47c11d…
04-15 03:45:02	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x724e7d…
04-15 03:44:28	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9240ad…
04-14 09:49:51	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x7640b6…
04-04 14:33:07	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x10665b…
04-04 14:32:37	bitcoin above 66k on april 4	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb17172…
03-31 03:58:53	bitcoin above 60k on march 31	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xe553b2…
03-30 03:42:24	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x8f37b3…
03-29 06:15:58	bitcoin above 62k on march 29	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x463b8d…
03-29 06:15:22	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa64025…
03-28 09:25:57	bitcoin above 62k on march 28	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x00b194…
03-28 09:25:47	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd7511f…
03-26 09:36:33	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xcf98e1…
03-26 09:36:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x174c40…
03-26 09:34:47	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x42503b…
03-26 09:34:03	will texas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf39519…
03-26 09:32:17	bitcoin above 68k on march 26	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x84a458…
03-26 09:31:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x143edc…
03-24 13:55:55	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x4a023c…
03-23 13:15:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xffae59…
03-22 12:41:27	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xe31ac1…
03-22 12:41:01	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 190 214	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad69ef…
03-20 10:46:59	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xb64949…
03-19 04:11:21	bitcoin above 66k on march 19	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x9314aa…
03-19 04:11:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc94782…
03-17 07:18:01	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x53b1a4…
03-17 07:03:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x13d240…
03-17 07:02:39	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcdcbcb…
03-16 13:44:51	Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x299598…
03-16 06:58:25	bitcoin above 66k on march 16	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x41cd0d…
03-14 05:54:51	bitcoin above 74k on march 14	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x7f4909…
03-12 06:21:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2f851f…
03-12 06:20:57	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc0157a…
02-11 02:16:29	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x475583…
02-11 02:16:15	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 240plus	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0d33b9…
02-11 02:15:43	ethereum above 1600 on february 11	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xa71196…
02-11 02:15:29	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa526d3…
02-11 02:15:19	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x113ff5…
02-11 02:14:55	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x406f41…
01-27 04:43:11	bitcoin above 92k on january 27	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xd09c93…