Shameless-Thermals — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$442

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

394

Trades

1,127

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$57

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 11-02 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 58% -$349

Other

9% 21% +$851

Sports

3% 48% -$41

Politics

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+207	$48	24¢	$49	+$1	11-02 21:23
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+159	$10	6¢	$9	-$1	11-01 22:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	4	$1.2K	1,281	1,281	+0	Yes	+$1,012	07-15 20:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 04:00 UTC	7	$464	365	361	+4	Up	-$22	02-25 04:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 03:00 UTC	13	$339	356	351	+5	Down	+$18	03-06 03:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 19:30 UTC	12	$306	318	314	+4	Down	-$4	03-06 19:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 17:00 UTC	14	$286	281	277	+4	Down	+$15	02-16 17:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 21:15 UTC	6	$268	158	157	+1	Down	+$14	02-24 21:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 18:00 UTC	10	$263	288	284	+4	Down	-$8	02-21 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 20:45 UTC	8	$256	209	207	+3	Down	+$17	02-21 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 19:15 UTC	8	$247	237	234	+3	Down	+$22	03-06 19:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 03:45 UTC	10	$243	254	250	+4	Down	+$11	03-02 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 05:00 UTC	13	$240	192	151	+41	Down	+$12	02-26 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 00:45 UTC	12	$236	250	246	+4	Down	+$5	02-21 00:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 22:30 UTC	4	$217	148	146	+1	Down	+$12	02-21 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	5	$206	209	109	+100	Up	+$10	05-20 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	5	$205	213	108	+105	Down	+$9	05-22 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	6	$203	211	104	+108	Up	+$3	05-20 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	5	$199	207	102	+106	Down	+$3	05-26 02:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 16:15 UTC	12	$197	161	158	+2	Up	+$1	02-16 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	5	$194	200	97	+102	Up	-$2	05-26 19:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 05:00 UTC	10	$194	195	192	+3	Up	-$1	02-21 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 02:45 UTC	4	$191	133	131	+1	Down	-$4	02-18 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	5	$187	210	85	+126	Up	-$19	05-26 03:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 03:15 UTC	6	$183	108	107	+1	Down	+$7	02-23 03:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 19:45 UTC	6	$180	256	253	+3	Up	+$4	02-26 19:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 00:45 UTC	6	$174	175	173	+2	Up	+$7	02-22 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 20:30 UTC	6	$173	127	126	+1	Down	+$7	02-21 20:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 17:00 UTC	4	$169	196	193	+3	Down	+$15	02-23 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 16:05 UTC	8	$168	178	80	+97	Up	-$8	03-07 16:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 02:30 UTC	6	$167	271	119	+152	Up	-$19	03-07 02:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 15:35 UTC	8	$164	168	165	+3	Down	+$1	03-07 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 21:23:58	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	207	23¢	$48	0x46a8db…
11-01 22:02:42	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0xf59dcc…
07-19 20:58:48	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	464	10¢	$49	0xda3256…
07-19 15:03:33	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xf7f3dc…
07-19 14:57:36	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0x5f8006…
07-19 14:57:22	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x7b6177…
07-18 22:50:13	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	255	4¢	$9	0x70f414…
07-15 20:53:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	1,281	86¢	$1,107	0x00ba84…
07-15 20:33:58	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	1,044	7¢	$76	0xe2ddbf…
07-15 20:32:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	122	8¢	$9	0x76fd78…
07-15 20:31:11	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	115	8¢	$9	0x6fb6b2…
07-12 02:49:52	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$10	0xda0fe4…
07-08 11:56:02	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0xf15eb4…
07-08 03:45:46	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x6db2b3…
07-08 03:45:17	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x81014a…
07-08 03:45:08	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0xc9253c…
07-07 17:50:41	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	48	63¢	$30	0x3fd20d…
07-07 12:46:41	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x96208f…
07-04 13:42:44	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xb858be…
07-04 13:42:32	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	48	20¢	$10	0x64edad…
07-04 03:33:19	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	30¢	$10	0xdcce6e…
07-04 03:33:10	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xf11ea9…
07-04 03:33:02	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xe074b9…
07-04 03:32:55	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x8f84e9…
07-04 03:32:47	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0x1b92a1…
07-04 03:32:37	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0x3c1ac0…
07-03 03:03:20	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x7d5f12…
07-03 03:03:05	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x66c229…
07-02 03:40:02	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	458	2¢	$10	0x58d7ba…
06-29 23:30:50	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x38fed3…
06-28 13:46:11	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0x6ad9d4…
06-28 13:45:55	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x2ed147…
06-28 13:45:49	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xa0888c…
06-28 13:45:43	Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xc44dbe…
06-28 13:45:32	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xe3d77c…
06-28 13:45:23	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x7cf247…
06-28 13:44:32	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0x714671…
06-28 04:00:52	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0x625b88…
06-28 04:00:46	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe9baea…
06-28 04:00:37	Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0xf9a72e…
06-28 02:45:49	Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0xbe659d…
06-28 02:45:43	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x0a5a43…
06-28 02:45:04	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xb90c5d…
06-28 02:44:56	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	48	20¢	$10	0xb6f61b…
06-28 02:44:50	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0xb262ff…
06-28 02:44:41	Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xd29d3b…
06-24 03:48:10	Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	160	6¢	$10	0xa589ad…
06-21 01:07:22	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0xb939aa…
06-18 01:05:31	Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	48	20¢	$10	0xb874bb…
06-17 20:32:19	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0x160092…
06-17 20:32:13	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x4c378e…
06-17 20:32:04	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x7aad9b…
06-17 20:31:58	Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0x065fd6…
06-17 20:31:49	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0xe0656d…
06-17 20:31:43	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x5c0b27…
06-17 20:31:31	Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0x68ed5c…
06-17 20:31:25	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	30¢	$10	0x9369b8…
06-17 20:31:19	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x5c1115…
06-17 20:31:13	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x299587…
06-17 20:31:05	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x5b5724…
06-17 20:30:59	Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x65e899…
06-17 20:30:47	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0x8c6494…
06-17 20:30:38	Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0xbe0a87…
06-17 20:30:31	Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0xcaf990…
06-17 20:30:25	Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x65c949…
06-17 20:30:16	Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xc93ed9…
06-17 20:30:10	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x69ace7…
06-17 20:29:50	Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xc2ff0f…
06-17 20:29:44	Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x5379a1…
06-17 20:29:35	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x65bb07…
06-17 20:29:29	Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0xb7ac58…
06-17 20:29:22	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0xa49657…
06-17 20:29:17	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0xd706dc…
06-17 20:28:47	Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0xc207d6…
06-17 20:28:40	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x91255a…
06-17 20:28:35	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x5a9b90…
06-17 20:28:29	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0x697fbe…
06-17 20:28:20	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xbd129a…
06-17 20:28:14	Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xdd9e50…
06-17 20:28:08	Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	107	9¢	$10	0xa28648…
06-17 20:02:35	Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x5dfd9b…
06-17 20:02:29	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0xf56ace…
06-17 20:02:22	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x5ba0de…
06-17 20:02:16	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0xa0e816…
06-17 20:02:10	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x2c4eb1…
06-17 20:02:02	Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x3477fd…
06-17 20:01:56	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x7ad61b…
06-17 20:01:49	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x1d887f…
06-17 20:01:43	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x5601ac…
06-17 20:01:38	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0xe27135…
06-17 20:01:32	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	107	9¢	$10	0xbb8465…
06-17 20:01:26	Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xdb37a1…
06-17 20:01:16	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	107	9¢	$10	0x65e0f5…
06-17 20:01:08	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0x26d942…
06-17 20:01:04	Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x253b83…
06-17 20:00:56	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0x566508…
06-17 20:00:50	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	123	8¢	$10	0x7d3b90…
06-17 20:00:43	Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x662682…
06-17 20:00:35	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0xf573eb…
06-17 19:19:46	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0x915b42…